Comms + Software Sector Head @Hedgeye (Internet, Media & Cable/Telco); SpaceX+ Anthropic + OpenAI NOT Investment Advice

Down the AI squirrel hole!
Anthropics cyber safeguards are PITA
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Amazing two days of meetings in Boston! Have a great weekend!
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New product launches are exciting but the hard work to scaling and improving persists...
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Nice. Looking forward to experimenting with this! The #AgentLayer is the New Operating System! Where have I heard that before? 😉
We’re building Copilot as a new OS for work that spans every model, every form factor, and every task. Today, we’re announcing our biggest update to Copilot to date, bringing four things together: · Autopilot: proactive and long-running agent built for the enterprise · Code: build apps with Copilot, hosted inside your company’s tenant · Home: Chat + Cowork together · Office: now fully embedded in Copilot (and Copilot embedded in Office, of course!) Plus, you can invoke Copilot in Teams, and we’re introducing Today, a proactive experience that surfaces the most important information from across M365 without needing to ask for it. The way we work is changing and so are our workflows. This update brings AI into that flow, from answering a question, to building an app, to getting work done on your behalf.
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for the developers in the back: muse spark 1.3 is now available on @googlecloud and @Oracle! get you some muse action
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Andrew Freedman, CFA 🦅 retweeted
Beyond impressed by the strides Meta has made with AR glasses across form factor, price and utility As functionality expands across the category consumers have more reasons to adopt accelerating the S-curve. Still early innings with further improvements needed in form factor and battery life but overwhelmingly positive for the space Congrats on the progress @davidsven!
Meta has just unveiled their new VR glasses. • Price: $1,299 • Available Spring 2027 • Weight: 100 grams, about the weight of a deck of cards • Glasses contain the displays and sensors, while a separate puck houses the processor, battery and storage. • 5K display with micro-OLED panels • Pixel density: 37 pixels per degree • Custom pancake lenses • Dolby Vision • Dolby Atmos • No head straps • Qualcomm Snapdragon Reality Elite chip • Battery life: Up to 3 hours of continuous high-resolution media playback • 45W fast charging • Full-color passthrough cameras let you see your surroundings while wearing the glasses. • Open-sided design • Meta AI integrated directly into the operating system. • Voice commands, eye tracking and natural hand gestures, with no controllers required • First IMAX Enhanced-certified VR device, supporting select movies in IMAX's expanded aspect ratio. • Disney+ will offer select 3D movies • Streaming services: Partnerships with Disney+, Prime Video, YouTube, DIRECTV, AMC+, Crunchyroll, Plex, ESPN, Tubi and others • Immersive live sports: Front-row viewing experiences with 8K streaming and 180-degree views • Works with calling apps including WhatsApp and Zoom
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We have been short $RBLX since $110 in October 2025… We are now switching sides and going long! Call Monday 9/28 @ 2pm ET #Respawnpoint @HedgeyeCommOR
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FYI @Hedgeye_HGRO @Hedgeye_HELS $GOOGL If they are willing to release largely pre-trained version in Preview at discounted price and then spend the next 3-6 months post training that is a good sign. Only to the extent that 4.0 actually leads or is close to the frontier. Have to think they probably want to wait and see what Fable 5.2 and Watermelon look like on benchmarks first…
Google says Gemini 4 release is coming 'as soon as possible' 9to5google.com/2026/09/24/go… by @nexusben
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When you’ve spent the last decade-plus reading, studying, and listening to everything the big tech and AI insiders have put out - books, podcasts, filings, transcripts - and another 3,000+ hours over two years building with the tech hands-on, and you have the financial models on the companies, it does help a little in understanding and forecasting strategy decisions and industry trends. 🙃😜🙃
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Should have said “making mistakes” but that is part of learning!
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As my 2 year old would say… Oopsie Kitty! share.google/YTfUSl5bh0Tgkqu… Glad we have $ORCL on zee short side!
$ORCL -5% after Bloomberg reported Oracle is seeking protection from payments if its 2.45GW New Mexico Stargate data center is delayed beyond its planned 2028 opening.
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My kids picked the last watermelon 🍉 of the season from the garden yesterday…
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PSA: A “price war” is only destructive when prices fall faster than serving costs and labs fund market share out of margin “Opus 5.5 requires less compute to serve than Opus 5, and its pricing reflects that. Our tests show that at default settings it will cost 40% less than Opus 5 on typical workloads.”
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lol cool dude… you caught me… guilty. I used AI to take a draft of what I wrote and clean it up before posting. That said, “That 2H26 would be the second coming. Here we are.” I actually wrote that in using my fingers and keyboard. Take me away officer! 😆
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Repeat after me.... The Agent Becomes The Algorithm
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🙃
I’m actually starting to get more bullish software… Dev tools, auth, security, hosting, CI/CD, CDNs, observability… Always thought that AI is a TAM multiplier, but seeing the virality over something like clawd (which btw is NOT that incremental compared to existing agentic open source frameworks for coding), makes me think the demand acceleration is closer.
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We nailed the short on application software $IGV in 2025 and the bottom in the infrastructure, security in February 2026! #AgentLayer
Snapshot from our note in June 2025 laying out the bear case for $CRM and application software…. —- AI/Agent Technology & Interoperability Threatening System of Record Value: The rapid advancements in AI, particularly the rise of sophisticated AI agents and initiatives like the Model Context Protocol (MCP), pose a potential existential threat to Salesforce's traditional "system of record" moat. MCP and new interoperability standards (from Google) aim to allow AI agents to seamlessly access and interact with data across various enterprise systems, regardless of where the data resides. If successful, this could mean that the primary interface for users and the "intelligence layer" shifts from the CRM system itself to these AI agents. Salesforce could be relegated to one of many backend data sources, diminishing its strategic importance and the stickiness of its platform. The value could accrue to the AI model providers and agent orchestration platforms rather than the underlying record systems if they don't adapt quickly to become truly open and composable. While Salesforce is heavily investing in its own AI (Einstein, Agentforce), a future where open, interoperable AI agents become dominant could commoditize the underlying data storage and CRM functionalities. Structurally Lower Software Development Costs Reducing Barriers to Entry: Compounding the AI threat, the long-term trend of structurally lower software development costs - driven by advances in low-code/no-code platforms, open-source components, and AI-assisted development - reduces the barriers to entry for competing CRM systems. Niche players or even new entrants can potentially develop compelling CRM functionalities or equivalent business logic embedded within other platforms at a faster pace and lower cost than was previously possible. This could lead to a proliferation of more specialized, agile, and cost-effective solutions that chip away at Salesforce's broader market, especially if combined with interoperable AI agents that can orchestrate across these varied tools. It will also limit their ability to charge for additional modules and features. While Salesforce benefits from a massive ecosystem and installed base, the ease of developing sophisticated software could empower a new wave of competition over the very long term. New entrants, leveraging reduced development expenses, are positioned to undercut incumbents on price. As a result, established players (like Salesforce) will likely face increasing pricing pressure, especially as the inherent value of their system-of-record status diminishes over time.
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Andrew Freedman, CFA 🦅 retweeted
charmed to meet you!
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Andrew Freedman, CFA 🦅 retweeted
Muse 🤝 Mac
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