"I may not make an honest buck, but I'm 100% American." E Orthodox Inquirer. GA Southern History MA & BA. Avatar: Amos Akerman.
Douglasville, GA
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RT @Brahmonaut: The best entry on Petrov is in encyclopedia Brittanica which says, “He is survived by his two children, two grandchildren a…
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VoteHub projection for 2026's VBM in Georgia:
Ossoff: 69.1%
Collins: 29.9%
MOV: D+39.2
In the 2022 general, VBM went like this:
Warnock: 67.6%
Walker: 30.4%
MOV: D+37.6
Warnock won the general by <1%.
VoteHub has Ossoff winning by 9.4.
They should adjust their model.
Georgia 🍑 U.S. Senate
Mail requests as of Sep 25, 2026
Modeled margin if returned:
🔵 Jon Ossoff – 60,207 (69.1%)
🔴 Mike Collins – 26,008 (29.9%)
About 93k ballots have been requested. We forecast a final contest margin of Ossoff +9.4.
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Also, VoteHub's projection adds up to 99.0% of VBM cast. I do not know where they think the other 1% will go. There is no Libertarian in the race, and write-ins will not amount to that much.
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"You're a moron"
Some might say that!
"You are assuming that since the VBM only changed by D+2, that the general electorate must have also only changed by D+2"
If we were getting JO+9.4, I'd expect a larger shift because GA VBM skews Dem and swing voters more likely to vote D.
You're a moron. You are assuming that since the VBM only changed by D+2, that the general electorate must have also only changed by D+2.
That is a very bad assumption. VBM is already overwhelmingly D and probably has much fewer actual swing voters.
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Jake Walker retweeted
It's amazing there was a time when the gaming industry could not give a shit who they offended.
In fact, people even leaned into it!
#gaming #retrogaming #videogames
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"This is Joe. He's from Chicago."
-"No, I'm not."
"Don't listen to him. He's from Chicago. Well, near it, at least."
-"I'm from Carbondale!"
"Close enough."
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There are critical races in IA, KS, MI, NE, and OH in this midterm cycle. They are also where strong Republicans seem to be hardest to reach.
They also seem to be moderately under-represented in polls of NV, NC, and GA.
There are a lot of critical races in those states.
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After Bart Stupak compromised on Obamacare, many pro-life Dems backed the bill.
The backlash in 2010 was immense. Oberstar and Taylor (who voted against Ocare) both lost. Stupak retired.
By 2015, only 12 of the 64 Ds who backed the original Stupak amendment remained in Congress
What 2 Years of Barack Obama becoming President does to the wonderful people of Mississippi 💔
2008: 🔵 D + 49.1
2010: 🔴 R + 5.1
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