not my kind of market, too much detective work figuring out the rules, sweat or tears, too much hassle
Did Ronaldo cry at the World Cup?
According to Polymarket traders, he didn't cry and the current odds are at 15% that he did.
The argument comes down to this rule: "This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Cristiano Ronaldo visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed."
But the photos below, and many others from Getty taken by professional photographers, appear to show tears. His eyes are clearly red from tearing up, and in Fox footage you can even see him moments later wiping his eyes.
Based on the spirit of a market, which is titled as "Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?", this looks like a clear YES.
All the arguments about this is being sweat and not tears, they feel really scammy because no matter how he cried, you could have this argument, which makes the market pointless.
If Polymarket clarifies this one, I think it can easily go to YES.
If it goes to UMA voting, it will probably go to NO since a few big traders with influence in UMA are on the NO side.
Personally, I have $1,500 on YES to win $11,000, because I think those pictures should be enough for the market to resolve.