Agi is here and you’re still broke
You failed to escape the underclass
It’s over it’s all over
OpenAI’s math release is, in the words of Opus, “the single most consequential mathematical release ever” *
LLMs have how made substantial progress on 4 of 7 Millenium Prize problems: Navier-Stokes (claimed), Riemann, Hodge and Birch-Swinnerton-Dyer. Poincaré was solved in 2003. The two left are P v NP and Yang Mills.
*conditional on verification
On average, each OpenAI result used only 3hrs of thinking compute on their new unreleased models.
Two years ago, models said 9.11 > 9.9. Today, we have results that the smartest human minds have not been able to achieve in their entire lives. It is clear that data, compute and algorithms scale. Every model generation (3mos) has made substantial intelligence progress.
It also becomes incredibly hard to not believe that all knowledge work will change monumentally over time. The things AI can not do in the foreseeable future are very likely context-bound (don’t have access to the right information) than intelligence bound. Some might argue they are also creativity-bound or judgement-bound (what should I work on), although it can be argued that future generations could solve for this (given, say, the advancement in research taste for models over time).
AGI is defined as surpassing human capabilities on virtually all cognitive tasks. By most interpretations of that definition, we are there. The domains humans are still better than AI, such as, robotics / physical world control (data-bound?), natural science research (data-bound), some creative domains like writing, movies, music (creativity-bound), super long tasks (context-bound), choosing problems to solve (creativity-bound) and maybe human relationships management (meat-proxy bound?).
In many ways, we have achieved AGI.