As promised yesterday, today we'll be taking a look at Carvana's prime auto receivables trust 2025-P3.
Unlike non-prime (N), prime (P) packaged loans consist of borrowers with higher FICO scores.
Here are the key points:
- An average car is around $25,000 (slightly more expensive compared to $23,000 in sub-prime package)
- Average interest is 13% (significantly better than 21% sub-prime)
- LTV (loan-to-value) is 95, meaning the lender is financing 95% of car's value
- Loan duration is 72 months (6 years, same as with sub-prime)
- average FICO score is 702
Majority of the loans come from Texas, California, Florida, Georgia and Arizona. I'm pointing this out because we will take a look at Carvana's competitors soon.
So far, I have to say that I see nothing proprietary in Carvana's business model of selling used cars for an average price of ($25k prime, $23k sub-prime) for typical interest rates (13% prime, 21% sub-prime) on typical loan durations (6 years), with LTV of near 100.
To quote an article from Wall Street Journal from 2021, Carvana's success is based on used-car loans. If market values
$CVNA more than 12x
$KMX, you'd think that Carvana has a significant competitive advantage over Carmax in how the do used-car loans.
Over the coming days, we will look at auto receivable trusts of Carmax (at 52-week lows) and Tricolor (now bankrupt).
Stay tuned.