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1/2....Lamu Was Not Born in Lagos it is Half a Century of Kenyan Planning Some Kenyans are frothing at the mouth about the Dangote refinery in Lamu. Some call it a white elephant others say it was dreamt up last month on a flight to Lagos. Before we break ground on Wednesday, let us go back into history. Let us read the plan. Half a century in the making, The Lamu idea is older than most of the people shouting about it. The LAPSSET Corridor Development Authority's own record sets out the timeline: ✅️• 1975: The Government of Kenya, with the assistance of the Government of Japan, carried out a feasibility study on a port at Lamu. ✅️• 2003/04: While drafting the Integrated National Transport Policy, Government proposed a second transport corridor with a deep-sea port at Lamu and road and rail links to Ethiopia, South Sudan and Uganda. ✅️• 2006: Cabinet directed that LAPSSET be studied as a wider regional project. ✅️• 2008: Vision 2030 made LAPSSET a flagship project, and a full corridor study was commissioned covering the port, road and rail, a crude oil pipeline from South Sudan, Uganda and Kenya, a refinery and a product pipeline, three international airports, three resort cities and special economic zones. ✅️• November 2011: The studies were completed. ✅️• 2 March 2012: President Kibaki broke ground at Lamu alongside Ethiopia's Prime Minister Meles Zenawi and South Sudan's President Salva Kiir. The African Union then admitted LAPSSET into its Presidential Infrastructure Champion Initiative, the first project in East Africa to earn that recognition. The refinery was on the list from the day the corridor was designed. It is not a Ruto idea, and it is not a Dangote idea. It is a Kenyan idea, half a century in the making, whose time has finally come. ✅️The 2017 master plan reserved the land In April 2017, the LAPSSET Corridor Development Authority launched the Preliminary Master Plan for Lamu Port City and Investment Framework. It was prepared by WS Atkins, one of the world's leading engineering consultancies, funded by the UK government, and endorsed in Nairobi by more than 100 government, private sector and civil society stakeholders. That document did not merely mention a refinery. It reserved 53 hectares at Lamu for oil tank storage and a refinery, and described its components: crude and product tank farms, primary and secondary processing units, and service areas. It placed the refinery firmly in the medium-term development phase, right beside the port. It also noted that earlier studies by Toyota Tsusho and Japan Port Consultants had already identified the opportunity. So when someone tells you this project was cooked up in a hurry, ask them one question: have you read the master plan? The planners answered "Kenya has no oil" nine years ago. The loudest objection today is that Kenya does not produce enough crude to feed a refinery. The master plan dealt with this in one sentence. Demand for a refinery, it observed, is normally driven by end-user demand, in Kenya and across the wider East African market. The planners never built the case on Turkana oil. They built it on the millions of East Africans who buy petrol, diesel, jet fuel and gas every day. The plan envisaged products moving to Kenyan and Ethiopian markets, and noted that Kenya and Ethiopia had already signed a bilateral agreement to develop a product pipeline. It foresaw exports by sea, by rail, and by pipeline.

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