Helping you win your Fantasy Football Leagues through data driven analytics, insight, and guidance. "The Crown Prince of Dank Stats" at @FantasyPts

Pinned Tweet
I've finally narrowed down my Flag Plant players for 2026 This is it; these are "My Guys" and "My Fades" that I am resting my reputation on But please, understand the reasoning behind the players I am fading 1. Their upside is not high enough relative to their ADP cost (I don't see them as "league-winners" in 2026) 2. There are other options near their ADP that I like a lot more 3. I expect them to underperform relative to their ADP or that they'll be volatile to the point they can't be trusted in your lineup on a weekly basis 4. They fall in an ADP range where I would much rather draft a different position (typically RB over WR or RB/WR over QB/TE)
35
9
499
290,023
New must-follow accounts for the 2026 fantasy football season: 1) @KyleM_FF - if there's a "the next Ryan Heath" it'd be Kyle 2) @ChuckFBass - Fantasy Football's Meme King & the single funniest person I follow
6
5
82
21,486
Explosive Rush Rate (10+ Yards) vs. MTF/Att on attempts with 1.0+ YBCO/Att (per @FantasyPtsData) Should we be concerned that a few RBs have zero or near-zero explosive runs or forced missed tackles on this chart? (probably) - Javonte Williams, Quinshon Judkins, and Jeremiyah Love I know the Seahawks have a potentially winning RB split formula, but Jadarian Price deserves more volume Tony Pollard against the New York Giants' run defense, with Tyjae Spears potentially out, is a matchup I am keeping an eye on Despite Blake Corum ranking highly here, he is still missing two of the most fantasy-lucrative roles (pass catching + goal-line)
6
1
67
21,225
This is a re-post because I can't proofread correctly. This includes Week 3 data for Bijan Robinson
1
2,099
Kyle retweeted
The Shoeless Don leads the league in ASS on vertical Routes. The Browns have two absolute dawgs on their team. And Parker Washington is him 💪 What a time to be alive @FantasyPtsData
6
2
87
17,470
Even though the chart says Weeks 1 & 2, this includes data from last night's game
4
797
Tucker Kraft has not been himself through the first 3 games of the season - He really might not be anywhere near 100% yet His averages are all down heavily compared to 2025 (per @FantasyPtsData) [ASS] 2025: 0.070 (TE1) 2026: -0.012 (TE26) [YPRR] 2025: 2.57 (TE1) 2026: 1.28 (TE20) [Target Share] 2025: 16.4% (TE15) 2026: 13.7% (TE15) [YAC/Rec] 2025: 10.7 (TE1) 2026: 5.7 (TE15) [Passer Rating When Targeted] 2025: 155.9 (TE1) 2026: 72.2 (TE36) [Drop Rate] 2025: 9.8% (TE35)👀 2026: 17.6% (Last)🙃 [YPTOE] 2025: 4.85 (TE1) 2026: -1.36 (TE32) [FPG] 2025: 14.7 (TE2) 2026: 6.5 (TE25) His ASS alone shows that he is definitely not near 100% yet, so this could be a somewhat risky buy-low opportunity - My biggest concern is that he has 0 targets inside the 10-yard line so far
6
2
62
10,390
Kyle retweeted
Come for the start/sit discussion, stay for the crazy Hans Niemann stray You never know what you are going to get with Brett and Scott @BGWhitefield @ScottBarrettDFB
2
11
5,538
Here's how the Packers' receiving room has performed through 3 games (per @FantasyPtsData) [Target Share] - Matthew Golden: 23.4% (WR16) - Christian Watson: 21.8% (WR20) - Tucker Kraft: 13.7% (TE15) [YPRR] - Christian Watson: 2.63 (WR16) - Matthew Golden: 2.32 (WR25) - Tucker Kraft: 1.23 (TE21) [Receiving YPG] - Christian Watson: 94.7 (WR7) - Matthew Golden: 84.3 (WR11) - Tucker Kraft: 35.3 (TE15) [Catch Rate] - Christian Watson: 63.0% (WR55) - Tucker Kraft: 52.9% (TE36) - Matthew Golden: 51.7% (WR71) [FPG] - Christian Watson: 23.1 (WR7) - Matthew Golden: 15.4 (WR15) - Tucker Kraft: 6.5 (TE25) As Ryan Heath has stated, the 2026 Packers offense might mimic the 2025 Cardinals offense - Christian Watson and Matthew Golden appear to be league-winners at their ADP Matthew Golden has lost multiple big plays to PI penalties, and clearly has a higher ceiling than his FPG suggests - This is a player I was 100% wrong about. He looks great and is getting fed every single game Tucker Kraft looks absolutely awful. Mis-timed routes, drops, fumbles, and he just does not look like himself - I'm afraid to say that he's still a "buy low", because he's clear the WR3 in this offense
4
2
81
15,984
Kyle retweeted
Are Tyler Shough and Chris Olave the best cost-effective QB-WR stack of 2026? @FantasyPtsData
2
3
46
8,277
If George Kittle can stay healthy for the entire season, I think he can finish as the overall TE1 - Especially if Mike Evans continues to be hobbled by injuries Here is how Kittle produced in Week 2 on 52.0% route share (per @FantasyPtsData): Plus how those marks ranked amongst Kittle's last 28 games (dating back to 2024) - 6.15 YPRR (2nd) - 0.31 TPRR (7th) - 10.00 YAC/Rec (4th) - 0.231 1D/RR (4th) - 1.38 FP/RR (1st) - 18.0 FPG (13th) Now, imagine Kittle in a full-time role. I think our boy may be back (and better than ever?)
3
1
40
10,782
Based on market values, I get the feeling that people probably don't believe Jalen Coker will remain the WR1 in Carolina all season So, here are some additional dank stats that say otherwise: Coker is experiencing a 100% catchable target rate on his first-read targets from Bryce Young (12 for 12) - Tetairoa McMillan sits at 68th out of 74 eligible WRs with a 58.3% catchable target rate on first-read targets (7 of 12) Coker may be struggling against man coverage (-0.087 ASS), but McMillan has been even worse (-0.269 ASS) - Meanwhile, Coker leads the league in ASS vs. Zone by a wide margin (0.333), and McMillan sits at (0.056) How do these two look on non-gimmicky plays? (no trick plays, designed plays, or scramble drills) - Coker: 3.84 YPRR (WR13), 0.211 1D/RR (WR8), 133.9 Passer Rating (WR10), and 0.846 EPA/TGT (WR13) - McMillan: 1.95 YPRR (WR39), 0.079 1D/RR (WR43), 73.4 Passer Rating (WR43), and -0.390 EPA/TGT (WR63) As of right now, Coker is outplaying McMillan, adding more value, and may be a better fit for the offensive scheme The above rankings are out of 68 eligible WRs (per @FantasyPtsData )
5
6
156
27,441
When your new girl mispronounces Etienne in front of the boys
4
6
59
13,436
Is KC Concepcion the Browns receiver you want to own ROS? Luther Burden doesn't appear to be dead yet 🤔 @FantasyPtsData
8
11
239
81,427
Kyle retweeted
The Week 3 edition of ROS Top-50 Player Rankings is here! This @FantasyPts Trading Guide provides quick hits, trade outlooks, and trade package examples for my top-50 players 📈 If you love to trade, this series is for you! fantasypoints.com/nfl/articl…
8
3
39
11,384
This chart outlines QB Rushing XFP/G on Scrambles and Designed Runs (per @FantasyPtsData) - It's very odd to see Lamar Jackson and Malik Willis so far to the left on this chart (no designed runs) - Don't love that Maye is not getting many designed runs either - Tyler Shough this far to the right is shocking, but another massive bull indicator
1
3
66
11,111
More ASS data! Average Separation Score versus Man & Zone Coverages - Josh Downs, Parker Washington, Christian Watson, and Dontayvion Wicks in the top right is a thing of beauty For those of you wondering whether ASS is predictive, it is in itself, and when combined with a receiver's route share - It's the most predictive non-production metric for WRs in the game
53
30
666
432,094
There is an additional filter of a 5 min. route requirement against man coverage (the Bears WRs only have 4 each) Luther Burden: 0.750 ASS vs. Man & 0.000 ASS vs. Zone Rome Odunze: 0.000 ASS vs. Man & 0.159 ASS vs. Zone Kalif Raymond: -0.500 ASS vs. Man & 0.000 ASS vs. Zone
6
6
5,852
If you want to gain a better understanding of ASS, why it's important, and what it can tell us, I implore to check out this post
Seeing a lot of Emeka Egbuka chatter on the timeline - especially in relation to his separation metrics. Some perspective, as someone who has researched and written a ton about @FantasyPtsData's Average Separation Score. Separation score (and competitors around the industry) is like many other advanced metrics in that you should have a SPECIFIC REASON to listen to what it says instead of raw production or usage stats (fantasy points, targets, XFP, and their variations). This goes for YPRR, 1D/RR, air yards, and basically everything else that isn't just targets or production. Lower correlations to fantasy points (like in the example image below) don't mean advanced stats are useless. It just means they are telling you a specific, narrow thing about a player. It is up to you to decide whether that matters for their fantasy production going forward. Every stat is just a tool in our belt! There is no one perfect stat. You have to understand what a stat is measuring before you can use it effectively. On separation specifically (quoting from my offseason deep dive article, linked below): "Separation is only one element of a WR’s skill — catch radius, body control, ball skills, contested catch ability, and after-catch explosiveness can “earn” a player targets even without great separation." As a charted statistic intended to isolate whether a WR is winning on his routes, any version of separation score is also not going to factor in offensive environment, target competition, or QB play. So, separation score can give you a window of insight into players like Elic Ayomanor, who is stuck in a Titans' offense where nobody is producing. You'd want to use it in cases where you WANT to control away environment. It can tell you that the separation part of Davante Adams' or Keenan Allen's games were still great in 2024, and that they therefore had a good chance to succeed with new teams. It could tell you that Cooper Kupp was declining at the end of last year, with his scores falling sharply from where they were for him historically in the same offense. It is not a good reason to fade a young player who is producing in a high-octane offense with a QB who is willing to force the ball downfield. (Mayfield + Egbuka was my highest-owned DFS stack in Week 5.) Winning by finding holes in the zone, having a mind-meld and great rapport with your QB, or strong YAC and catch skills aren't necessarily any less sustainable than doing so via raw separation. And they can definitely lead to a lot of fantasy production! For those who care to read more, I dove into the best use cases and grappled with limitations of our separation metric (Average Separation Score) in this offseason article: fantasypoints.com/nfl/articl…
2
18
20,532
Here is how I would redo the 1st round of fantasy drafts if we were drafting today!
5
1
122
22,441