Seeing a lot of Emeka Egbuka chatter on the timeline - especially in relation to his separation metrics.
Some perspective, as someone who has researched and written a ton about
@FantasyPtsData's Average Separation Score.
Separation score (and competitors around the industry) is like many other advanced metrics in that you should have a SPECIFIC REASON to listen to what it says instead of raw production or usage stats (fantasy points, targets, XFP, and their variations).
This goes for YPRR, 1D/RR, air yards, and basically everything else that isn't just targets or production.
Lower correlations to fantasy points (like in the example image below) don't mean advanced stats are useless. It just means they are telling you a specific, narrow thing about a player. It is up to you to decide whether that matters for their fantasy production going forward.
Every stat is just a tool in our belt! There is no one perfect stat. You have to understand what a stat is measuring before you can use it effectively.
On separation specifically (quoting from my offseason deep dive article, linked below):
"Separation is only one element of a WR’s skill — catch radius, body control, ball skills, contested catch ability, and after-catch explosiveness can “earn” a player targets even without great separation."
As a charted statistic intended to isolate whether a WR is winning on his routes, any version of separation score is also not going to factor in offensive environment, target competition, or QB play.
So, separation score can give you a window of insight into players like Elic Ayomanor, who is stuck in a Titans' offense where nobody is producing. You'd want to use it in cases where you WANT to control away environment.
It can tell you that the separation part of Davante Adams' or Keenan Allen's games were still great in 2024, and that they therefore had a good chance to succeed with new teams.
It could tell you that Cooper Kupp was declining at the end of last year, with his scores falling sharply from where they were for him historically in the same offense.
It is not a good reason to fade a young player who is producing in a high-octane offense with a QB who is willing to force the ball downfield. (Mayfield + Egbuka was my highest-owned DFS stack in Week 5.)
Winning by finding holes in the zone, having a mind-meld and great rapport with your QB, or strong YAC and catch skills aren't necessarily any less sustainable than doing so via raw separation. And they can definitely lead to a lot of fantasy production!
For those who care to read more, I dove into the best use cases and grappled with limitations of our separation metric (Average Separation Score) in this offseason article:
fantasypoints.com/nfl/articl…