Visiting Professor-in-Practice, Emeritus Governor, #LSE| Adjunct Prof. #NUS| #WEF G/Council & YGL| #NED#Trustee UWC AC & ShareAction| Fmr NED, New City College
The presumption that the Fed raising short-term rates reduces inflation is predicated on the belief that higher rates reduce demand and investment.
But what if higher rates don’t reduce demand and investment because the demand for intelligence and energy is unaffected by higher rates because winning the race for super intelligence has a near infinite ROI and the demand for compute will remain incalculable.
Why won’t higher rates at this unique moment in history therefore lead to more inflation as interest costs are embedded in everything?
And the problem is compounded as the more the Fed raises rates, the more inflation we will have and the more the Fed will need to raise rates further and so on.
But what if the old models don’t apply to the current paradigm and the Fed is wrong?
I think the Fed might have just made a mistake. Am I right or am I wrong?
How are prices determined? While I slept, Claude made me "History of economic thought since Aristotle." I asked it to use my favourite textbook (Blaug, Economic Theory in retrospect). The result will astonish of you. Even top economists here will learn something, I promise.
Billions of dollars have been wiped off the value of companies that pivoted their business model to buying and holding bitcoin. Some are selling their tokens and returning to their original core businesses. What happened to the bitcoin treasury boom?
Tony is right but why 10 years? Could be done more quickly. The UK should not seek to replicate the deal it had before. The world has changed so much. She could seek a reformed EU - stronger external borders to stop bogus asylum seeking, enhanced defence and security, more competitive economically, tech leadership, a global actor by scrapping unanimity on foreign policy. The UK rejoining would not be a normal enlargement. UK is the 5/6th biggest economy and military power in the world. It would not be the prodigal son coming home so much as a fresh start that benefits us all 🇬🇧🇪🇺
“Until 2020 America was an oil importer; today it is a colossal exporter. China, by contrast, has become Gulf producers’ biggest customer, and the Suez canal carries its goods to European markets. That makes China the great external beneficiary of America’s policies. But it is unlikely to try to step in as the Middle Eastern hegemon”.
economist.com/leaders/2026/0…
Treasury yields March 2020:
30 year 1%
10 year 0.5%
5 year 0.5%
2 year 0.4%
3 month 0%
Today:
30 year 5.4%
10 year 5.1%
5 year 5%
2 year 4.9%
3 month 4.1%
#AI and the United Nations 🇺🇳. If it was topical during last year’s #UNGA (and this Security Council debate), it’s all the urgent this year. But it’s hard to see cross-border leadership emerge on this at the UN level.
DoorDash has ripped off more than 260,000 NYC delivery workers. We’re making them pay $131.5 million — the largest worker settlement in City history.
This is New York, where hard work pays and greed will cost you.
President @RTErdogan met with Prime Minister Tarique Rahman of Bangladesh at the Turkish House, on the sidelines of the 81st session of the UN General Assembly in New York.
There’s something very special about watching cricket find new homes.
Seeing India play Japan is wonderful in itself, but what made me smile was seeing reckoners being given to the audience at the entrance so they could understand the game better.
We’ve all had our first cricket match. It’s lovely to see more people getting theirs.
Credit to the Japan team for taking on the challenge and putting up a fight. 🇮🇳🇯🇵🏏
*TRUMP TO MEET UK PM BURNHAM AT 11:45AM TUESDAY IN NEW YORK
*TRUMP TO MEET UKRAINE'S ZELENSKYY AT 1:15PM TUESDAY IN NEW YORK
*TRUMP TO MEET WITH GULF COOPERATION COUNCIL 2:45PM TUESDAY
*TRUMP TO MEET WITH VENEZUELA'S ACTING PRESIDENT 7:40PM TUESDAY