September is shaping up to be a pivotal week with two events landing back to back.
On September 15, the Senate holds a cloture vote on the
#CLARITY Act, the procedural step that determines whether the bill has a real shot at passing in 2026 or effectively dies for the year. Then, following the next day on September 16, the Fed announces its rate decision, with markets now pricing in a meaningfully higher probability of a hike than just weeks ago.
The tension is real. Trump, Vance, and Bessent have all publicly pushed for rate cuts in recent days, an unusually direct pressure campaign on a Fed chair Trump himself appointed. Warsh, meanwhile, has signaled the opposite at Jackson Hole:
#inflation remains the priority, and a hike is very much on the table. Markets are watching to see who moves first.
Add the CLARITY Act's uncertain path (Republicans need seven Democratic votes to reach 60) and September brings two catalysts within 24 hours of each other.
Against this backdrop, our August performance update is live: +15.33% gross, driven primarily by Core Holding as bitcoin:native and ethereum:native broke higher in the second half of the month. Full breakdown of what moved the market and what we're watching heading into this week is in last week's blog post.
Volatile weeks like this one are exactly why we run a multi-strategy approach. Directional conviction where the setup supports it, systematic execution when it doesn't.