Investor in emerging market real estate, equities & bonds. In Eastern Europe since 2015. I also work with clients to access superior opportunities abroad.

My YouTube / work with me 👉
Thank you for the new (and existing) follows 🫡 Sharing a bit about me. Background - No formal background in finance. Worked in tech startups (2015-2021). Quit during the 2021 crypto bull market to focus more on private investing. - Was in crypto 2019-2025. Did OK and learnt a lot on how finance works in the DeFi world. nitter.net/MacroJason/status/2019… - Early 30s. Lived across 3 parts of the world. A multilingual and multi citizenship 'globalist' who ironically distrusts globalism and buys into a good amount of associated conspiracies. What I invest in now: I'm a top down macro investor. I identify themes and countries I believe in, then select the most assymetrical investment instrument to express that view. 1. Romanian and Polish real estate: my primary position. 20%> AAR since 2018. nitter.net/MacroJason/status/1887… 2. High yield fixed income: began investing after the Ukraine war started in 2022 and yields spiked especially in Eastern Europe. From Hungarian, Romanian and Kazakh sovereign debt to Uzbekistan corp bonds at 29% YTM flagventures.com/blog/xycf30… 3. Global equities: concentrated portfolio on energy, shipping and Kazakhstan banking. I attribute a good amount of my high returns to date to beginners luck. Will be happy if my returns averages out at ~20% AAR overtime. nitter.net/MacroJason/status/2039… 📩 I have a private newsletter which you can subscribe to for free. I do the opposite of spamming. I'm lazy with newsletters and sent out around 4 last year. flagventures.com/
Wrapped up first quarter 2026 with 91.23% YTD returns on my equities portfolio. Current holdings (not much changes since start of year): Oil & Gas: $PBR, $VAR, $ARX.TO nitter.net/MacroJason/status/2029… Coal: $TGA.L, $YAL.AX nitter.net/MacroJason/status/2031… Kazakhstan banking & fintech: $HSBK and $KSPI nitter.net/MacroJason/status/2028… Shipping (RoRo): $HAUTO, $WAWI nitter.net/MacroJason/status/2018… Chinese shipping ports: 1199.HK, 144.HK, 6198.HK nitter.net/MacroJason/status/2038… Got rid of small positions in $CIG and $NVO.
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My style icons
Subscribers of my YouTube channel not only learn about optimal frontier markets but also optimal pants bagginess and length. You don’t want to go full Gen Z but you don’t want elderly millennial slim fit either.
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Real estate prices went up 3x in many CEE capital cities in the last 10 years. But some investors did not do as well, as they bought flats with bad layouts. E.g. 10 years ago, 1 bedroom flats would be 50-60 SQM in Warsaw. But nowadays, they start from 30 SQM. So if you have a 60 SQM 1 bedroom, you are left in a tricky position. Not many buyers are looking to pay for 60 SQM for only 1 bedroom. Lesson: when you buy a flat that you only plan to sell in 5-10 years time, you can outperform by front running future trends. Many of your competitors are over focused on the current.
'4 room flat in 50 SQM? It's possible!' Romanians often tell me 50 SQM is 'too small' for a 2 room flat. Meanwhile, Polish developers have started promoting 4 room flats in 50 SQM :D This is located in the least central and possibly worse district of Warsaw (Białołęka). Important lesson: you need to front run market trends. If you purchased a 2 room flat in Warsaw 10 years ago - you might have bought something that's 60+ SQM. It is trickier to sell that unit today as buyers expect 3+ rooms in 60 SQM. They cannot afford to pay for 60 SQM and 'only' get 2 rooms. When I go for 50 SQM 2 rooms in Bucharest, I try to choose layouts where I have the option to convert it to a 3 room in the future.
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Fine, I’ll buy
Can someone start buying bonds? Not me, but someone needs to take one for the team
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Subscribers of my YouTube channel not only learn about optimal frontier markets but also optimal pants bagginess and length. You don’t want to go full Gen Z but you don’t want elderly millennial slim fit either.
i’m actually speechless
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'Long live the friendship between the peoples of China and Yugoslavia'
First Lady Melania Trump clinks glasses with President of China Xi Jinping
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I have only just learnt that Kobe Bryant (which I thought was 'Bryan') died. That's how successfully unplugged from pop culture I am.
Replying to @robiot @peer_rich
kobe death is like second american 9/11
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RT @MacroJason: @yngmisu If you don’t speak Romanian, Uzbek or Chinese - you’re NGMI in the 2030s
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Sending some soft core Polish propaganda off to Uzbekistan (though obviously with the great German company that is DHL) 'Unyielding Warsaw: 1945 ruins vs today'
Polish vs Romanian WW2 casualties are representative of how different the two civilizations are. Both are sizable countries located right next to the Soviet Union. Romania has tons of energy resources too (useful for the enemy). Yet Romania got away with 6x fewer deaths (as % of population). 'Fight to the death even if there's only 1% chance of winning' (study Warsaw uprising) vs strategically aligning with the side that's winning without pissing off the other side too much so you can switch over at the last moment if needed (Romania). I respect both.
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Background: Romanian guy from the UK remigrated back home and bought an Anglo +1 with him. Noticing this micro trend both in Romania and Poland. Local guys with a foreign girl from other Euro countries. Bullish growth of blue eyed population in RO and hopefully bullish real estate demand too.
Forward looking Anglo zoomers are learning the language of the future
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The German tailoring industry never recovered post WW2. In the interwar period, Berlin tailors rivalled London, Paris and Milan.
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War time Kyiv is higher trust and more first world than Buenos Aires. This daylight robbery happened in one of the nicest parts of BA too (Palermo Hollywood). You can have excellent climate, natural resources, geopolitics safety and even a Jewish president - but nothing can fix low median IQ.
MOTOCHORROS LE ROBARON UNA MOCHILA CON DINERO PARA UNA OPERACIÓN INMOBILIARIA Una mujer fue asaltada por dos motochorros en Palermo Hollywood, cuando rompieron la ventanilla de su auto estacionado en Costa Rica y Humboldt y le robaron una mochila con dinero destinado a una operación inmobiliaria. La Policía de la Ciudad inició una persecución y uno de los ladrones fue detenido en Juan B. Justo y José A. Cabrera, mientras que el otro fue capturado luego de chocar contra un taxi en Fitz Roy y Gorriti. Las dos motos fueron secuestradas y la víctima recuperó la mochila con el dinero. Donde queda: maps.app.goo.gl/ofkyTYQ952DD… (+) en Clarín: clar.in/4wgg2Ib
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Forward looking Anglo zoomers are learning the language of the future
Saying 'Poland will overtake the UK' is just normie stuff now. Let’s be edgier: Romania and Russia overtakes the UK in 2031. Kazakhstan overtakes the UK by 2039. These hypothetical estimates assumes all 3 countries continue the GDP per capita (PPP) growth trend achieved between 2019-2024 - so it is a big 'if'. Source: Claude AI slop maths using World Bank data data.worldbank.org/indicator…
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A lot of you are underestimating the number of EE girls earning a few thousand $ / month doing cosy remote jobs (e.g. SMM & PM). This trend accelerated massively: 1) post 2020 with remote hiring, 2) post 2022 in the case of Ukrainians being able to access the EU job market. MENA guys are upset as many of these EE girls now earn more than them - which is perfectly fair as their median IQ is at least 1 SD higher.
Burj khalifada eskortluk yaptıktan sonra aynı bu şekil evlerine dönüyorlar önceden bedavaya sikerlerdi millet bunları simdi erkekler mallaştığı icin lüks hediyeler alıyor
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I am ashamed to admit I have only just learnt that Mises and Robert Nozick are Jewish. Milton Friedman and Murray Rothbard I quasi knew about. 3 years at a supposed elite British university and I really learnt nothing. Worse still, I worshipped false idols (shilled for many of them in my LSE essays to the annoyance of Professors and as a result barely edging 2:1).
Replying to @MacroJason
I didn't learn much during my time at LSE. But one of the most useful aspects was being able to observe / interact with future UK / Euro 'metropolitan elites' (i.e. the people who serve the Rothschild & co) early. Many from my class are now MPs, senior civil servants / central bank staff and of course TradFi guys. You can't call them stupid. They are mostly 110-120 IQ types who are objectively of above average intelligence and work hard. However they are very predictable people. They excel when the rules of the game stay the same. If the world order stays more or less the same - they will do a better job than most of us in milking it and climbing to the top. However I think they might get rugged if we are indeed in the middle of the fourth turning. nitter.net/peruvian_bull/status/2…
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If you’re looking to drop a few thousand € on a trench coat - buy from Japanese boutique Cohérence and not Loro Piana
Instead of wrapping yourself in plastic this winter (Canada Goose) - consider a made to measure coat. Here are my favorite coat fabrics from Carnet. Como based textile house since 1865 - been around longer than Loro Piana but less hyped up. I went for Carnet's pure cashmere 450g option (bottom left) last winter and confirm it's warm enough till 0°C. Very light, feels like wearing warm luxury pyjamas. Cost from €2K at decent CEE tailors and probably €3-4K in developed countries. Avoid Gulf States and SE Asia at all cost.
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Bonds crashing, but not everywhere Yes yes - different timeframe, base effect and UZ 10 yr might be hypothetical rather than tradable. Still - KZ & UZ deserve some credit for being amongst the few countries doing relatively well. $UZNF $HSBK $KSPI
Bonds crashing, but not everywhere.
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In a certain Central Asian country, I switched from a half ethnic Russian contractor to a full ethnic Russian contractor. The quality and speed of work increased by at least 33% (though the previous person was great too). This hack works well in LatAm and UAE too btw (countries with increasing young & educated RU pop post 2022) with even more pronounced results.
High fertility rate is a negative when accompanied with low median IQ. I'm not saying Kazakhs and Uzbeks are geniuses. They won't overtake Poles or Russian in median IQ anytime soon. But the unique combination they have to offer is: 1) high fertility rate combined with moderate IQ, 2) natural resource wealth, 3) governance model that works for them, 4) spiritual health with moderate Islam, 5) very optimal geopolitical positioning. See post below.
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Secondary market quote I got from my Uzbek broker today. Issue date was Oct 29 2025 at 28% YTM. The few fixed income folks following me will appreciate how insane this yield compression is. Meanwhile some USD local bond issues are at 11.5%. At these yield differentials, USD makes more sense. Still expecting some new UZS issues in coming months at ~20% YTM and there are still some UZS bonds on secondary market at ~20%. Currently there are not enough UZS bonds on the market relative to increasing investor demand - hence some are trading at a premium on illiquid secondary market.
How do Uzbek companies pay you 25-29% yield on their bonds? I explain in 2 minutes
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I wanted to invest in the country with 5% GDP growth and healthy deflation. But I got the flags mixed up and invested in the wrong country. Now stuck as a bag holder. @NicusorDanRO - Mr President, can I have a refund?
Entretien bilatéral fructueux avec le Président de la République de Guinée, Mamadi Doumbouya @presi_doumbouya Alors que nous célébrons 65 ans de relations fondées sur le respect mutuel, nous avons réaffirmé notre engagement à approfondir notre coopération économique, énergétique, agricole et de sécurité alimentaire. Nous avons également abordé le renforcement de notre partenariat au sein de la Francophonie, la vitalité de notre organisation et les priorités de l'OIF, en vue du prochain Sommet de Phnom Penh. Un dialogue essentiel pour notre avenir commun et notre stratégie de partenariat renouvelé avec l'Afrique.
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