THE 15% BAND Look at this chart. 59 races. Senate and governor. States ordered from reddest to bluest in 2024. The solid lines are 2024. The dashed lines are 2026. The shaded bands are what moved. One formula fits all of it: Republican 2026 = 0.85 × Trump 2024 Democrat 2026 = Harris 2024 + 0.15 × Trump 2024 For every 1,000 Trump points, 850 stayed Republican. 150 landed on the Democratic side. The numbers: Senate: Republicans kept ~85% of Trump’s share Governor: ~86% Variation explained: 88% What makes it strange: It didn’t matter how red the state was. Wyoming, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts: same 15% (p = 0.69). The Democratic gain was sized by Trump’s vote, not Harris’s. The Harris part is zero. The 0.85 beat both standard election-swing models in every set of races. Drop any single state and the multiplier stays between 0.846 and 0.853. Why seats flipped: At 0.85, any state where Trump got under about 58.5% falls below 50%. Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina: all under that line. All flipped. What this means: Midterms are messy. This one isn’t. Two sets of races, different candidates, different campaigns, and the same 15% decrease almost everywhere. A pattern this even demands answers at the ballot level: paper ballot hand counts, poll-book check-ins against votes counted, and voter files showing who actually turned out. The numbers raise the question. The ballots can answer it.

Stephen Miller called his shot 23 years ago.

Positive Economic News: U.S. economy added 165,000 jobs in October, well above the ~65k consensus. Unemployment rate fell to 4.1% (from 4.2%). Strongest reading in months, with gains in professional & business services, health care, and transportation. Prior months also revised higher. Source: BLS / CNBC cnbc.com/2026/11/06/jobs-rep…

“GOP insiders are saying blue tsunami.” As a GOP insider… nobody is saying this right now. The early returns actually look great for Republicans. If these trends continue, Republicans will be fine.

Barack Obama TRIPLED my healthcare costs yet the Democrats are running on "affordable healthcare." Up next the Democrats will offer us free babysitting from Lindsay Clancy.

BREAKING: In a 6-5 vote, the Ninth Circuit reinstated its earlier ruling lifting restrictions on the Trump administration's efforts to have states set aside suspected noncitizen ballots, allowing it to resume such requests and warn election officials of prosecution.

Journalist Glenn Greenwald reacts to Tucker Carlson's BOMBSHELL report about the Trump administration and its plans to use nuclear weapons against Iran: "What Tucker is trumpeting there is not that a decision has been made but that this is being discussed at the highest levels — and anybody who has any sources or contacts in the Trump administration knows this is true!"

Girl is 20. Her prefrontal cortex, responsible for making executive decisions isn’t fully developed until age 25. Car rental companies know this which is why they don’t rent to anyone under 25. This girl flew one of the largest private jets. Let that sink in…

This would be the end of the nation of Poland. @D_Tarczynski #Poland

NEWSMAX's Alex Salvi reports from the front lines on the evacuations from Russian-occupied Ukraine as a temporary ceasefire allows over 700 to flee Oleshky. youtu.be/7VhByKI0t7o