Legal scholar. Write on Nat Sec, Intl Law & the MENA region. Non-Resident Fellow Quincy Institute. Author, Future of the Arab Spring.

World
My latest law review artcle "Securitizing the University" just dropped. It interrogates the university's relationship to US nat'l security both historically & since Oct 7. This relationship is at the heart of attacks against unis over the last 2 yrs /n papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
دموع الظلم والقهر لهذه السيدة المغربية بعد أن قامت السلطات المغربية بإقتلاع أشجار الأفوكادو التي غرستها في أرضها وذلك لأن مجموعة مهادرين (Mehadrin) الإسرائيلية هي من تمتلك حصريا زراعة الأفوكادو وإنتاجه في المغرب بعد التطبيع في 2020! إسرائيل إبتعلت كل شيء في المغرب الأقصى!
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
The Israeli army has dropped phosphorus bombs on the outskirts of Zawtar al-Sharqiyah municipality, near the city of Nabatieh in southern Lebanon, reports Lebanon’s National News Agency. 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/6wndd4
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
NEW: Virtually no senior Iraq analyst expected Shia armed groups to meet PM Zaidi's Sept. 30 deadline to lay down their arms. Zaidi's new phased approach, beginning with a 90-day halt to attacks on US/Coalition interests and intended to end with integration of all fighters into the PMU *on an individual basis* by mid-2027, is also difficult to foresee. For example, there's no clarity on what happens with the actual residual organizations, not to mention how to deal with leadership networks of integrated fighters being reproduced in new settings. But like much else in the region, from Baghdad and Washington's perspective, it's better than nothing.
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
Holyshit
BREAKING: Just days after Pete Hegseth called the Washington Post’s casualty reporting “DISGUSTING and FAKE” and “a complete LIE” — the Pentagon quietly added 37 more wounded US troops to its own public database, 29 Navy sailors and 8 Marines, pushing the official Iran war wounded tally to 861, per the Washington Post. The Pentagon has not disclosed when, where or how the 37 service members were wounded. A Navy official said all 29 sailors have returned to duty, while CENTCOM declined to explain the increase. Hegseth had attacked the Post after it reported at least 22 US military personnel had died since the war began, four more than the Pentagon’s public database showed, writing on X: “This is DISGUSTING and FAKE. A complete LIE. Shame on the Washington Post — they’re worse than Iranian state media.” The Pentagon is now publicly acknowledging dozens more wounded US troops without publicly explaining when, where or how they were injured.
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
BREAKING | Iraq's Najaf International Airport suspends all flights to and from Iran Najaf International Airport administration has officially announced the suspension of all incoming and outgoing flights with Iran, effective from today, until further notice. The decision follows similar measures across Iraqi aviation hubs amid tightening US secondary sanctions targeting Iran's aviation sector and service providers.
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
Efforts to hold Israel accountable for its violations of international law (war crimes, genocide etc) has taken a major step forward. The Hague Group meeting this year is attended by government representatives of more than 40 countries, including speeches by a European FM for the first time (Norway). And the meeting is taking place in the Trusteeship room at the UN headquarters itself. Meeting is chaired by South African FM Ronald Lamola. Brazilian FM will also speak, among others. And this is not just about Israel. It's about the centrality of international law - and the inescapable necessity of its enforcement!
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
Iran’s Foreign Minister at the UNSC: Iran has presented a specific plan to the US, with a timeframe of 7 days. If conditions are met, free from pressure and threats, the Strait of Hormoz can be reopened within 7 days. This 7-day deadline begins immediately after the US accepts it. The Strait of Hormoz could be reopened on the 6th day, and on the 7th day, negotiations will begin to reach a final agreement. We conveyed this message to the US via Qatar. - This is what most outlets were referring to regarding indirect negotiations.
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
ادوارد سعيد | صعب جدا أن أقف هنا أتحدث بينما أرى أبناء شعبي يمرّون بهذه المعاناة التي لا نهاية لها، بدون أي تعاطف أو دعم مما يسمى بالعالم المتحضر الذي يدعم "إسرائيل".. وأشعر بالخزي لأنني انتمى لنفس النوع البشري لهؤلاء المتوحشين الذين يهجّرون الناس...
فلسطين لا تزال هنا | إدوارد سعيد، برفقه إبراهيم أبو لغد، يزور بيته الذي وُلد فيه في القدس، واستولى عليه الاحتلال.. *من فيلم "البحث عن فلسطين"| In Search of Palestine أنتجته بي بي سي عام ١٩٩٨، وتم عرضه مرة واحدة فقط، ولم يتم عرضه في أمريكا بسبب ضغط اللوبي الصهيوني.
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The proper way to understand these numbers is to- in addition to their being far below pre-war figures-is NOT that there is lots more oil flowing out of the region but rather that oil flows that used to leave the west coast of Saudi are now leaving the east
Latest Hormuz oil flow run shows more than 13.5 MMbpd clearing the Strait as of yesterday on a 7dma (and as regular readers will know, day-ago numbers are usually an undercount) By far the biggest rise has come from Saudi Arabia's new Gulf loadings blitz. (Data via Kpler)
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lol the state department has a substack...
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Azerbaijan was a part of Iran before Russia took it by force. Now Azerbaijan is dreaming about swallowing a large swath of Iran. The Azeris certainly don’t have the mil capability of pulling this off which is why they actively support the Israel/US effort to destabilize Iran
A fundamental question for Aliyev's government: When, exactly, did Azerbaijan ever extend from north of the Aras River to the Persian Gulf? What does teaching children this fictional "homeland" tell them about their neighbors?
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
Israel is trying to remove this video form the internet. An Israeli got a red card for doing the most Israeli celebration possible.
Sulaiman Ahmed
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
«محاصره هوایی ایران» (لغو شدن پروازهای ایران به کشورهای همسایه، منطقه و دیگر نقاط دنیا)، پیوستِ «محاصره دریایی» است! اینکه کشورهایی چون آذربایجان، ترکمنستان، امارات و حتی عراق، جسارتِ لغو پروازهای ایران را عطفِ به هشدارهایِ آمریکا داشتند، یعنی تهدیدِ دیروز ایران مبنی بر ناامنی فرودگاه‌های دیگر کشورها، اصلا برای آنها معتبر نبوده! اگر اقدامِ موثری برای جلوگیری از ایجاد «محاصره‌ی هوایی» بر آسمانِ اطراف ایران نشود، آمریکا وارد فازِ اخلال در «مرزهای زمینی» خواهد شد!
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
BREAKING: The US 30Y Note Yield rises to 5.53%, its highest level since June 2004. That's +25 basis points in 3 days as the bond market continues to drop sharply. We expect US mortgage rates above 7.50% today.
It's official. As the bond market "meltdown" accelerates, the average interest rate on a 30Y mortgage in the US is up to 7.45%. That's up +150 basis points in 6 months and the highest since 2023, when inflation was at 6.4%+. What is happening? Let us explain. (a thread)
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
The new US aviation sanctions are serious. Bessent had threatened that, beginning September 23, foreign companies that provide Iranian airlines with fuel, landing services, or ticket sales risk being “knocked out of the dollar system.” It is the latest example of Washington weaponizing its financial dominance to maximize civilian suffering inside Iran, on top of years of sweeping sanctions and now multiple wars and a naval blockade. For Tehran, this is also the latest test of its new more assertive security strategy. If a new form of US pressure is allowed to take hold without imposing costs in return, it risks becoming the new baseline. Iran is therefore threatening reciprocal escalation: if regional states help Washington isolate Iranian aviation, Tehran says their airports could be disrupted as well. The question is whether Iran follows through, and what Washington does if it does. Will the US actually punish countries that continue servicing Iranian aircraft? Or will Iranian counter-escalation raise the costs enough that Washington ultimately backs away from enforcing the threat? Notably, Washington appears to have backed away from its recently announced “tanker-for-tanker” policy even as daily Iranian attacks on Persian Gulf shipping have continued, after the policy itself produced a sharp cycle of counter-escalation from Iran.
🔴 BREAKING: Iraq’s Najaf International Airport has suspended all flights to and from Iran, the Iraqi state news agency reports.
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
BIG: Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan are convening an urgent chiefs-of-staff meeting under their Mecca Joint Defence Pact after intensifying Houthi attacks on Saudi territory. This is the first activation-level move under the pact, which treats an attack on one as an attack on all three. The trigger: Saudi air defenses intercepted six ballistic missiles targeting Taif and Yanbu on September 24, with separate Houthi claims of hitting Riyadh and Aramco sites. France has also offered troops, radars, and air defense for Yanbu. No specific military support announced yet, any deployment requires a formal Saudi request.
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Maryam Jamshidi (msjamshidi.bsky.social) retweeted
Israel's Delegation is STALKING Iran's President at the United Nations WHAT A CREEP Footage shows Israeli UN envoy Danny Danon watching from above as President Masoud Pezeshkian and the Iranian delegation leave the United Nations building.
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Political bias is not only about the data u chose but about how u frame it. Those pushing a narrative that the the SoH is "open" frame data about oil exports as better than at any point before the war even where exports are still well below pre-war levels
CHART OF THE DAY: Saudi oil exports -- so far in September, highest since the start of the war.
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The Palestine exception is turning into the Iran exception. Even Western states, like Ireland, willing to call out crimes committed against Palestine remain unwilling 2 consistently condemn the blatant violations of intl law committed against Iran.
Irish Taoiseach Micheál Martin on Iran: Ireland has consistently stated that Iran must cease its attacks on its neighbors and also end its destabilizing activities across the region, including strikes on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Vessels must be allowed to transit the strait safely and without tolls in line with international law. If we are to build greater stability, Iran must never have a nuclear weapon. Iran’s destabilizing influence across the region must cease. We need dialogue to achieve a negotiated settlement.
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Former Irish leaders like Mary Robinson and Micheal D. Higgins have condemned the war, but current Taoiseach Michael Martin has chosen to equivocate instead of clearly condemning the US for its unlawful and destabilizing war trtworld.com/article/5b1d15e…
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The only prominent Western leader whose condemnation was clear was Spain's Pedro Sanchez. Everyone else, from Macron to Starmer to the awful Mark Carney, were at best mild in their reactions w/ some, like Carney, effectively cheering the war on even if it was illegal.
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