It is a Stock Picker's Market. Tweets Are Not Financial Advice
Orlando, FL
Based in United States
- Tweets 1,246
- Following 207
- Followers 1,116
- Likes 1,987
Claudification @agnostoxxx
I JUST GAVE AI $10,000 OF MY REAL MONEY TO INVEST IN THE STOCK MARKET
I told my AI Agent to beat the stock market over the long term and don't get me a huge tax bill doing it
This is what the AI bought for me:
$1,470.88 of Nvidia $NVDA
$1,176.58 of Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM
$1,176.56 of Amazon $AMZN
$1,176.54 of Microsoft $MSFT
$981.36 of Eli Lilly $LLY
$980.64 of Broadcom $AVGO
$783.23 of Google $GOOGL
$30.65 of Google $GOOGL
$24.69 of Visa $V
$24.69 of Eaton $ETN
$24.68 of Intuitive Surgical $ISRG
$2,100 of available cash
I will keep you all updated going forward on how this goes 🫡
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A contrarian pick, for AI-like return in real estate. $STWD (Starwood Property Trust) has an asymmetric setup for a possible ~50% total return over the next 12 months
If Treasury yields peaks and then declines back within the next year, then a combination of the current 13.3% div yield + rerating back to above its undepreciated book value ($19/share) results in close to 50% return for this best of breed lender.
True Multi-Cylinder Engine: Unlike pure-play lenders exposed to a single-sector, $STWD operates across commercial lending, infrastructure, and owned real estate.
Built-in Counter-Cyclical Hedge: Its Special Servicing and Investing arm actually benefits when market volatility rises, collecting servicing fees that insulate cash flows when traditional credit tightens.
Office Risk Is Overblown: U.S. office makes up less than 8% of its total asset base, with the balance anchored in residential, industrial, and essential infrastructure.
Unmatched Dividend Track Record: Management has maintained its quarterly dividend for over 17 yrs without a single cut through multiple rate cycles.
Collecting a 13.3% cash yield while waiting for a yield-driven rerating could deliver an equity-like upside with institutional downside protection.
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What most bears miss about the US market. @erik_ywr is a fantastic thinker.
OUT NOW- WHAT IF IT'S STILL EARLY? @erik_ywr on:
- why he expects S&P MELT-UP to 10,000 by 2027
- earnings growth ENORMOUS (bears are in denial)
Apple🔊shorturl.at/pBZoA
Spotify📽️shorturl.at/wLuvi
YouTube📽️rb.gy/c6tb88
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Interesting to see the recent price action in $MGM, is the market finally waking up to the massive valuation gap?
Trading at ~6.0x EV/EBITDAR (using standard rent multiples)
Private Reality: The Northfield Park exit closed at a ~9.4x implied EBITDAR multiple
Sector Anchor: Current buyout offers for $CZR setting a peer floor at ~9.5x.
Management is effectively shorting this spread, divesting regional assets at 9x+ and buying back it's own shares, outstanding shares down 50% over last 5 years.
#ubercannibal
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That didn't take too long
thekeyword.co/news/openai-dr…
It's always amazing for me to see $expe stock getting pummelled evertime there is AI disruption related sell off in the market.
Expedia is a platform, for an AI app to replace it, one will need to build something equivalent, get all the hotels to list it there (as inventory) and manage the bookings. Not that it can't be done but it's not same as replacing a SaaS company.
Instead I see Expedia using AI to navigate the change. It's more likely that AI replaces how users find hotels on Expedia vs via google search now than the former happening.
Also, it's a super recession proof business model.
Time will tell for sure :)
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$AAPL looking pretty smart staying out of the the AI capex wars 😉
This story is not over yet.
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It's always amazing for me to see $expe stock getting pummelled evertime there is AI disruption related sell off in the market.
Expedia is a platform, for an AI app to replace it, one will need to build something equivalent, get all the hotels to list it there (as inventory) and manage the bookings. Not that it can't be done but it's not same as replacing a SaaS company.
Instead I see Expedia using AI to navigate the change. It's more likely that AI replaces how users find hotels on Expedia vs via google search now than the former happening.
Also, it's a super recession proof business model.
Time will tell for sure :)
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The 2025 returns wouldn't have been possible without the below sources, giving credit where it’s due:
@Shipping_VIE, @mintzmyer Best Shipping service out there
@erik_ywr Finding the ideas no one else is looking at!
@stockspinoffss Deep-dive research on spinoff plays
@riteshmjn For the crucial macro insights
Grateful for the alpha! 🙏
2025 was a defining year for Multiples Capital. We delivered a 35.6% return with a 3.15 Sharpe Ratio, achieving high performance at half the volatility (2.49% std dev).
Success was driven by a good marriage of disciplined stock-picking and focusing on 5 core macro themes.
Our Year-End Letter is now available, featuring:
- A deep dive into 2025 performance drivers.
- The 2026 roadmap and where I am allocating.
- An introduction to our newest macro theme.
Please DM me if you’d like a copy of the letter. 🙏
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Wild to see 5-yr returns of many of the MAG7 names vs several shipping names (across containerships, dry bulls, tankers, LPG, LNG) and before taking into account their meaningful dividends. One of them even beat $NVDA .... Valuation matters as a starting point.
@Shipping_VIE @mintzmyer
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Thank you for flagging this anomaly. Note PhoneX issued a statement today that Finra as set Oct 2 the Ex Div date.
I called both PhoneX, spoke to their counsel and IBKR and confirm that this does fall under Due Bill trading and the buyer of the stock that holds it through ex div date will get the dividend.
Not a financial advice, please do your own due diligence.
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"Rally of the 2nd Tier": the runner-up is running the show over 6m/3m/1m time periods:
• Silver > Gold ( $SLV > $GLD)
• ETH > BTC
• Small caps > S&P 500 ( $IWM > $SPY)
Seeing it occur even in individual stock levels:
• $AMD > $NVDA
• $EXPE > $BKNG
• $LYFT > $UBER
What it implies: That breadth + beta has been improving, perhaps in anticipation of rate cuts and overall healthier economy than anticipated.
Likely keeps the bull run going for now. Charts below
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"BNPL will eventually die"? $AFRM (Affirm) says otherwise.
Q4 GMV +43% to $10.4B, Rev +33% to $876M. EPS flipped –$0.14 → +$0.20, Op inc +$58M.
Company executing with Amazon/Shopify/Costco partnerships, Affirm physical card and Stripe integration (for SMB market reach).
With AI/ML underwriting + 0% plans, Affirm is scaling up profitably for now. As CEO Max Levchin put it: “We love math.” Execution > narrative.
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