NextGen Polling
@NextGenPolling

NextGenP is a national political consulting firm providing a range of services from consulting, campaign management, texting, and polling. nxtgenp.com

 Chandler, AZ
Joined August 2024
Town of Prescott Voters Don’t Want Flock either   Most Arizonans want fewer flock cameras or none at all; the sour feeling is no different in the Town of Prescott. People in every group want safety nets, like city consent and review before the cameras are used and independent audits. This comes after multiple Arizona cities have now banned them. 
See The Full Release > nxtgenp.com/post/Town-of-Pre… NextGen Polling | 9/17 - 9/20 | n = 1,236, MOE +\- 2.8%
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Town of Prescott Valley Residents Don’t Want Flock Cameras   Most Arizonans want fewer flock cameras or none at all; the sour feeling is no different in Prescott Valley. People in every group want safety nets, such as audits and public commenting before implementing. This comes after multiple Arizona cities have now banned them. 
See The Press Release, Top-lines and Cross-tabs here: nxtgenp.com/post/Town-of-Pre… NextGen Polling | 9/17 - 9/20 | n = 808, MOE +\- 3.8%
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🚨NEW POLL: Paradise Valley Residents sour on Flock Cameras. Nearly 50% of Residents want to limit or eliminate Flock entirely from the city. See more ⬇️ 🟥 NextGen Polling | 8/31 - 9/4 | n = 534, MOE +\- 4.4% See the full release: NxtGenP.com/news
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Replying to @treyterry
Our full weighting for raking. It was weighted off of 2022 General election turnout. The %'s are from the 3 or 4 of 4 general voters below. We first run raking on party and then overall so 4 vectors of raking/weighting. Hope this helps explain the methodology.
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AZ AG RACE: Mayes leads Petersen by 2.9 pts — but 29.5% are still undecided, the largest undecided bloc on the survey 🟦Mayes 36.7% 🟥Petersen 33.8% ⬜️Undecided 29.5% NextGen Polling, 8/17-19 | n=1627 | MOE ±2.6% Full Press Release, Toplines, Project Analysis and Crosstabs can be found at: nxtgenp.com/news
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AZ GOV RACE: Hobbs holds a narrow 1.5-pt lead over Biggs, ~10 weeks out 🟦Hobbs 39% 🟥Biggs 37.5% ⬜️Undecided 22.2% NextGen Polling, 8/17-19 | n=1627 | MOE ±2.6% Full Press Release, Toplines, Project Analysis and Crosstabs can be found at: nxtgenp.com/news
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NEW AZ POLL: Voters are souring on Flock cameras 60.2% want use limited or eliminated 62.9% oppose police use 82% concerned of potential misuse 82% support independent audits AI surveillance is becoming a top voter issue — leaders will have to answer for it. NextGen Polling, 8/17-19 | n=1627 | MOE ±2.6% Full Press Release, Toplines, Project Analysis and Crosstabs can be found at: nxtgenp.com/news
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AZ GOP PRIMARY | 5/5 Races Called 3 of 5 races within 3 pts. | Avg. Delta Δ 4.9 Actual v. NextGenP Poll ✅Biggs +58.7 ( Δ3.0 ) ✅Kolodin +19.2 ( Δ5.1 ) ✅Petersen +12.4 ( Δ2.8 ) ✅Yee +6.0 ( Δ2.4 ) ✅Norton +11.8 ( Δ11.4 ) Compared as of July 22nd, 2026
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Replying to @tylerbowyer
And maybe the biggest margin of victory in a Rep Gov primary!! Will he beat this
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Our new statewide poll aired on @12News this weekend 🗳 @andybiggs4az CRUSHES governor Primary! See the full breakdown 👇 #AZGOV #AZPol
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Replying to @tempe_girl
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Replying to @drewsexton23
David doesn’t even pull 15% of the vote in his home district AZ-1
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For an interactive view, we created a map showing the results across the state. You can toggle on CD, LD or City and hover over to see results. You can choose which race and how the data is displayed. This is best viewed on a computer: wonderful-donut-4a92bc.netli…
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SUPER INTENDENT OF PUBLIC INST. JUNE 18TH: Horne: 33% (+9%) Yee: 24% JULY 9TH Yee: 44% (+8%) Horne: 36% @KimberlyYeeAZ With nearly half the sample already voted, Horne faces a structural clock problem: the undecided pool would need to break approximately 75-25 in his favor to close Yee's current lead among committed voters — an unlikely scenario absent a large late-breaking event.
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TREASURER JUNE 18TH: Norton: 15% (+3%) Haley: 12% JULY 9TH Norton: 43% (+23%) Haley: 20% @NortonforAZ The 37% undecided pool is large enough in theory to change the outcome, but Norton's consistent cross-demographic strength and the time pressure of the early-vote window make a Haley comeback unlikely.
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ATTORNEY GENERAL JUNE 18TH: Petersen: 26% (+6%) Glassman: 20% JULY 9TH: Petersen: 43% (+15%) Glassman: 28% The most genuinely competitive race of the five down-ballot contests, but @votewarren's structural depth means he has a floor that Glassman cannot easily breach. Glassman could produce a surprising result — but Petersen remains the clear frontrunner.
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SECRETARY OF STATE JUNE 18TH: Kolodin: 16% (+5%) Swoboda: 11% JULY 9TH Kolodin: 44% (+24%) Swoboda: 20% @realAlexKolodin This is the second-most decided race in the poll after Governor. the undecided pool at 36% is too small to swing the contest absent an extraordinary event
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GOVERNOR JUNE 18TH: BIGGS - 57% (+46%) SCHWEIKERT - 11% JULY 9TH: BIGGS: 66% (+56) SCHWEIKERT: 10% @andybiggs4az holds a historic advantage. The second closest Republican primary for gov. being in +40.4 in 2018. This race is decided.
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🚨 NEW AZ STATEWIDE POLL: Three weeks ago, most top statewide races were within the margin of error. Today, none of them are. Our survey of 1,707 Republican Likely primary voters with a +/- 2.5% MOE shows things have drastically changed! Here's what changed in 21 days 🧵👇 To see a pdf of the results or the crosstabs, visit: NxtGenP.com/News
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We’re in the field in AZ testing the top 5 Republican primary statewide races! Just launched and already 1.1K+ unweighted responses with 20 hours still to go before we close! All Rep Primary LV’s! To be clear - races have taken definite shape and direction. Stay tuned!
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Your feedback was heard!  After releasing our detailed heat map for CD-1 Friday, many asked us to do the same for the statewide poll in Maricopa County. So here you go: celadon-chimera-ed2f66.netli… Enjoy and tell us what you think!   **note this represents 1,023 of our 1,695 total responses in the statewide poll
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Polling mostly has been consistent from the start (one outlier showing Scheikert up higher than everyone else). But the Arizona Republican Primary for Governor race is over. We should all rally behind our nominee for Governor @andybiggs4az now and give him an extra 4 weeks to take his winning messages / strategy and focus on beating Hobbs. There is too much at stake to let the primary at this point become a distraction. **NextGenP and NextGenP Polling are not now nor have ever been a service provider to any anyone in this race or their associated PACs
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Picture of our interactive heatmap that allows you to review the data by question, LD, City and Precinct
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FEELY BARELY LEADS CD1 PRIMARY; CHAPLIK RUNS CLOSE WITH 46% UNDECIDED BALLOT TEST Feely: 25% Chaplik: 23% Trobough: 6% Undecided: 46% With only a +2% margin, led by Jay Feely over Joseph Chaplik and 46% of voters remaining undecided, this race is essentially a dead heat. Geographic turnout - Especially in LD3 - will decide the Republican Nominee. See the details in the press release AND EXPLORE our proprietary heat map showing results visually by precinct! This survey consisted of a random sample of 695 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from June 16th to June 17th. Margin of error is ± 3.9% at the 95% confidence level. Read more and see the Interactive Heat Map> nxtgenp.com/news
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Building a bridge for the next generation is one of our core values. In line with that, NextGenP is proud to announce Troy Holderby’s promotion from Communications Manager to Deputy Political Director! Troy has demonstrated his skill and capabilities leading field operations, advised on a range of political projects, and currently serves as the chairman of the Arizona College Republicans. We could not be more proud of him!
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Horne holds a commanding lead in Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Primary. BALLOT TEST Horne: 33% Yee: 24% Undecided: 42% **Number rounding causes totals to not show adding to 100% Tom Horne holds a +9% lead over Kimberly Yee. Older and conservative voters largely favor Horne, while Yee is popular with younger and post-graduate voters. Horne holds the commanding lead and is favored in this primary. This survey consisted of a random sample of 1,683 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from June 16th through June 17th. Margin of error is ± 2.5% at the 95% confidence level. Read more and see the full cross tabs here > nxtgenp.com/news
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Norton gains a narrow lead in the Treasurer race in the largest undecided Arizona primary. BALLOT TEST Norton 15% Haley 12% Undecided: 73% Elijah Norton leads Katherine Haley by about +4% in the undecided primary. Norton leads across most demographics, Haley edges out among moderates. Both have significant room to grow and will need aggressive voter contact to win. This survey consisted of a random sample of 1,683 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from June 16th through June 17th. Margin of error is ± 2.5% at the 95% confidence level. Read more and see the full cross-tabs here > nxtgenp.com/news
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Kolodin holds onto slight advantage in Arizona Secretary of State Primary. BALLOT TEST Kolodin: 16% Swoboda: 11% Undecided: 73% Alex Kolodin has a net +5% advantage against Gina Swoboda in a wide-open primary. Kolodin leads conservative republicans while moderate voters favor Gina Swoboda. Both candidates must dramatically accelerate voter contact to reach the unclaimed majority before primary day. This survey consisted of a random sample of 1,683 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from June 16th through June 17th. Margin of error is ± 2.5% at the 95% confidence level. Read more and see the full cross tabs here > nxtgenp.com/news
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Andy Biggs dominates Arizona Governor's Primary. BALLOT TEST Biggs: 57% Schweikert: 11% Others: 5% Undecided: 28% **Number rounding causes totals not to add up to 100% Andy Biggs holds a +46% advantage in the Governor's Primary. Biggs leads with strength across every demographic tested and geographic district. With 28% still undecided, his structural advantage is insurmountable. This survey consisted of a random sample of 1,683 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from June 16th to June 17th. Margin of error is ± 2.5% at the 95% confidence level. Read more and see the full cross-tabs here > nxtgenp.com/news
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Warren Petersen leads in the most decided and competitve Arizona Attorney General Primary. BALLOT TEST Petersen: 26% Glassman: 20% Undecided: 55% **Number rounding causes totals to not show adding to 100% Petersen holds a +6% over Glassman in the most decided competitive race down-ballot. The large undecided pool means base mobilization in the final weeks will determine the Republican nominee. This survey consisted of a random sample of 1,683 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from June 16th through June 17th. Margin of error is ± 2.5% at the 95% confidence level. Read more and see the full cross tabs here > nxtgenp.com/news
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WEEK IN REVIEW: Arizona's 2026 Republican primaries are taking shape Biggs leads the Governor's race with a commanding 52%, but undecided voters still dominate nearly every other statewide contest. The races for Treasurer, Secretary of State, Attorney General, Superintendent of Public Instruction, and AZ-CD1 are wide open. Who will pull ahead?👀
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Horne holds a slight lead with Yee closing the gap in Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Primary  BALLOT TEST  Horne 30% Yee 26% Undecided 43% *number rounding causes totals to not show adding to 100% Kimbery Yee holds the highest net approval rating at +24% while Tom Horne follows at a +22% net approval rating  The survey consisted of a random sample of N=1,255 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from April 13th through April 16th. Margin of error is ± 3.8% at the 95% confidence level.   Read more here - nxtgenp.com/post/Arizona-Sup…
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Chaplik Holds Early Lead in AZ-CD1 GOP Primary BALLOT TEST  Chaplik 24% Feely 15% Trobough 6% Undecided 54% Joseph Chaplik holds the highest net approval rating at +20% while Jay Feely follows at a +8% net approval rating and John Trobough has a net approval rating of +3% The survey consisted of a random sample of N=409 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from April 13th through April 16th. Margin of error is ± 4.8% at the 95% confidence level.   Read more here - nxtgenp.com/post/Chaplik-lea…
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Petersen Holds a Narrow Early Edge in Arizona's Attorney General Primary BALLOT TEST  Petersen 15% Glassman 13% Undecided 71% Warren Petersen holds a higher net approval rating at +7% while Rodney Glassman only holds a +2% net approval rating The survey consisted of a random sample of 1,255 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from April 13th through April 16th. Margin of error is ± 2.7% at the 95% confidence level.   Read more here - nxtgenp.com/post/Petersen-ea…
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Neck-and-Neck Battle for Arizona Treasurer Republican Nomination BALLOT TEST  Haley 12% Norton 11% Undecided 77% Elijah Norton holds a higher net approval rating at +8% while Katherine Haley follows closely at a +6% net approval rating The survey consisted of a random sample of 1,255 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from April 13th through April 16th. Margin of error is ± 2.7% at the 95% confidence level.   Read more here - nxtgenp.com/post/Treasurer-P…
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Kolodin Establishes Early Advantage as the Arizona Secretary of State Primary Enters Its Defining Phase BALLOT TEST  Kolodin 16% Swoboda 7% Undecided 77% Alex Kolodin retains a 8% net approval rating while Gina Swoboda only has a 1% net approval rating The survey consisted of a random sample of 1,255 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from April 13th through April 16th. Margin of error is ± 2.7% at the 95% confidence level.   Read more here - nxtgenp.com/post/new-blog-po…
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Andy Biggs is Undisputed Leader in GOP Governor Primary  BALLOT TEST  Biggs 52% Schweikert 10% Neely 2% Ken Miceli 1% Undecided 35% Andy Biggs retains a 40% net approval rating while David Schweikert only has a 13% net approval rating The survey consisted of a random sample of 1,255 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from April 13th through April 16th. Margin of error is ± 2.7% at the 95% confidence level.   Read more here— nxtgenp.com/post/Biggs-Insur…
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Congratulations to NextGenP client and good friend, Cody Reim, on being appointed to the Arizona legislature in LD3. We know you will make Arizona proud!
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Replying to @J213Timmy @VerretD60265 @Garrett_Archer
I’ll do you one better big guy. Check out our raw response rate before weighting. All 3.5K thousand of them. Sadly Republicans, who have voted in 3 or 4 of the last 4 primaries, are not all on board for team “Republican”.
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BREAKING: In the largest 2026 Arizona gubernatorial poll, Hobbs significantly leads field of GOP nominee hopefuls  Andy Biggs Ballot Test 🔵 Hobbs 51% 🔴 Biggs 32% ⚪️ Other 7% ⭕️ Undecided 9% Karrin Taylor Robson Ballot Test 🔵 Hobbs 51% 🔴 Robson 30% ⚪️ Other 9% ⭕️ Undecided 10% Survey conducted 12/15-12:27. N=2,725, MOE +/- 1.89%. Weighted on 2024 general election turnout, LV gender, age and geography. Read more here >> nxtgenp.com/post/Hobbs-leads
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Our quarterly surveys this year have consistently shown @sherifflamb1 dominating the prospective Republican primary field in AZ-5 to replace current Congressman @andybiggs4az. He has consistently achieved 50+% on ballot tests, has universal name ID and he crushes his net favorability with high 60% range each time. While there are other good Republicans in this race, it would be wise to reconsider now where you may want to run!
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Sheriff Mark Lamb commands a HUGE lead in AZ-05 BALLOT TEST Mark Lamb 54% Jay Feely 7% Travis Grantham 3% Daniel Keenan 0% Alex Stovall 0% Undecided 35% Mark Lamb received a +66% net positive image, with 96% total name ID.  The poll by NextGenP was conducted 10/10-10/12 and included a weighted 830 responses from registered Republican voters who vote frequently in the primary. The poll has a 3.3% MOE at 95% confidence level. Read more here >>> nxtgenp.com/post/Lamb-47-lea…
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Charlie Kirk vigil at @ASU starting shortly...last word was the 15K Desert Financial arena was nearly booked to capacity from RSVPs!!! Watch here and celebrate @charliekirk11 @tylerbowyer Live Stream: piped.video/watch?v=LU_NvKkQ…
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Andy Biggs DOMINATES Republican Gubernatorial Primary with 22.6% lead BALLOT TEST Biggs 48.6% Robson 26.0% Other 7.7% Undecided 17.8% Andy Biggs retains a 48% net approval rating with Karrin Taylor Robson holding a 21% net approval rating Survey consisted of a random sample of 1,380 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted from June 17 through June 18. Margin of error is ± 2.6% at the 95% confidence level.   Read more here- nxtgenp.com/post/andy-biggs-…
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Sheriff Mark Lamb continues to hold MASSIVE lead in AZ-05  BALLOT TEST Mark Lamb 55% Jay Feely 8% Travis Grantham 3% Daniel Keenan 1% Monte Lyons 1% Undecided 33% Mark Lamb received a +63% net positive image, with 96% name ID.  The poll by NextGenP was conducted 6/4 and included a weighted 953 responses from likely Republican primary voters with a 3% MOE.  Click here for all the details-nxtgenp.com/post/Sheriff-Mar…
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According to an another poll, Mark Brnovich’s appointment to Ambassador opened the door for Petersen to lead in Attorney General primary BALLOT TEST Mark Brnovich 22% Warren Petersen 7% Rodney Glassman 3% Dawn Grove 3% Dan Mahoney 2% Undecided 64% The poll by NextGenP was conducted 3/26-28 and included a weighted 841 responses from likely Republican primary voters with a 3% MOE.
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UPDATE: Warren Petersen opens with lead in Arizona Attorney General race BALLOT TEST Warren Petersen 9% Rodney Glassman 6% Dan Mahoney 4% Dawn Grove 3% Undecided 78% The poll by NextGenP was conducted 3/26-28 and included a weighted 841 responses from likely Republican primary voters with a 3% MOE. Read our press release here 👇 nxtgenp.com/post/brnovich-ap…
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BREAKING: New poll for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction BALLOT TEST Tom Horne 35% Ben Toma 6% Dr. Stephen Neal 5% Undecided 54% The poll by NextGenP was conducted 3/26-28 and included a weighted 841 responses from likely Republican primary voters with a 3% MOE. Read our press release here 👇 nxtgenp.com/post/tom-horne-h…
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🚨Arizona Secretary of State Poll🚨 BALLOT TEST Ben Toma 9% Jake Hoffman 8% Gina Swoboda 7% JD Mesnard 5% Undecided 70% *This poll was completed before Alex Kolodin had announced his candidacy and included rumored candidates as of 3/25* The poll by NextGenP was conducted 3/26-28 and included a weighted 841 responses from likely Republican primary voters with a 3% MOE. Read our press release here 👇 nxtgenp.com/post/ben-toma-ho…
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NEW ARIZONA POLL: Our new Arizona statewide poll shows that 85% of Republican voters do not believe AI should be used without human oversight to determine medical coverage. A bill that would prevent AI from driving these decisions is currently in the AZ Senate (HB2175). The poll by NextGenP was  conducted 3/26-28 and included a weighted 841 responses from likely Republican primary voters with a 3% MOE. Read our press release here 👇 nxtgenp.com/post/85-of-arizo…
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