$TRT EARNINGS RECAP
I’ve now gone over the filings and spoke to the team and other shareholders.
The results were below expectations on topline due to timing issues. What does that mean?
Their customer was going from one platform to another and did no testing or limited testing at some point in the quarter. (My speculation is that
$AMD was ramping from MI 450 to MI 500, but this is purely speculation) Management claims that has stabilized and testing levels are back to Q3 levels. I am assuming they’re tapped out on capacity for testing on the original Malaysia factory.
It is confirmed that the new factory will be used mostly for testing for their American semiconductor company. (I think
$AMD but not confirmed) there’s no guarantee that customer will be testing that much volume with them, but they must feel comfortable investing in the space that it will drive returns.
MARGINS: this is very misunderstood by most people.
The AI testing business is very low margin. The customer provides the equipment and
$TRT tests the stuff. So there’s no expenses from
$TRT new factory doubles their Malaysia exposure.
EV testing and burn in board are higher margin, but less volume.
Q4 26 saw margins recover sequentially due to LESS testing business, which is now normalized. I would expect margins to once again be in the 16-18% range in the next quarter and going forward overall blended all segments.
At the current market cap, they have almost $3 a share of cash. If topline really grows as much as management thinks it can and expenses stay flattish as they expect, p/e could look cheap quick. Though again, this will never be a high margin business, one must understand that.
FY27 OUTLOOK: they expect all of their segments to grow, testing, EV BiBs and IE. They have a new product in the IE segment targeted for data centers. We’ll know more abt it once orders come in, this is the description:
Alternative to chemical washing, for cooling facilities. Would deliver a better solution for the environment and is more cost effective. Additional ROI through lower energy costs.
This new product is not needed for the company to grow in FY27.
The company expects to operate at a profit going forward. FY26 had a lot of one time expenses like the expansion, stock split, and other updates. The company may start showing non-GAAP earnings eventually to highlight how the business is actually progressing without the one time costs.
They expect to gain analyst coverage soon. Once that happens, they may feel more confident in giving out quarterly guidance and etc.
They definitely did not think the market would dislike the results as much as they did, so perhaps some changes to how they report things are made quick.
Q1 FY27 ends in a week or so. New factory should start contributing in Q2 FY27 so they’re very close to seeing how that progresses. Next quarterly report likely won’t take as long as this one did, but one must be prepared to go without news for a while.
Company is excited for their future and CEO didn’t sell any during the run, we’ll see what happens.