This weeks featured project is @polyorderbooks Research Polymarket with 1-second granular order book data, price and liquidity history. Backtest AI allows you to generate and backtest strategies with full performance evaluation Check out the video for more!

THIS GUY JUST MADE $19K FOR HIS COPY TRADERS If you started following him after my post, just check your wallets. He simply doubled the bankroll of every copy trading without even knowing it. His profile: [polymarket.com/@mrcoolside?v…] Btw those who used my wallet detection bot found him first. My free scanner is analyzing each Polymarket wallet 24/7 and automatically alerts about best finsings. Access: [t.me/detectordex] All proofs attached below. W!

Kalshi’s temperature markets beat the strongest individual public weather forecast in six of seven US cities, according to a new study. Researcher Alexander Crosier compared forecasts drawn from market prices with public weather models across 7,590 city-days. One hour into trading, the market’s forecast error was about 10% lower than the National Blend of Models. Its lead continued overnight into the day it was predicting. Traders could already read those public forecasts. The finding suggests prices were adding information beyond what any single forecast offered. That makes weather markets worth watching even without placing a bet. The September 21 preprint covers data through August 12. In the chart, lower error means a better forecast: purple is Kalshi, green is the public model.

JUST IN: OpenAI's rogue AI agents probed 3 US government websites

NY Attorney General Letitia James is suing Polymarket US If she wins it's the end for Polymarket she wants : - Polymarket blocked from operating in NY - all gains forfeited !! (as in they refund their lifetime profits) - full refund of user losses - fines up to 3× their total profits Polymarket operate under NY jurisdiction, so even if they moved they would still have to pay the fines, which would mean bankruptcy. The crux of the issue is the legal classification of Polymarket : > CTFC believes Prediction Markets are selling financial derrivates, therefor they must be regulated by them at the federal level > NY believes they are a sports gambling platform, therefore they should regulated them at the state level There is an argument to be made especially following Polymarket's pivot towards Sports but this is first and foremost a politically motivated prosecution Letitia James is a known anti-crypto Democrat that already sued KuCoin, Celsius, Gemini and Tether Polymarket has the cover of the Trump aligned CFTC for now but they will be in trouble when democrats take back power. especially considering the wash trading accusation recently brought forward by @TheFatMbappe that could be used against them They need to IPO fast before Republicans lose power if they want to exit on top

Bitcoin moves just before your five-minute bet settles, then reverses seconds later. Your loss still stands. Researchers studying Polymarket found spot trading surged near settlement, then partially reversed. The pattern was much weaker in fifteen-minute contracts. The authors interpret this as evidence of traders pushing Bitcoin’s price to influence the payout. The chart shows trading clustered around settlement on the left and the reversal afterward on the right. You could be betting against someone trying to move the price your contract settles on.

Kalshi odds can now trigger trades outside Kalshi. Public’s AI agents can watch prediction market probabilities and act when they hit conditions you set. That could mean buying or selling a stock or bond without ever touching the YES or NO contract itself. You set the rules and approve them first. After that, the agent watches the market and executes when the condition is met. Someone can now trade on Kalshi’s odds without buying a contract. But if those odds give a bad signal, the resulting stock or bond trade can lose money too.

Failed product -> power tech Polymarket monthly earning increase after us launch . Monthly 80M$ 👀 Respect to the team And recently they raise 1B$ Pre sale 5M$ worth token Each token 15.5$ Where valuation is 21B$ They are going to launch a L1 with low fees for fast transaction Actually they need it for prediction & perps The question is polymarket toekn this year ?

only 2 people make money during a crypto hack the first one is the hacker you know who the second one is

This dude treats Polymarket like a bond In 2 months, he’s made $22.5K without making a single prediction He just deposited $3.7M and split it across two opposite outcomes That puts him at #7197 in overall PnL rn Outperforming over 3.1M users by doing absolutely nothing His profile: polymarket.com/@rjfgugh?via=…

Trump said he was renaming AI super intelligence. Buying YES on that headline could still lose you money. Polymarket’s Trump renames AI by September 30?contract specifically excludes speeches, interviews and social posts. It requires a signed executive order, proclamation or presidential memorandum adopting the new name or directing the government to adopt one. The odds climbed above 50% on September 22. They’re at 31% in this September 25 snapshot, with over $272,000 traded. Anyone buying YES now is betting on a signed action before the deadline. The announcement has already happened. The paperwork is what this contract pays for.

I found the REAL prediction market arbitrage to make money with almost NO RISK No need to predict the winner It works with @Polymarket and @PredictEX Same event and ifferent prices Cardinals vs Pirates > On PredictEX: Cardinals = 38% > On Poly: Pirates = 59¢ That creates a clean gap The setup: > $99 on Cardinals on PredictEX > $153.71 on Pirates on Poly > Total size: around $252.71 Payout in either outcome: around $260.53 That’s around +$7-8 profit or about +2-3% ROI Also, every PredictEX trade earns points So on top of the arb, you’re also farming potential future rewards I have a few invites with registration bonuses: > [ predictex.com/?ref=VIJN ] There have been a lot of opportunities like this

Remove sports from July’s prediction-market volume, and $53 billion becomes roughly $11 billion. That’s the split in Pew Research Center’s new report, published September 23. Sports accounted for: • $31.4B on Kalshi • $10.6B on Polymarket, including its US platform Together, that’s about 79% of their combined volume. Politics, meanwhile, contributed less than $900M across both platforms that month. The World Cup helped drive the surge. But combined volume still reached $47B in August after the tournament ended. One detail worth keeping straight: Pew measures contracts at their $1 face value. These figures measure notional trading volume, not $53B of fresh cash deposited. My takeaway: restrictions on sports contracts would hit the category responsible for most of this activity. The industry’s growth story is heavily tied to keeping those markets available.