Predictable with Stu is a smarter, more useful way to get the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and what's next.
WATCH: A new Texas governor poll is out, and @StuDoesAmerica looks at what it means for Greg Abbott’s price in the market and whether there’s more value in the race.
NEW: The Supreme Court voted 6-3 to temporarily allow the Trump administration to use its expanded SAVE database to help state and local officials verify voters' citizenship, pausing a lower-court ruling that found the system violated federal privacy laws.
JUST IN: Prediction markets are starting to become a real risk-management tool for small businesses. @Kalshi says more than 200 businesses used its platform for hedging last month.
LIVE NOW: @StuDoesAmerica is discussing this week’s picks, where he’s seeing value in the markets, and the latest moves worth watching.
Watch here: substack.com/live-stream/382…
NEW: President Trump’s elaborate welcome for Chinese President Xi Jinping is drawing criticism from Republican Sens. Roger Wicker, Thom Tillis and John Cornyn, who say the treatment is too generous given China’s support for Iran.
Stu’s Picks are out now!
See where @StuDoesAmerica is finding value in the markets this week, exclusively for Predictable Premium subscribers.
Link: predictable.substack.com/pub…
Stu’s Picks are out now!
See where @StuDoesAmerica is finding value in the markets this week, exclusively for Predictable Premium subscribers.
Link: predictable.substack.com/pub…
MAINE SENATE: Siena has Susan Collins ahead 49%-46%, while UNH has Troy Jackson up 51%-47%, and UMass Lowell has Jackson ahead 48%-43%.
Prediction market expectations are much less divided, with Jackson currently around 70% and Collins around 32%.
NEW: The Senate rejected a resolution calling for an end to the U.S. conflict in Iran in a 49-50 vote Thursday.
Republican Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Thom Tillis and Rand Paul voted in favor, while Democratic John Fetterman voted against the measure, per Axios.
TODAY on Predictable w/ Stu:
A bombshell NYT report just hit Alaska’s Senate race. @StuDoesAmerica discusses the allegations surrounding Mary Peltola and how the market reacted to the news. piped.video/watch?v=H9mSzGYa…