MIT professor & Brookings senior fellow ⎮ Foreign policy, military operations, nuclear weapons, authoritarianism ⎮ Book: The Dictator's Army

Washington, DC
Data from Kpler shows that China has received around 1.2 million barrels of oil a day from Iran so far in 2026, only slightly less than the same period last year. nytimes.com/2026/08/25/busin…
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Deeply saddened to hear of Dolly Parton's passing. Her musical talents were otherworldly, and then on top of that she was a genius businesswoman and a humanitarian of the first order. May you rest in peace, Dolly. We will always love you. @DollyParton
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This is hitting me hard because I really felt like Dolly was going to live forever. 😢
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ProfTalmadge retweeted
What are the spaces to watch in Taiwan in the coming year? Recording on the ground in Taipei, @ryanl_hass asks @jonczin and @ProfTalmadge on the latest episode of The Beijing Brief on Taiwan's security. 🎧Listen wherever you get your podcasts: brookings.edu/articles/how-s…
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"After being here for a week... I think the idea that Taiwan doesn't 'get it' somehow about its own security situation is misplaced." @ProfTalmadge on Taipei's understanding of the need to defend itself asymmetrically vs China. 🎧 Listen to the episode: brook.gs/4hIEnml
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I would add: China's oil stockpiles have significantly reduced what otherwise would have been a much bigger spike in oil prices from the Iran War. This is an under-appreciated source of Xi's leverage over Trump. ft.com/content/3aa706c2-50bb…
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Delighted to have joined The Beijing Brief podcast from Taipei for a discussion of Taiwan's defense policy and security environment with @ryanl_hass and @jonczin.
How secure is Taiwan? What does the view from Taipei show that Washington is missing? In a new special episode of The Beijing Brief recorded in Taipei, @ProfTalmadge joins @ryanl_hass & @jonczin to unpack the state of Taiwan’s defense and security. Listen:brookings.edu/articles/how-s…
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ProfTalmadge retweeted
Oh, maybe we’ll get a nuclear Iran and a nuclear South Korea too out of the same administration.
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I'm old enough to remember when South Korea was the linchpin of US plans to increase ship building capacity. (That was 3 days ago btw.)
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Saying the Lincoln has among the lowest number of mental health cases among US carriers isn’t the great talking point you think it is
Statement from Adm. Brad Cooper, CENTCOM commander:
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Translation: Trump launched a war with the unrealistic goal of eliminating Iran's nuclear program at low cost, a goal now being jettisoned in a desperate attempt to return to the status quo ante in the Strait, which is also likely to fail.
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