is it $82 yet? not financial advice. dyor before investing, or your portfolio might crash harder than your dreams. official backup account: @OpenAarmy

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RealOpenArmy retweeted
@nejatian stopping by the $OPEN monthly space was awesome. Listening to him talk about the plan for 2027 and beyond is inspiring. One person asked about 5Xing the acquisitions again next year. Quick math (and assumptions). 1. 115,000 houses go through $OPEN’s platform. 4.4% contribution margin. Zero credit for ancillaries (mortgage just keeps contribution margin constant. 2. Fixed costs remain the same. Homes average $375,000. 3. $43,000,000,000 in revenue, $1,900,000,000 gross income, $1,600,000,000 net income. 4. 30x for tech platform re-rating and 900,000,000 shares (warrants expire worthless). This would give us $1.75 EPS. Share price would be $52 at the end of 2027. Mortgage rates can rise and drop, the strait can $OPEN & close, but @nejatian and team won’t stop grinding and building. America needs a better way to do real estate and they’re the people to build it.
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that was such a pleasant sunday surprise! thanks for joining the space, @nejatian. funny enough, i had to spend 10 seconds making sure it wasn’t an impersonation account before bringing you up to the stage. really glad you joined us and shared your thoughts!
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I present to the $OPEN army, our new anthem.
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join us in about an hour for a fun conversation about $OPEN! our guest speaker is @jeffye888, and we’ll discuss the macro environment and how resilient opendoor is in the face of it.
join us for episode 2 of our monthly $open space series! 🎙️ this month, @jeffye888 is joining us to share his views on the macro environment and how resilient opendoor may be. open army appreciates jeff taking the time to join us and share his perspective. if you don’t know jeff yet, here’s a little more about him nitter.net/i/spaces/1mxPaZNWgqEKN nitter.net/jeffye888/status/19488…
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if proven that they did something wrong, they need to go to jail for this.
🚨 $OPEN — POSSIBLE ALGORITHMIC MARKET MANIPULATION. @nejatian — I am addressing this directly to you as CEO of Opendoor. After weeks of forensic work on $OPEN trading, I believe our findings justify review by Opendoor, Nasdaq, FINRA and potentially the SEC. As an $OPEN shareholder, I can provide the complete dataset, order IDs, timestamps, code and methodology. We reconstructed ~2.23 MILLION individual orders across Nasdaq, NYSE Arca, Cboe BZX, EDGX and MEMX, covering ~86% of observed volume: MBO/L3 orders, executions, cancellations, off-exchange trades, auctions, options and short-sale data. Thousands of quantitative tests: regressions, event studies, cross-venue synchronization, market-impact models, VPIN and order-lifecycle reconstruction. The findings raise serious questions about potential algorithmic market manipulation. From Sep 9–17 alone, 14:00–15:00 ET produced −4.94M shares of aggressive net flow, negative in 6/7 sessions. But the key evidence is inside the book. 📍 SEP 9 — 11,200 An 11,200-share SELL executes @ $3.05. Then 335 SELL orders of exactly 11,200 shares appear. 326/335 — 97.3% — disappear within ONE SECOND. After $OPEN trades lower: 🟢 BUY 11,200 @ $3.00 → EXECUTED. SELL → REPEATED SUPPLY → CANCEL → LOWER PRICE → BUY If CAT links these actions to the same beneficial owner/coordinated accounts, regulators can determine whether displayed supply influenced price discovery before a lower execution. 📍 SEP 17 — THE $2.57 WALL 172 SELL orders of exactly 14,500 shares. 167/172 — 97.1% — cancelled within one second. Around 108 identical 14,500-share SELL orders repeatedly appear around $2.57 while genuine selling hits $OPEN. Median lifetime: ~78 MILLISECONDS. Same size. Same price. Appear. Disappear. Repeat. Genuine liquidity — or the appearance of a larger sell wall than actually intended for execution? 📍 SEP 24 — THE CLOSE Nasdaq SELL imbalance jumps: 354K → 970K → 1.17M shares in ~20 seconds. At virtually the same time, selling appears across ALL FIVE exchanges. Around 15:54:40 ET, in ~ONE SECOND: 🔴 ~134,060 aggressively SOLD 🟢 ~810 aggressively BOUGHT ~165 : 1 Nasdaq. Arca. EDGX. BZX. MEMX. The five venues finish at approximately −822K shares of identified aggressive net flow. ⸻ THESE ARE ONLY EXAMPLES. Across the five-exchange sample: 🔴 38,076 large fleeting SELL orders 🔴 ~353M shares of cumulatively displayed sell liquidity A stricter test — 5,000+ share orders appearing before an opposite-side execution and cancelled within 50ms — identified: 68,524 SELL-side candidate sequences vs 49,769 BUY-side = 18,755 more SELL occurrences. We also tested thresholds down to 5 milliseconds. These totals alone don’t prove manipulation; high-frequency activity exists on both sides. But the specific fingerprints come from tens of thousands of order/cancellation sequences and deserve account-level investigation. WE DOCUMENTED: • persistent aggressive selling • identical non-round SELL orders • 97%+ cancellation rates in specific fingerprints • lifetimes measured in milliseconds • apparent sell walls • auction imbalances • simultaneous cross-exchange selling These patterns overlap with spoofing/layering when non-bona-fide liquidity creates misleading supply/demand while genuine transactions obtain an economic advantage. The decisive question: WHO controlled these orders? Public data cannot answer it. The Consolidated Audit Trail (CAT) can. @nejatian , I hope you and @Opendoor take this seriously. I can provide the entire analysis and dataset immediately. If Opendoor does not act, on Monday, as an @Opendoor shareholder, I intend through legal counsel to submit the prepared documentation directly to the SEC and appropriate regulators for independent review and to protect Opendoor shareholders’ interests. The data, order IDs, timestamps and anomalies exist. Now they deserve to be investigated. @rabois @ericjackson @mikealfred
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RealOpenArmy retweeted
I’ve been thinking a lot about how the broader AI story maps to Opendoor. I’ve caught myself many times wishing, oh man if only semi’s weren’t propping up the market, Powell / Warsh would have cut rates way way earlier. Housing would’ve bounced back by now for sure. If only data center construction wasn’t driving inflation and labor demand, we would have seen more of a concern for unemployment and lower yields. If only the hyperscalers, semis, and other “picks and shovels” AI play wasn’t crowding out the entire market; funds would have rotated by now. In fact, it seems like housing is the one sector basically been left out of the entire bull run the last 3-4 years - entirely hobbled by the post-Covid hangover of 6+ rates. It’s not fair! Wrong. I strongly believe this is just the market cycle. AI providers up the stack (chips, energy) are getting rewarded immediately while returns from AI application in the real world are more lagged and company-specific. However, it should be patently clear to anyone following along that Opendoor is already a tremendous beneficiary of AI, maybe one of the biggest in the “atoms” world. Maniacal application of AI is really the only path an insanely difficult business like Opendoor’s has to achieve that $100B+ outcome. “Manna from heaven” as Kaz so (decadently) described it. The only tool that allows a company to fully revolutionize real-estate, an industry that’s absolutely resisted modernization over the last 30 years. Just hold onto your britches along the way… it’s a bumpy path for sure.
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just added to my 2028 leaps today. i’m buying weekly in my retirement account too. this is a very high risk investment. for some, voo might be the good fit, and it’s totally fine. i’m long $OPEN. nfa!
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join us for episode 2 of our monthly $open space series! 🎙️ this month, @jeffye888 is joining us to share his views on the macro environment and how resilient opendoor may be. open army appreciates jeff taking the time to join us and share his perspective. if you don’t know jeff yet, here’s a little more about him nitter.net/i/spaces/1mxPaZNWgqEKN nitter.net/jeffye888/status/19488…
Got some feedback that I should share more about my background at @Opendoor Over 3 years (2016 - 2019) was lucky enough to touch... - Pricing experimentation w/ @LeoPekelis, @sri_batchu, and Nelson Ray - Portfolio and risk management w/ @dsinsky and @cal_arora - Built the core financial and operating model (from scratch!) w/ @btulsiani2, @jechild, @pan_yvette, Rajiv Krishnarao - Worked with Market GM's on planning and goal setting w/ Megan Meyer Toolson and Chris O'Riordan I think we all knew back then that there was something special about what we were building. The caliber of the team was absolutely INSANE. I only have the best intentions at heart for the company and I know there's still some of that magic left. Let's try to recapture it💖 $OPEN
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ALT Well Done Clapping GIF by MOODMAN

I present to the $OPEN army, our new anthem.
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“250k vehicles pass this sign every day.” some might argue that most of them are the same people passing by day after day. i’d say, if you’re not sure what the roi looks like, try it and see if it fits the model. cancel it if it doesn’t fit. @morganb, i can dm you the pin if you’re interested.
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focus, focus, focus ... love it!
We’re in the business of making the American dream more accessible to every day folks, not email. Software that directly lies on that pathway, that only Opendoor can build, we will build, otherwise it’s a distraction
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RealOpenArmy retweeted
$OPEN is green. $QQQ is green, $SPY is flat. Average volume today, nice push up, I scooped up 2,000 shares. Iran talks seem to be occurring, $USO is down, 10YR is slightly retreating, mortgage rates are dipping and @nejatian released Acq contracts today and we’re moving up!
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i get why some people wanted to short $open when it was above $8 or higher, but at these levels, i think the story is very different. the potential gain on the short side, if it happens, is limited to couple dollars, while the upside risk is uncapped (if it happens). $open is a high-beta play on housing liquidity, so any meaningful shift in the housing market could lead to a pretty violent re-rating. this may or may not happen, but if it does, the rerating won't be a slow and gradual growth imo. the risk for shorts isn’t just opendoor’s execution (which is happening as we speak). it’s the macro setup. opendoor just needs transaction volume in housing to come back. if rates start unlocking the housing freeze, higher transaction velocity could mean faster turns, lower carrying costs, and better margins, and we have seen already that they made improvement in the velocity. shorting a beaten-down company near what could be the trough of a housing freeze feels like a high-risk, low-reward setup to me. the downside for shorts is limited, but if housing liquidity turns, the upside can move a lot faster than shorts can cover. i'm long $OPEN. nfa!
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RealOpenArmy retweeted
A Waymo drove through a farmers market today in Denver If this was a Tesla every news site would have 40,000 articles about it already
No Safe Words
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three that were bought from lennar on 8/6, 8/7 and 8/18: one in contract and two are active. what is opendoor testing with these lennar purchases? 🤔
Replying to @PikitHomes
that’s fair. i know one of them was sold. going to check the other ones sometime today. and keep in mind: lennar core competency is building homes not selling homes. the idea is for them to focus on what they do best and what they need to get faster. not there yet.
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