Not that anyone will read this…because I guess I suck at social media engagement (which is fine by the way), I have an observation to make.
Before I begin: This is but 1 of MANY potential outcomes of the current political, social, and military. So I’m not being doom and gloom for the sake of being right. I actually hope I am completely wrong. But I think we are 1 to 2 moves away from a potential world war.
Military wise: we are embroiled in a rather strange war with Iran. It has not been typical in terms of armed conflict casualties. Most of the casualties have been executions of Iranians by the Iranian regime. But that entire situation could go kinetic at any moment with 1 or 2 “developments”.
Meanwhile, Russia and Ukraine are just running a never ending meat grinder. The Ukranian President has botched many possible off-ramps for reasons that may have a lot to do with outright corruption and theft of money from its supporters. Putin cannot afford to look weak on the world stage and in the last 60 days we have seen Germany and some other EU countries severally amp up their militaries.
Socially, it appears that more than a few major European cities and countries are in the streets with their own invaders, who happen to be illegal / immigrant fighting age men according to the reports of the demographics of the “asylum seekers”.
The numbers are actually staggering if you look them up. It’s at a social tipping point if you consider how many fighting age men of any EU nation are willing to fight vs. the invading horde living off the taxes of the men they would be facing in combat?
And in the US it seems there are 2 huge groups of people that live in 2 competent different realities. The US has a long way to go in terms of being as vulnerable as the EU based on the 2nd amendment and the raw numbers at this point. But needless to say, we are a house divided which makes us weak. And weak in this moment of history could be devastating.
China has remained quite removed from the direct melee. However, they have seem their air defense systems completely wasted by the US military. That has to somewhat alarming to them. But make no mistake, Asia is not peaceful. It’s a tenuous short term placation on a national scale.
So yeah, I think if you consider what I wrote, and add elements I did not point out such as Israel, Brazil, Cuba, Venezuela, and on and on, we really may be 1 or 2 “unexpected disasters” away from something resembling a WW.