SWP International Security (inactive)@SWP_IntSecurity

Research Division International Security Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (@SWPBerlin) German Institute for International & Security Affairs

 Berlin, Germany
bit.ly/SWPSicherheitspolitik
Joined March 2019
Liebe Follower:innen, wir haben uns dazu entschieden, nicht mehr auf X aktiv zu sein. Um weiterhin über die Arbeit der SWP informiert zu bleiben, folgen Sie uns bitte auf Bluesky: bsky.app/profile/swp-intsecu…
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Dear followers, we have decided to no longer be active on X. To stay informed about SWP's work, please follow us on Bluesky: bsky.app/profile/swp-intsecu…
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Russian nukes in space, a new ministry in Germany; Iran & US talks; China's nuclear-armed stealth fighter; Russia’s air defense, arms control; & more in our last weekly newsletter on this platform to #better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/11
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Arms control, Russian action in UK waters, UK & tactical nukes, deterrence & nuclear latency, Germany & Euro satellites, Iran’s program, and China’s arsenal in our regular weekly newsletter on recent #news & #analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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German support for a Euro deterrent, first German start-up's rocket launch, nuclear risks in Ukraine, DoD memo & nuclear site upgrades in Belarus in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Nuclear & conventional (extended) deterrence, US hypersonics, China in space, ESA's 2040 strategy & regulation of technologies amidst great power rivalry in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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European deterrence, Trump’s denuclearization goals & Russia, Iran’s nuclear program, DPRK’s nuclear-powered submarine, friendly proliferation & Chinese arsenal in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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This week is all about the reactions to the Trump Administration’s apparent weakening of US security guarantees to Europe & options for strengthening nuclear deterrence on the continent – our attempt to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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European nuclear deterrent; net assessment of NATO & Russia’s deep strikes; Büchel Air Base; the UK deterrent; New START & US missiles in the Indo-Pacific in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Arms control & Germany, Iran’s nuclear program, electromagnetic systems, US & Japan’s satellite, US & Euro deterrence, Ukraine & nukes, & undersea forces in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/9
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American "Iron Dome"; 🇮🇷’s nuclear program; Trump & nuclear deals with 🇰🇵 & 🇷🇺; 🇷🇺’s new nuclear doctrine; Europe's space capabilities; NSNW & new technologies in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Trump & DPRK, Iran, US antimissile program; NATO & US deterrence; Russia’s counterspace capabilities; space security, deep strikes & nuclear disarmament research in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Given limited knowledge on deterrence in politics, government & academia, Germany would benefit from increasing its nuclear & deterrence IQ, argues #STAND’s @liviuhorovitz @SWP_IntSecurity 7/9 t.ly/E5NMV
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Int security & Trump; US deterrence of Russia & China; Trump’s presidency, space, nuclear posture & DPRK policy; deterrence & Germany; & Russia’s cognitive warfare in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/9
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US nukes, Chinese satellites, Saudi Arabia’s & Iran’s nuclear programs, arms control, Euro & international security, Europe & Taiwan, and nuclear nonuse in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Deterring Russia in conventional & hybrid realms, the US nuclear posture, Iran’s nuclear program, 🇸🇦proliferation risks, China & space, tech breakthroughs & IC3 in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Germany should adopt a more competitive approach to arms control that aligns with US policies in order to push an uncooperative Russia to the table, argues #STAND’s @_jonasschneider @SWP_IntSecurity 2/9 swp-berlin.org/publications/…
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Arms control on Earth & in space; European, Indo-Pacific theatres & Trump; US & Iran’s nuclear program; NATO’s nuclear deterrent; China’s buildup & ambitions in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/9
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Russia’s nuclear saber-rattling, Ukraine’s deep strike capabilities, the US nuclear posture & Trump, US & China, future of the nuclear order, & nuclear justice in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/9
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Trump's re-election & Europe; Russia's „Oreshnik” & anti-satellite weapon, Ukraine & nukes, ELSA, US’ deterrence strategy, multilateral arms control, & space in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Bilateral initiatives, such as the stationing of US missiles in Germany, are quite common and occur within the NATO framework, which means that decisions surrounding their use are made multilaterally, explains the General Keller @BundeswehrInfo 2/10 piped.video/watch?v=pfyH1p9h…
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US missiles in Germany & Eurodeterrent, Russia’s nuclear saber-rattling, DPRK’s weapons’ export, future of arms control & space security in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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US missiles in Germany, Ukraine & nukes, US-Russia arms control, Israel & Iran, US nuclear posture & allies, China’s new satellite, international security & order in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Arms control & nuclear (dis-)order, China & US’ nuclear buildup, nukes in Belarus & space, NATO’s nuclear exercise & expansion to Hungary, & some news from #STAND in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Most Russians would reject using nuclear weapons against a NATO base in Poland, a military target in Ukraine, or for a demonstrative strike over the Black Sea, find @MichalSmetana3 & @ProfOnderco @ArmsControlNow 6/10 t.ly/K7gM2
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Russia’s nuclear blackmail, emergency hotlines & public opinion, Israel & Iran’s nukes, Japan’s new PM's possible plans, third nuclear age & NATO’s nuclear posture in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #theats 1/10
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A deep dive reveals: in some cases, such as in Afghanistan, targeted arms embargo had little significance and could at most serve as a bargaining chip. Yet, in the case of non-state actors, the lifting of an embargo can hardly be used as an incentive to negotiate.
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This graph provides a comprehensive overview and summarizes how arms embargoes are employed compared to other sanction types, such as asset freeze.
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The deployment of nukes in Belarus was driven by different, but not mutually exclusive, motivations in Moscow & Minsk, affecting deterrence, nonproliferation, & arms control policies, argue our #STAND colleagues @liviuhorovitz & @lydiawachs @TWGgw 6/10 t.ly/waqgR
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US missiles in Germany, Russia’s new doctrine, nukes in Belarus & ROK, conventional-nuclear entanglement, US deterrence, NATO’s nuclear posture in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats
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In contrast, @HerzogSM argues @PeaceReview that the global nuclear order is more robust than one might think, but in order to remedy the emerging cracks, trilateral cooperation between the US, Russia & China is necessary 10/10 t.ly/gCswT
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The missiles the US plans to deploy to Germany are particularly destabilizing & an arms race is likely, argues @meier_oliver @ArmsControlNow, concluding arms control should be pursued before Russia and NATO deploy such systems in larger numbers 2/10 t.ly/KXk_n
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Arms control, Russia’s red lines, potential nuclear strike & testing, Germany’s security & space, Iran & DPRK’s nuclear program & global nuclear order in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Euro security, Russia’s nuclear doctrine & saber-rattling, Iran’s missiles, US posture, pros & cons of nuclear buildup, debates in ROK & Japan, & Indian nukes in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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US missiles in Germany, German Zeitenwende, Russia’s red lines & doctrine, potential Burevestnik deployment site, US-China nuclear talks, proliferation & coercion in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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US missiles in Germany, US nuclear strategy & China’s reaction, non-proliferation regime, Iran’s nuclear program, US-China wargame, Ukraine’s offensive, & more in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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The US missiles in Germany will neither change the strategic balance, nor darken the prospects for future arms control negotiations, nor exacerbate the confrontation between Moscow & Washington, argues Joachim Krause in his analysis @ISPK_org t.ly/_LaKZ 3/10
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Missiles in Germany, a potential ROK nuclear deterrent & US security assurances, DPRK’s satellite program, the US' nuclear strategic plan & Chinese NFU ideas in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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US missiles debate in Germany, Russian leaked military files, small progress in Saudi Arabia, deterrence debates in Europe & the US, NATO's air & missile defense in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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US missiles & nuclear umbrella in Germany, 🇺🇸-🇷🇺arms control, US nuclear posture, Russia & China, US in the Indo-Pacific, Hiroshima & Nagasaki, & nuclear taboo in 🇺🇸&🇷🇺 in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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In a more detailed interview, the Political Director of the Defense Ministry pointed out that the deployment in Germany is closing a capability gap which originated from Russia’s decade-long development of far-reaching cruise missiles @bundeswehrInfo 7/11 piped.video/watch?v=DKdJncyy…
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In this week’s special edition newsletter, we are highlighting various reactions in Germany to the planned deployment of the US medium-range missiles – a new summer-special format to better #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats in Germany & beyond 1/11
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Medium-range missiles in Germany, Russia’s space nukes, China’s nuclear policy, and nuclear norms in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #threats & #deterrence 1/10
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The US missile deployment gives NATO more room for maneuver, does not significantly increase the threat to Germany & offers options for arms control, argue @_jonasschneider @TorbenArnold #STAND @SWP_IntSecurity in a new Aktuell 2/10 swp-berlin.org/publications/…
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US medium-range missiles in Germany, Euro deterrence, Russia’s nuclear doctrine, US-ROK deterrence & DPRK’s nukes, Iran’s nuclear program, US space-based NC3 in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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The US will deploy “long-range fires capabilities” in Germany, including “SM-6, Tomahawk, and developmental hypersonic weapons,” a joint US-German statement reads 2/10 whitehouse.gov/briefing-room…
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Deep strike capabilities, US umbrella & Eurodeterrent, disarmament, Belarus & Russian nukes, future US nuclear policy, South Korean nuclear latency & China’s build-up in our regular weekly newsletter on recent #news & #analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Euro deterrence&Zeitenwende, Russia&Europe’s surface-to-surface missiles, nukes in space, US nuclear program under Trump, China&AI as well as developments in South Korea in our weekly regular newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Europe’s military & nuclear build-up, Russia & DPRK‘s new pact, US’ nuclear modernization & expansion, US-Chinese nuclear talks, developments in Iran in our weekly regular newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Russia’s nuclear option, nuclear escalation, US’ arsenal expansion & SLCM-N, US’ weapons & Ukraine, Eurodeterrent, no-first-use, hypersonic BGVs & China as a mediator in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #threats & #deterrence 1/10
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Russia, US & NATO’s nuclear doctrines, Russia & global nuclear order, nukes re-deployment to South Korea, Euro deterrence, US & North Korea, nukes & AI in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #threats & #deterrence 1/9
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Germany and France’s nukes; a French missile test; SLCM-N; Russia’s role in China’s build-up; China’s Taiwan strategies; Iran’ s nuclear program; and more in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news and analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #threats & #deterrence 1/10
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French nuclear deterrent, China’s missiles, nukes in space, nuclear brinkmanship in Ukraine, NK & Iran’s nuclear programs, US’s Zeitenwende & the future of arms control in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #threats & #deterrence 1/9
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Nuclear drills in Russia & Belarus, Euro & NATO’s nuclear deterrent, Chinese-Russian relations & China’s SSBNs, Iran’s nuclear fatwa & Able Archer analysis in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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What does Russia’s development of a satellite with a nuclear device mean? Although troubling, it does not pose an imminent threat, says Mallory Stewart, US Assistant Secretary of State for Arms Control, Stability, and Deterrence @CSIS 3/9 piped.video/watch?v=dkDupSax…
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Russian nuclear drills & nukes in space, China’s build-up, challenges of nuclear proliferation for the US in Europe, Asia & the Middle East, and the US nuclear arsenal in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #threats & #deterrence 1/9
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What does Russia’s development of a satellite with a nuclear device mean? Although troubling, it does not pose an imminent threat, says Mallory Stewart, US Assistant Secretary of State for Arms Control, Stability, and Deterrence @CSIS 3/9 piped.video/watch?v=dkDupSax…
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Force de frappe, nuclear sharing, nukes in Belarus, NK’s missiles in Ukraine, non-proliferation, US-Chinese arms control talks & competition, Iran’s capabilities in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Iran’s nuclear program, developments in Poland & in the United States, Russia’s nuclear threats & the future of nuclear proliferation in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/9
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Nuclear deterrence in Europe, Iran’s nuclear program, China’s no-first-use policy proposal, Taiwan war scenario, nuclear taboo, AI & nukes, and risk reduction measures in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/12
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Credible deterrence in Europe & East Asia, challenges for US policymakers in nuclear & conventional realms, Estonia’s spy chief on the Russian nuclear threat in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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🇨🇭’s rejection of TPNW, 🇷🇺’s veto at the UNSC & nuclear option against 🇨🇳, AI in 🇺🇸 NC3, OSINT controversies about 🇰🇵’s enrichment facility, lessons from the war in 🇺🇦 in our regular weekly newsletter recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/8
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Developments in🇯🇵,🇰🇷,🇰🇵, and🇬🇧, intrawar deterrence in 🇺🇦, 🇷🇺’s disinterest in arms control, a nuclear escalation scenario, multilateral arms control & 🇫🇷 nuclear deterrent in our weekly regular newsletter on recent news&analysis to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence&#threats 1/10.
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🇷🇺’s nuclear global activity&in 🇧🇾;🇬🇧’s arsenal in Scotland; a UNSC resolution on nukes in space;🇺🇸-🇷🇺cooperation; future of arms control;US’s nuclear authorization & first use in our weekly newsletter on recent news & analysis to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats 1/10.
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"Eurobomb";US concerns about nuclear weapons in space&Russia’s potential use of NSNW in Ukraine;analyses of Russia’s nuclear modernization; nuclear developments in Myanmar India in our weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats.1/10
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🇫🇮's role in NATO; 🇷🇺's nuclear threats&lunar plans with 🇨🇳; risks of nuclear war and multiple contingencies; criticism of TPNW; 🇨🇳's military activity & 🇩🇪’s nuclear Zeitenwende in our weekly newsletter on recent news&analysis to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats. 1/11
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Deterrence debates in 🇩🇪, 🇬🇧&🇪🇺; Russia’s nuclear modernization & nuclear use scenarios; Western components in NK’S missiles & extensive use of the missiles in Ukraine in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analysis to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats.(1/10)
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Euro deterrent, space-based nuclear weapons, US nuclear modernization, Israel’s nuclear weapons & the role of nukes in international politics amidst the war in Ukraine in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analysis to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats.(1/11)
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European & East Asian concerns about extended nuclear deterrence; China’s nuclear build-up; US-China AI talks; and the role of history in policy making in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analysis to #underSTAND #nuclear#deterrence & #threats. (1/11)
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More Euro deterrence talk, nuclear modernization in 🇷🇺 & 🇨🇳, the future of nuclear arms control, Asia-Pacific regional stability, deterrence, and climate change & new podcasts in our regular newsletter on recent news & analysis to #underSTAND #nuclear#deterrence & #threats. (1/9)
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Calls for & scenarios of Euro deterrents in the face of challenges with the US, importance of nuclear competition for arms control, US nuclear weapons in UK&UA's denuclearization in our weekly newsletter on recent news&analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence&#threats (1/8).
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Heute spricht @ClaudMajor auf der @handelsblatt Konferenz Sicherheit und Verteidigung über die Zeitenwende, Kriegstüchtigkeit und die Zukunft der Landes- und Bündnisverteidigung.
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Calls for risk reduction in 🇩🇪&🇺🇸; evolution of Russia’s nuclear doctrine; China's watching of the war in Ukraine; security in the Asia-Pacific & NK-Russia relations in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats. (1/9)
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European deterrence options; nuclear weapons modernization in China&US; AI & nukes; doctrinal developments in Belarus&Russian use of NK’s 🇰🇵 ballistic missiles in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats. (1/8)
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Our first #STAND newsletter this year! European nuclear deterrence, new developments in Russia and China, as well as 2 scholarly pieces on Germany & nuclear policy in our regular weekly newsletter on recent news & analyses to #underSTAND #nuclear #deterrence & #threats. (1/9)
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