Your compass for state legislatures. Nonpartisan 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization dedicated to creating and curating all data on state governments.
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Our WV SD-1 live poll is closing soon. At the same time, our live poll for IA SD-35 will begin!
DEMs flipped this very Republican-leaning seat in a January 2025 special election. Can they hold it?
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🚨FORECAST LAUNCHES🚨
Today, we are launching our Governor and state legislative forecasts in AL, CA, CT, DE, ID and IL.
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State Navigate retweeted
We're doing it live.
Each day of the week, we start a LIVE poll.
Monday: WV SD-1
Tuesday: IA SD-35
Wednesday: WV SD-8
Thursday: Vermont Governor
Friday: MI HD-57
Donate to our polling fund & help us cover costs:
statenavigate.org/donate/
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🚨LIVE POLL🚨
At 12PM, we're polling West Virginia State Senate District 1, a Trump +39 district that our forecast calls a Likely Republican race.
Delegate Shawn Fluharty (D-Wheeling) is running against freshman incumbent Laura Wikam Chapman (R).
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We'll be postponing these polls to next week. Stay tuned!
.@StateNavigate will be going into the field in the following districts this weekend, starting Friday:
WV SD-1 (Trump +39)
WV SD-8 (Trump +27)
IA SD-35 (Trump +21)
Weighted topline results will be LIVE, for free, starting at N=150.
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State Navigate retweeted
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA LEGE POLLS🚨
SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +1 (FLIP)
SD-24 (Trump +2) | 🔵DEM +2 (FLIP)
HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🟡Tie
HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
HD-147 (Trump +10) | 🔴GOP +1
HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
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Please donate to our polling fund to help us poll VT-GOV after UNH drops the biggest shock poll of the cycle:
.@StateNavigate is now looking to poll the Vermont Governor's Race next weekend, but we need donations.
If you can, please make a tax-deductible donation to our polling fund! Select "polling fund" when making a donation. We'd appreciate your help!
statenavigate.org/donate/
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State Navigate retweeted
.@StateNavigate is now looking to poll the Vermont Governor's Race next weekend, but we need donations.
If you can, please make a tax-deductible donation to our polling fund! Select "polling fund" when making a donation. We'd appreciate your help!
statenavigate.org/donate/
UNH poll | 9/17-9/21 LV
Vermont Governor 2026
🟦Amanda Janoo 49%
🟥Phil Scott 43% (incumbent)
⬜️Brian Judd 2%
Link to poll: scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcon…
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We'll be back in Pennsylvania in a few weeks with our follow-up polls.
TOMORROW: watch West Virginia and Iowa Navigate for our first FULLY LIVE polls of Trump-heavy State Senate districts that are seen as "Likely Republican" in our forecasts.
.@StateNavigate will be going into the field in the following districts this weekend, starting Friday:
WV SD-1 (Trump +39)
WV SD-8 (Trump +27)
IA SD-35 (Trump +21)
Weighted topline results will be LIVE, for free, starting at N=150.
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State Navigate retweeted
.@StateNavigate will be going into the field in the following districts this weekend, starting Friday:
WV SD-1 (Trump +39)
WV SD-8 (Trump +27)
IA SD-35 (Trump +21)
Weighted topline results will be LIVE, for free, starting at N=150.
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What state should @StateNavigate create a Governor + state legislature forecast for next?
20%
Montana
34%
Maine
8%
Illinois
38%
Oregon
200 votes • Final results
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State Navigate retweeted
Where would you like to see a @StateNavigate Governor poll? (among states with zero or very few polls)
6%
South Dakota
6%
Oklahoma
14%
South Carolina
73%
Nevada
570 votes • Final results
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State Navigate retweeted
Where would you like to see a @StateNavigate Governor poll? (among commonly polled states)
2nd poll below...
22%
Texas
44%
Georgia
9%
Iowa
25%
Ohio
917 votes • Final results
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State Navigate retweeted
Our state governments' forecasts now have AZ/OH
Democrats have a good shot at creating a DEM trifecta in Arizona for the first time since 1964.
They're also slightly favored to break the GOP trifecta in OH.
D+152 seats across these 20 states.
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🚨FORECAST LAUNCHES🚨
Today, we're launching our gubernatorial and state legislative forecasts in Nevada, Arkansas, Kansas, and Nebraska.
Stay tuned for tomorrow, when we launch Ohio and Arizona on this page.
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🚨FORECAST LAUNCHES🚨
Today, we're launching our gubernatorial and state legislative forecasts in Nevada, Arkansas, Kansas, and Nebraska.
Stay tuned for tomorrow, when we launch Ohio and Arizona on this page.
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We'll be launching our VA EV tracker later in the week. It is the most advanced early voting tracker in the Commonwealth of Virginia. It will be using the same methodology and format as our redistricting referendum tracker from earlier this year.
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