Our WV SD-1 live poll is closing soon. At the same time, our live poll for IA SD-35 will begin!
DEMs flipped this very Republican-leaning seat in a January 2025 special election. Can they hold it?
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🚨LIVE POLL🚨
At 12PM, we're polling West Virginia State Senate District 1, a Trump +39 district that our forecast calls a Likely Republican race.
Delegate Shawn Fluharty (D-Wheeling) is running against freshman incumbent Laura Wikam Chapman (R).
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We're doing it live.
Each day of the week, we start a LIVE poll.
Monday: WV SD-1
Tuesday: IA SD-35
Wednesday: WV SD-8
Thursday: Vermont Governor
Friday: MI HD-57
Donate to our polling fund & help us cover costs:
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🚨FORECAST LAUNCHES🚨
Today, we're launching our gubernatorial and state legislative forecasts in Nevada, Arkansas, Kansas, and Nebraska.
Stay tuned for tomorrow, when we launch Ohio and Arizona on this page.
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We'll be launching our VA EV tracker later in the week. It is the most advanced early voting tracker in the Commonwealth of Virginia. It will be using the same methodology and format as our redistricting referendum tracker from earlier this year.
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For those don't who want to click, here's the map:
NoVa slightly lags the rest of the state, as do many urban and suburban counties throughout. Rural SW VA counties are the deepest green, meaining they have the best relative turnout vs 2025.
Virginia EV Partisanship Update:
Compared to yesterday, the Virginia early vote has become 0.2% redder.
We've also given the page a new look, check it out!
projects.statenavigate.com/2…
Virginia EV Partisanship Update:
Compared to yesterday, the Virginia early vote has become 0.2% redder.
We've also given the page a new look, check it out!
projects.statenavigate.com/2…
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Light mode too blinding for you? We get it, so our District Summaries are now in Dark mode for your viewing pleasure!
Give your eyes a break, check it out now!
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You’ve supported us through thick and thin, but now our website is getting a refresh! It’s live now for your viewing pleasure!
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And thank YOU Brenden Sewell for supporting and believing in us! Without your donations, we’d never be able to keep data transparent and your state level elections easy to access.
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We’re already looking forward to the 2026 general elections! Excited to learn more about our predictions and who may win?
Find out in our newest article here:
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Anonymous trusts our work for down-ballot races, and we know you do too!
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Every polling expert has come to the same conclusion: in 2025, we were the most accurate pollster in the country! Read more at Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin: natesilver.net/p/actually-so…
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