A pleb amongst plebians; just trying to connect the dots I see and accumulate wisdom; defender of the underdog; lastly nothing I post here is financial advice

somewhere in Asia
Pinned Tweet
Aligns with the power law prediction
Might regret posting this. Not doing the whales any favors here, the accumulation clock is ticking. The mathematics behind the next $BTC ATH high break. Coming faster than most see it, the last push before the big collapse of 2029-2030.
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Carlos retweeted
Crypto is a miserable market 90% of the time And it's absolutely godlike 10% of the time Knowing this why the fuck are so many of you trying so hard to be miserable 100% of the time Just enjoy when this shit pumps It won't be good forever It's simply a brief window of bliss
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My sentiments too
I’ve spent my whole life building businesses, and now I can barely think about doing it again. Once you have capital and actually learn to trade, every business pitch sounds like a massive headache for less money. Electronic markets are the best business on earth. No customers to please, no employees to babysit, no invoices to chase. Just you, your capital, and your own skills. 🚀
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incrível como essa porra é 80% psicológico
バク転って、覚えるのこんなに簡単だったんですか。
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Current focus (by order of weighting): $btc, $sol, $tao, $near. At some point I expect a 10% or more correction for btc. If that happens, I'm btfd'ing. Also, if we go there, alts will likely drop 2x or more. Save some dry powder before before we end the quarter
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The agentic AI phase is slowing colliding w/ the crypto ecosystem as evident in recent turnaround in the latter's prices. This will be more obvious next yr & will be a key driver of new ATHs for bitcoin & rest of crypto universe especially those providing the rails. Good time to reread @clairvoyant2035's thesis below.
Worth a read. Different but interesting perspective. I had both Grok and Chatgpt review the article and both point out some inaccuracies in the cited X sources. That and price prediction aside, I can see his scenario playing out as we enter the age of agentic AI in earnest
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if you missed the bottom in june & are still sidelined, am here to remind you that it is imperative that you have short term memory and are forward looking the market does not care about your current positioning & planning for future outcomes without dwelling on past is how you make generational wealth you do not need any starting knowledge to learn how to trade, holding assets continues to be the only real way to outpace inflation, LLMs have made cost to acquire new information near zero so it's entirely on you what you decide to spend your free time doing
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This further reinforces my deep skepticism of whether Chinese made EVs/ cars are up to internationally accepted safety and quality standards. If the big boys like BYD can behave like this, what more the lower tier guys. If I'm in the market for EVs, Tesla remains my only choice
比亚迪员工反了。 中国最大新能源车企比亚迪取消了利润奖。相当于砍掉年终奖。 员工掀桌了。 这两天,认证为比亚迪在职员工的账号,集体在职场社区爆料。一个比一个猛。 不锈钢换成碳素钢。便宜一半。喷漆盖住。售后再赚消费者一笔。 所有物料全部免检。无论内外部供应商。进料质检部门IQC全部解散。 供应商被压到没利润。出了质量问题,损失太大不敢报,硬放行。 项目赶交期,三天通线,三天过完三级审核,全线绿灯。有审核员说:我发不通过的报告,上面催着我改。什么认证什么审核,都是屁话。 比亚迪说员工是最大的财富。砍了他们的钱,他们把底裤扒了。 有人说得妙:也许是公关部门的经费也被砍了。删帖不及时,让你看到了。 车不是手机。碳素钢顶着不锈钢的名字跑在路上,出事不是换个零件的问题。 这个事情以什么形式收场?
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Carlos retweeted
목어깨 아플 때 목 만지지 말고 엄지손가락 올리고 다른손으로꺾어보세요 신경 연결돼 있어서 팔뚝 긴장 풀리면서 승모근 결림 바로 해결
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Carlos retweeted
Replying to @Pentosh1
idk who this guy is but I like his answer here.
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Harmony comes less from controlling as many variables as you can and more about reducing the variables in the first place
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A truly wise post. Reflects directly my sentiments
有人说,如果你悟道了,股票投资是最好的职业,股市就是你的提款机。 在你摸透市场规律后会发现:这是世界上最自由的职业。收入不靠老板心情,前途不靠家族关系,不用应酬喝酒,更不用看任何人脸色。一部手机,一台电脑,就是你的整个世界。这里没有35岁的门槛,没有中年危机。 有人说股票风险大。那我问你:创业风险不大吗?我们小区商业街,这几年店面换个不停,倒了一家换一家。有些商铺光是装修加盟费就砸了几十万,说没就没了。 打工就没风险吗?身体垮了、能力跟不上了、公司倒闭了,你随时可能失业。 而在股市里,风险完全可控。觉得不对,一键清仓就能走人。换成实体店,你能说关就关吗?押金、租金、存货,哪样不是真金白银? 当然,不是谁都适合吃这碗饭。股票需要学识和悟性,更需要定力。 但比起在外面点头哈腰,在空调房里安静研究股票,这份自由千金难换。 如果你是新手,记住:先用小钱试错,用最低成本积累经验。等形成稳定的交易系统后,再慢慢加大投入。 股市这条路,走得通的人是真自由;走不通的,就当为自由交的学费
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有个朋友,5年前做生意赚了大概400万。 全部存银行,一年几万利息。 他没买房没换车,在家附近开了个小卖部。有人来了就卖东西,没人来也无所谓,打游戏、听歌、喝茶,接送孩子,做饭。 日子过得很无聊但很踏实。 朋友说他没出息,老婆嫌他没追求。 后来老婆经不住劝,开了家服装店,一年亏了50多万。不甘心,又接手一家奶茶店,又亏了40多万。 折腾了两年,关了店,可 100 万没了。 有时候,能守住赚到的钱,也是一种能力
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The beginning of the end of Apple …
OpenAI
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Love it man
If you are new to Bitcoin and want to absolutely dominate this game I'm going to give you some simple advice that will change the trajectory of your life (if you size your positions correctly) **BOOKMARK THIS** BUY when Bitcoin breaks above the 365 day MA and sell when it goes below I'm telling you right now, it IS this easy.
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- Daddy does not ¨play with bitcoin¨ - Daddy is not some kind of toy that is always available if you knock on the door of his office - Daddy cannot buy anything you want - Daddy does work - Daddy is an online consultant - Daddy sometimes needs time to sit alone - Daddy does not say yes when mommy says no - Daddy does a lot of screen-time so you can have lots of opportunities - Daddy has strange friends that also do not ¨play with bitcoin¨ - Daddy likes to bring you to school so he can pretend to be a normal dad - Daddy understands that you just want to play and do nothing else - Daddy sometimes just leaves social events, but will always come back to pick you up - Daddy grows all kind of delicious foods, but also buys ice-cream and pizza, but not every day - Daddy is your best friend, but only if you respect him and behave - Daddy loves mommy, forever - Daddy will protect you at any cost, in any circumstance, always I guess some of you fellow crypto-men can recognize this 😂 For those that don´t have kids (yet), you will never regret it, biggest and best adventure ever 😃
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Carlos retweeted
BTC ownership by country. 4.5 - 6% global adoption.
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Carlos retweeted
This is not a bear market rally. We can see here, very clearly, where I have marked on the chart, that over the last 10 years... Every time the 1D RSI has pushed over 85, it has always been either: 1. The start of a very large uptrend 2. Close to the very top of that uptrend Based on 100% of Bitcoins lifetime data, this kind of RSI reading is showing us that this is the start of a new upwards trend Never in Bitcoins history has it ever tagged 85+ in a bear market. Even when Bitcoin was worth $10 in 2011 there was not a 1D RSI reading of 85+ in a bear market. Of course, this could become the first ever time... But I doubt it.
This is looking like vertical accumulation. When the price is finally ready for higher, it always has certain characteristics. And time is moving on here with this move, we're seeing the typical behaviour unfold. 1. Very strong impulsive move that slams the 1D RSI into overbought 2. Lockout rally that moves far and doesn't give entries 3. Vertical accumulation as the price works through resistances without big dips 4. Continuation higher as everyone expects it to drop again You can get a real feel for the genuine strength of a move just by analysing the RSI. And, interestingly enough, our last vertical accumulation was November 2024, as pictured. Which was also the last time the 1D RSI hit 85. For reference, the 1D RSI doesn't hit that kind of level in a bear market rally.
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SB really sums it up nicely - as usual.
⚡️The early Bitcoin holder may be one of the cleanest wealth outcomes capitalism can produce. Think about what happened to the rare person who accumulated meaningful Bitcoin very early and actually held it. They did not need to build a 10,000-person company. They did not need customers. They did not need employees. They did not need a board. They did not need to manage LP money. They did not need to continually recreate the economic engine that made them wealthy. They made one extraordinarily consequential capital-allocation decision, survived years of uncertainty, and eventually the asset itself did almost all of the scaling. That is an incredible lifestyle outcome. A founder worth $100M may technically have the same net worth, but much of it can be trapped inside a company requiring their attention, carrying payroll, lawsuits, competition, customers, executives, financing, and constant strategic decisions. The early Bitcoin holder can have $100M sitting in an asset that requires almost no organizational complexity to own. Enormous wealth. Tiny operating surface area. That combination is rare. There is also something profound about how the wealth was created. They recognized a new category before the world agreed the category was real. The wealth came from carrying uncertainty. Bitcoin looked ridiculous. Then dangerous. Then speculative. Then legitimate. Then institutional. Every step upward removed uncertainty while also removing asymmetry. The earliest holders were compensated for occupying the period when the world could still plausibly say the entire thing was worthless. But survivorship bias here is enormous. Thousands of people also concentrated into things they believed were revolutionary and lost everything. Even among people who bought Bitcoin early, many sold at 2x, 5x, 10x, or 50x. Others lost keys. Others got destroyed by exchanges. Others overleveraged. Others simply could not psychologically carry an asset through repeated 70% to 90% drawdowns while everyone around them told them they were insane. So the extraordinary outcome required several things to happen together: see correctly very early, size enough for being right to matter, survive enormous volatility, preserve custody, and resist selling when the gain already looked life-changing. That is almost impossibly difficult in real time. The highest form of wealth creation may actually be finding a very small number of generational capital-allocation decisions rather than continually maximizing labor output. One Bitcoin-like decision can compress decades of economic effort into ownership of the right thing at the right moment. Afterward, the entire purpose of wealth can change. You no longer need to optimize for more work. You can optimize for autonomy. Time. Privacy. Research. Relationships. Travel. Building things because they matter to you rather than because they need to pay you. And compared with becoming a billionaire CEO whose phone can never truly be turned off, the anonymous person who quietly owns enormous permanent capital may have won a different and arguably more valuable game. The founder builds a machine powerful enough to create freedom later. The generational investor finds an asset powerful enough to make the machine unnecessary. That second outcome is incredibly rare. But when it happens, the lifestyle asymmetry is almost absurd.
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能成大事人: 长期看书和健身的人,沉默寡言眼神坚定的人,泰山崩于眼前面不改色的人,经常一个人旅行、看电影的人,烟酒不沾和减肥成功的人。
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