Postdoctoral Researcher in Economics @ETH Zurich || Political Economy and Applied Macro

Zurich
New at JIE: "Expert inflation preferences and the evaluation of monetary policy" by Timo Wochner (@TimoWochner), Lukas Hack (@LukasHack_) and Niklas Potrafke (@ifo_Institut) doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.20…
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Accepted at @JIntlEcon! What’s the optimal inflation rate? We know surprisingly little. Structural models provide a relatively wide range of estimates. In our new paper (w/ @LukasHack_ & N. Potrafke), we ask economic experts globally what inflation rate they consider optimal. 🧵
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Inflation preferences also shape how experts judge monetary policy. Three months later, experts who preferred higher inflation evaluated rate hikes more negatively—and rate cuts more positively.
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To find out more about the role of experts' narratives and experts' mental models, see the Paper here: drive.google.com/file/d/1Znr…
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