Daily updates on Tom Lee’s market insights/research, the Fundstrat GRNY ETF, and BMNR. | Not affiliated with Tom Lee, Fundstrat or BMNR.

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TOM LEE AND BITMINE $BMNR JUST UPDATED THEIR ETHEREUM HOLDINGS Here are the updated holdings: 6.00 million ethereum:native up from 5.98M on September 21st 213 Bitcoin bitcoin:native $672M cash $180 million stake in Beast Industries $115M stake in Eightco $ORBS Tom Lee and BMNR now own 4.9% of the total Ethereum supply, 98% of the way to their 5% target
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Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom) retweeted
SEPTEMBER IS SUPPOSED TO BE THE MARKET'S WORST MONTH. MARK NEWTON ISN'T BUYING IT @MarkNewtonCMT points to what's actually holding up: Stocks entered September up 12.5% and sit just 2.5% below all-time highs. Crude has surged and rates are pushing toward 5%, and equities have held anyway. In his view, profit growth is the strongest in 30 years, and technical trends matter more than oil or rates on their own.
MARK NEWTON SAYS SEPTEMBER’S BEARISH REPUTATION ISN’T MATCHING THE MARKET @MarkNewtonCMT sees underlying strength despite higher oil, rates and seasonal pressure: - Markets entered September up 12.5% and remain only 2.5% below all-time highs - Crude has surged and rates pushed toward 5%, yet equities have remained resilient - Profit growth is the strongest in 30 years, the economy remains solid, and technical trends matter more than oil or rates alone @FundstratDirect
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IN ONE YEAR, TOM LEE AND BITMINE $BMNR WENT FROM 163,000 ETHEREUM $ETH TO OVER 6 MILLION Here's how much Ethereum they've held each time they've given an official update: 9/28 - 6,001,302 ETH 9/21 - 5,983,940 ETH 9/14 - 5,956,378 ETH 9/8 - 5,929,198 ETH 8/31 - 5,901,112 ETH 8/24 - 5,847,611 ETH 8/17 - 5,815,164 ETH 8/10 - 5,805,238 ETH 8/3 - 5,797,813 ETH 7/27 - 5,787,414 ETH 7/20 - 5,777,468 ETH 7/13 - 5,770,038 ETH 7/6 - 5,742,237 ETH 6/29 - 5,700,040 ETH 6/22 - 5,672,956 ETH 6/15 - 5,620,749 ETH 6/8 - 5,543,872 ETH 6/1 - 5,416,901 ETH 5/26 - 5,390,404 ETH 5/18 - 5,278,462 ETH 5/11 - 5,206,790 ETH 5/4 - 5,180,131 ETH 4/27 - 5,078,386 ETH 4/20 - 4,976,485 ETH 4/13 - 4,874,858 ETH 4/6 - 4,803,334 ETH 3/30 - 4,732,082 ETH 3/23 - 4,660,903 ETH 3/16 - 4,595,562 ETH 3/9 - 4,534,563 ETH 3/2 - 4,473,587 ETH 2/23 - 4,422,659 ETH 2/17 - 4,371,497 ETH 2/9 - 4,325,738 ETH 2/2 - 4,285,125 ETH 1/26 - 4,243,338 ETH 1/20 - 4,203,036 ETH 1/12 - 4,167,768 ETH 1/5 - 4,143,502 ETH 12/29 - 4,110,525 ETH 12/22 - 4,066,062 ETH 12/15 - 3,967,210 ETH 12/8 - 3,864,951 ETH 11/30 - 3,726,499 ETH 11/24 - 3,629,701 ETH 11/17 - 3,559,879 ETH 11/10 - 3,505,723 ETH 11/3 - 3,395,422 ETH 10/27 - 3,313,069 ETH 10/20 - 3,236,014 ETH 10/13 - 3,032,188 ETH 10/6 - 2,830,151 ETH 9/29 - 2,650,900 ETH 9/22 - 2,416,054 ETH 9/15 - 2,151,676 ETH 9/8 - 2,069,443 ETH 9/2 - 1,866,974 ETH 8/25 - 1,713,899 ETH 8/18 - 1,523,373 ETH 8/11 - 1,150,263 ETH 8/4 - 833,137 ETH 7/28 - 625,000 ETH 7/24 - 566,776 ETH 7/17 - 300,657 ETH 7/14 - 163,142 ETH
TOM LEE AND BITMINE $BMNR JUST UPDATED THEIR ETHEREUM HOLDINGS Here are the updated holdings: 6.00 million ethereum:native up from 5.98M on September 21st 213 Bitcoin bitcoin:native $672M cash $180 million stake in Beast Industries $115M stake in Eightco $ORBS Tom Lee and BMNR now own 4.9% of the total Ethereum supply, 98% of the way to their 5% target
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TOM LEE @fundstrat SAYS THE FED MAY SOON LOOK TOO HAWKISH Upcoming inflation and jobs data could make the latest rate hikes look harder to justify: - A new core PCE methodology could lower the current 3.4% reading by roughly 20 to 40 basis points - That would put underlying inflation closer to 3%, with further declines possible over the next six months - Softer September jobs data could add to the case for a more dovish Fed stance -@FundstratDirect
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NVIDIA $NVDA JUST ANNOUNCED AN OPEN PLATFORM TO SECURE AI AGENTS. TOMORROW, ONE OF THE PEOPLE BEHIND IT GOES LIVE WITH US Ali Golshan @a_golshan, Senior Director of AI Products at NVIDIA, joins @StockMKTNewz Tuesday at 1PM ET. The question on the table: can we actually secure AI?
Today, with over 100 industry partners, we introduced the NVIDIA Open Agent Safety Platform, bringing together OpenShell and Sentry. Artificial intelligence is extraordinary technology that will advance discovery, productivity, security, health, and prosperity for generations to come. But its full promise can only be realized when people have confidence that AI is being built to be safe and deployed with wisdom and responsibility. This is bigger than a single product. It's the beginning of an open ecosystem to build the trust layer for safe agent systems. Together, we are building the foundation of the AI economy. Trust and innovation are not in conflict. Safety is how trust is earned. We must build not only the most capable AI, but the most trusted AI, so that this extraordinary technology can realize its enormous promise for the world. nvda.ws/4hcoq7m
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BITMINE $BMNR HAS DOUBLED THIS QUARTER, AND THE ETH STACK KEEPS GROWING The stock is up 103.24% over the past three months, now at $27.56. As of September 27, the treasury holds 6,001,302 Ethereum $ETH, worth roughly $16.2B at $2,698 per ETH. That's 4.9% of the entire 122.1M ETH supply.
🚨 TOM LEE'S BITMINE $BMNR IS UP 103.24% OVER THE PAST QUARTER
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ethereum:native x bitcoin:native
Coinage ♻️
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🚨 BITCOIN bitcoin:native IS UP 39.13% OVER THE PAST QUARTER, AND ETH HAS DONE EVEN BETTER Ethereum $ETH is up 68.73% over the same window, now trading at $2,648.
🚨BITCOIN $BTC IS UP 39.13% OVER THE PAST QUARTER
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RAOUL PAL'S ENTIRE PORTFOLIO STRATEGY IN ONE LINE: "Own NASDAQ, own crypto, go to the beach." He says Bitcoin has outperformed the Nasdaq $NDX from the low, and he expects it to keep doing so over time. His warning to anyone watching short-term: "If you sweat the small time horizons, you're f***ing up the biggest opportunity you've ever had."
🚨 @RaoulGMI ON THE SIMPLEST PORTFOLIO STRATEGY FOR THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT: "The central bank having to continue to finance interest payments via the issuance of money is the everything code to offset the aging population." On whether this is a normal crypto cycle: "I don't think what we've gone through in crypto is a cycle. It can't be because this wasn't a liquidity cycle. It was a dampening of liquidity while there's a massive bull market in something else. I just think it continues over time." The everything code distilled: "Own NASDAQ, own crypto, go to the beach. Bitcoin has outperformed the NASDAQ from the low and it will do so over time." His warning: "If you sweat the small time horizons, you're f***ing up the biggest opportunity you've ever had. Because your time horizons are too short, you're going to f*** this up."
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🚨 TOM LEE: "The 4th quarter could be one of the biggest rallies of our lifetime, and I think it continues into next year." "I think we could easily be above 8,200 on the S&P by end of year. Tech is gonna do a lot of the heavy lifting."
🚨 @fundstrat CIO TOM LEE ON WHY A BIG PULLBACK HASN'T HAPPENED YET AND WHAT COMES NEXT: "The factors that make us think a big pullback's coming are still in place. Market tests the Fed, margin debt, IPOs, leverage. But there's pessimism today, and I don't think markets peak on pessimism." "When people flip bullish, that's really when all these other headwinds could come together." On the midterms: "Gridlock, which is what markets are pricing, a Senate and House flip to Democrat, is actually a good scenario for markets. Stocks tend to do better when there's gridlock." On what comes after: "The fourth quarter could be one of the biggest rallies of our lifetime, and I think it continues into next year. I think we could easily be above 8,200 on the S&P by end of year. Tech is gonna do a lot of the heavy lifting."
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STRIVE $ASST IS SPLITTING BITCOIN'S RETURNS INTO TWO DIFFERENT PRODUCTS CEO Cole Macro lays out the stack: The preferred equity is the stripped-down, shorter-term version. He says that yield "likely beats the stock market." The common equity is amplified Bitcoin, and that one needs a long-term thesis. His line for the get-rich-quick crowd: "We are not gamblers. We are underwriting a long-term thesis around Bitcoin."
🚨 $ASST STRIVE CEO @ColeMacro ON HOW TO THINK ABOUT THEIR PRODUCT STACK: "A lot of people need cash flows. Retirees. High net worth investors that are just looking for income. That 13% likely beats the stock market." On the structure: "We strip down what we view to be Bitcoin's returns to the preferred equity, then amplify it to the common equity. The stripped down version is a shorter term instrument. Amplified Bitcoin requires a long-term thesis." His message to people thinking short-term: "Sometimes people think about it as a short-term get rich quick scheme. There's never a way to get rich quick unless you get lucky, unless you gamble. We are not gamblers. We are underwriting a long-term thesis around Bitcoin."
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Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom) retweeted
TOM LEE SAYS TOKENIZATION COULD REWIRE THE ENTIRE FINANCIAL SYSTEM He thinks blockchain can unlock new financial products while collapsing today’s complex payment stack: - Tokenized assets can be used as collateral and structured into derivatives without requiring traditional shareholder votes - A credit card payment can involve roughly seven separate regulatory and processing functions today - @fundstrat says those functions could eventually run on a single blockchain through smart contracts, making payments faster, cheaper and more flexible
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TOM LEE SAYS AI AND CRYPTO ARE STARTING TO CONVERGE @fundstrat sees tokenization and agentic AI becoming two major drivers of the next crypto cycle: - BlackRock $BLK expects more assets to be tokenized, while financial settlement rails are increasingly being built on crypto - Fintech companies like Revolut are already building on Ethereum $ETH - AI is creating a digital economy, while crypto provides digital money and blockchain infrastructure to support it @FundstratDirect
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MARK NEWTON SAYS SEPTEMBER’S BEARISH REPUTATION ISN’T MATCHING THE MARKET @MarkNewtonCMT sees underlying strength despite higher oil, rates and seasonal pressure: - Markets entered September up 12.5% and remain only 2.5% below all-time highs - Crude has surged and rates pushed toward 5%, yet equities have remained resilient - Profit growth is the strongest in 30 years, the economy remains solid, and technical trends matter more than oil or rates alone @FundstratDirect
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TOM LEE SAYS FED RATE HIKES WON’T FIX AI-DRIVEN INFLATION @fundstrat thinks AI is creating bottlenecks the Fed cannot solve with higher rates: - AI spending is putting pressure on memory and energy, creating inflation in key infrastructure inputs - Higher interest rates are unlikely to meaningfully slow AI investment - Good economic data is making markets nervous because stronger growth is keeping Fed concerns elevated @FundstratDirect
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TOM LEE SAYS AI WON’T CAUSE A JOB APOCALYPSE @fundstrat argues history shows major technological disruption can eliminate tasks without eliminating employment: - AI could automate large parts of existing workflows while people continue working in higher-value roles - Past technological shifts did not lead to permanent mass unemployment - Frozen food transformed the food supply chain as farming employment fell from 38% of the workforce to 5% @fundstratdirect
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