Cutting-edge platform designed to help traders streamline their decision-making process with a top-down market analysis to uncover high-potential opportunities.

Based in United States
Most traders look for stocks first. A better approach is often to find where the money is flowing first — then look for the best stocks inside those groups. That’s exactly what ThemesLab is built for. Instead of manually scanning dozens of industries, themes, and sub-groups, you can quickly see: • Which themes are leading • Which are improving • Which are losing momentum • Where relative strength is actually expanding • The strongest stocks inside each group The idea is simple: Market → Theme → Stock Start broad, identify where strength is concentrating, then drill down into the names actually driving it. It makes top-down research much faster and helps avoid wasting time searching for leaders in groups that simply aren’t working. If your process starts with “what stock should I buy?”, try flipping the question: “Where is the market rewarding risk right now?” That’s what ThemesLab is designed to help answer. traderslab.io
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Oversold ≠ Buy Signal One of the most common mistakes newer traders make is treating an oversold reading as confirmation that a bottom is in. It isn’t. Oversold simply tells you the market is stretched. Selling pressure has become extreme enough that a reflex bounce is increasingly possible. That is a condition, not a signal. This is where two breadth indicators we use a lot at TradersLab become useful: MCO = McClellan Oscillator Think of it as short-term breadth momentum. It reacts relatively quickly to changes in the balance between advancing and declining stocks. MCSI = McClellan Summation Index Think of it as the broader breadth trend or regime. It moves more slowly and helps show whether participation across the market is generally expanding or contracting. That distinction matters. An MCO hook higher from oversold can be constructive because it shows short-term breadth pressure is starting to improve. But if MCSI is still falling, the broader breadth regime may still be contracting. You can therefore have an MCO hook, a green index day, and even a sharp bounce while equal-weight price action, new highs/lows, and the percentage of stocks above key moving averages remain weak. That is why oversold conditions should be treated as potential, not confirmation. A cleaner sequence is: Condition → Signal → Confirmation Oversold creates the condition, and improving short-term breadth creates the signal. Price, participation, and sustained breadth expansion provide the confirmation. The goal is not to predict the exact bottom. It is to identify when the market is actually transitioning from contraction to expansion. That is exactly what breadth analysis is designed to help with. You can now track $QQQ, $SPY, $IWM and NYSE breadth dashboards for FREE on TradersLab, including MCO, MCSI, moving-average participation, new highs/lows, and more. traderslab.io
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TradersLab now has a FREE tier. It’s already live. You can create an account and use: • Market Overview • TLMM breadth for SPY, QQQ, IWM & NYSE • Top 10 Screener results No need to jump straight into a paid plan just to see if the workflow fits you. The free tier gives you enough to answer three important questions every day: 1. What is the market doing? 2. How healthy is participation underneath? 3. What stocks are showing up? Then, if you want to go deeper into Themes, Relative Rotation, full Screener results, watchlists, leadership research, and the rest of the workflow, that’s where the full platform comes in. Start using TradersLab for free → TradersLab.io
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Macro Regime: neutral and drifting. Policy and risk appetite carrying it against energy. Where we stand Regime score: 52, mixed wind — down 5.0 on the week, 7.7 on the month History: 47th percentile — close to a median day over the last five years Lead engine: Policy (79, improving) Drag engine: Inflation (23, weak) What's driving it Policy is the cleanest signal. 2Y at 3.76%, up only 3bps, while 2s10s sits at +103bps and steepened 9bps in three weeks — a rate path that isn't fighting the market. Inflation is weak on energy alone. WTI 92.70, up 18.6% in 21 days; nat gas up 11.4%. The breakeven proxy has barely moved (+0.5%), so this is spot cost pressure, not repriced expectations yet. Risk appetite at 75 is the largest positive contributor (+32.4% of the move off neutral). High-beta over low-vol up 3.8%, VIX at 14.53 and falling. Market internals at 34 are the quiet problem. Only 38% of names above their 20DMA, 47% above the 50DMA. Positioning read Favors beta and policy-sensitive exposure while the curve stays cooperative. Argues against duration extension — 10Y at 4.79%, up 12bps, with oil running behind it. Argues for selectivity over breadth: 38% above the 20DMA means index strength is not participation. Watch next WTI at 92.70. Another leg up keeps inflation pinned and eventually erodes the policy tailwind holding this at neutral; a roll back toward the low 80s takes the drag off and lets the score reset higher.
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One of the biggest mistakes swing traders make is looking at the index and assuming that tells the whole story. That’s why we built the TLMM dashboard in TradersLab. TLMM helps you track what’s happening under the surface: • Breadth • Trend participation • Risk-on / risk-off conditions • How many stocks are actually above key moving averages • Whether momentum is broadening or deteriorating The index can still look fine while participation underneath is weakening. On the flip side, breadth can start improving before price looks obvious. The goal isn’t to predict every turn. It’s to understand whether the market environment is actually supporting your trades. That context matters a lot when deciding how much exposure you want to carry. TLMM for major indices is live on TradersLab.io
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Growth vs Value. Instead of arguing about whether “growth is back,” just measure it. The ratio tells you who is outperforming. The normalized reading tells you how unusual that relative move is compared with history. And the trend tells you whether leadership is actually improving or deteriorating. That’s exactly what we built Relative Rotation for.
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A stock, sector, or index can be going UP... …and still be getting weaker. That’s why absolute price only tells part of the story. If $QQQ is +5%, but $SPY is +10%, Tech is actually losing relative strength. Ratio analysis makes that visible immediately. That’s the whole idea behind the new Relative Rotation dashboard in TradersLab.
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NEW in TradersLab — Relative Rotation!! 🧪 One of the most requested features from our last community poll is now LIVE. Compare one asset against another to uncover: • Relative strength/weakness • Rotation & divergences • Historical extremes • Ratio trends • Different timeframes • Built-in market relationships • Your own custom ratios • AI analysis Tech vs Market. Growth vs Value. Small vs Large Caps. Semis vs Market. Discretionary vs Staples. Equal Weight vs Cap Weight. Price tells you what is moving. Relative Rotation helps tell you WHERE the strength is moving. Live now on TradersLab.io.
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Learn how to use the Screener Community Library in TradersLab to quickly find, explore, and use screens shared by the community. piped.video/ypmWTe5W6SQ This quick walkthrough shows you how to browse popular screens, discover new ideas, and add useful screeners to your own process without starting from scratch. Want access to the full TradersLab workflow? Try TradersLab.io and explore the Screener Community Library today.
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VERY AWAITED feature now live in TradersLab 👀 You can finally draw directly on the single-stock chart view. Current support: • Horizontal / trend lines • Channels • Fibonacci • AVWAP • Text • Basic indicators This is just the start. We’re nowhere near done. More tools and indicators are coming over the next days & weeks. If you use TradersLab, drop your requests in #feature-request of our free Discord — we want your input on what gets built next. Tlab team ✌️
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$QQQE still holding the rising 21dma-structure, while MCSI going sideway above a still rising 10dma. Can the tech market find support here?
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Broad 21dma-structure Pullback sorted by RS Rank. $GH, $PBF, $FROG, $ETSY, $XYZ, $LLY, $HUM, $IBKR, $DT, $TWLO, $BRKR, $W, $ANET, $BAX, $VG, $BILL, $APO, $GMED, $INFQ, $CVNA By @TradersLab_
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Macro Regime: policy carries it, inflation drags. Where we stand Regime score: 59, wind mixed (‑2.3 w/w, +0.5 m/m) History: 77th percentile — firmer than roughly three of four days over the past five years Lead engine: Policy, 81, strong Drag engine: Inflation, 32, weak Only 3 of 6 engines supportive What's driving it Policy: 2Y at 3.71%, down 9 bps, and 2s10s steepened to +103 bps (+13 bps over 21 days) — the rate path is cooperating rather than fighting. Inflation: WTI 87.06 (‑5.6%) and gold 4,680.6 (+15.6%) pulling opposite ways. Energy softening while the hedge bid builds is not a clean disinflation read. Risk Appetite, 76 and improving, explains +36.6% of the move off neutral. VIX 15.13, down 19.1%. Growth, 62, holds constructive on copper +3.8%, but copper/gold is ‑10.1% in three weeks — the largest negative in the wind. Positioning read Favors duration and credit beta: the steepening curve plus HYG/LQD +0.8% says the funding side is intact. Argues against pro-cyclical commodity and industrial tilt — industrials/SPY ‑4.5%, IWM/SPY ‑1.8%. Watch next Gold against crude. Gold bidding while WTI slides keeps Inflation a drag and pulls Growth with it; crude firming as gold cools is what flips the engine.
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Learn how to use the Seasonality feature in TradersLab to quickly spot historical monthly and weekly tendencies, identify stronger seasonal windows, and add more context to your market and stock analysis. In this quick walkthrough, we show you how the dashboard works, what to look for, and how to use seasonality as part of a smarter top-down process. If you want more tools like this for market internals, themes, screeners, watchlists, and top-down research, subscribe to TradersLab here: TradersLab.io piped.video/l9Dt7A0O6d0?si=D4w_… via @YouTube
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$QQQ $QQQE flipped back to an UPTREND signal following last Friday's action. The McClellan Summation Index reclaimed its uptrend above a rising 10dma, while price remains above a rising 21dma-structure. That will be an interesting week for sure. In Tlab, you can track Price-Breadth-Momentum for all major markets and sectors, and even track intraday signals as they change.
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If you’re tired of jumping between 10 different tools just to understand the market, that’s exactly why we built TradersLab.io. Market Overview. Market Internals. Breadth across the major indexes. Intraday breadth. Sectors & Sub-Markets. Themes Lab. Screener. Seasonality. Watchlists. Follow-Through Day tracking. One place to understand market health, trends, leadership, themes, and where the opportunities are actually developing. Less noise. Better context. TradersLab.io
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NEW in TradersLab — Follow-Through Day (FTD) Dashboard 🧪 Inspired by IBD/CANSLIM and built to track the market cycle from one place: Rally Attempt → FTD → Power Trend → Distribution Track FTDs and Distribution Days directly on the chart, follow the rally count day by day, monitor Power Trend status, 21/50dma structure and active distribution across the Nasdaq Composite, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500. The part we like most: You can go back through prior cycles and study exactly how previous reversals developed, day by day — price, volume, signals and notes included. Not another prediction tool. A cleaner way to recognize when the market environment is actually changing. FTD Dashboard is now live in BETA on TradersLab.io.
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$QQQ is in an UPTREND_ATTEMPT phase with price above both the 21-day EMA and 50-day SMA, both rising. However, the structural environment is fragile. The market is attempting to establish a new uptrend after a correction, but breadth deterioration and volume weakness suggest conviction is lacking. Leadership is marginally expanding (cumulative net highs-lows above 50DMA), but this is insufficient to confirm sustainable upside momentum. Breadth The McClellan Summation Index at 167.64 is above its 10-day moving average (158.78), indicating breadth wind is beginning to shift toward expansion. However, this signal is contradicted by severely negative Global Daily Breadth at -64.45, which reflects broad selling pressure and distribution. The MCSI recovery appears tentative rather than decisive, suggesting participation expansion is incomplete and vulnerable to reversal. Condition The market exhibits mixed extension signals. The McClellan Oscillator at +0.14 Z-score is neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. However, Global Daily Breadth at -64 indicates distribution stress, and the up/down volume ratio of 0.23 reveals dominant downside volume despite price holding above key moving averages. This divergence—price strength with volume weakness—is a warning signal that the current price structure may lack follow-through support.
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Macro Regime: tailwind holds. Risk appetite and policy carrying the load. $SPY $QQQ $IWM Where we stand • Regime score: 61, tailwind • History: 86th percentile — stronger than most days over the last five years • Lead engine: Risk Appetite (82, strong) • Drag engine: Inflation (42, soft) — soft here means cooling, which supports the regime What's driving it • Risk Appetite doing the heavy lifting: VIX down 24% over 21 days to 15.03, QQQ/SPY and SMH/SPY both supportive. Fear is drained and tech is leading. • Policy strong at 81: 2s10s curve steepened +88 bps, a signal the rate path is cooperating with risk assets. • Growth improving at 68 with IWM/SPY and Industrials/SPY firming — leadership is broadening beyond mega-cap. • Liquidity the soft spot at 46: 10Y at 4.57% (+4 bps) and DXY +1.4% are the pressure points. Not breaking, but thin. Positioning read • Regime favors cyclical tilt and beta over defensives, with policy tailwind supporting duration-sensitive risk. • Argues against crowding into pure momentum — Growth/Value down 2% says leadership is rotating, not narrowing. • Breadth percentile at 42% is the caveat: internals are constructive but not confirming the tape. **Watch next • Liquidity subscore at 46. A DXY break higher or 10Y through 4.75% would tighten conditions and put the tailwind at risk; a rollover in either would clear the last obstacle.
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Testing an idea... Opening up TradersLab.io data — themes, RS scores, leaders, market state — as an MCP server. Plug it into Claude, ChatGPT, your own scripts, whatever you build your process around. See value in this? Reply with what you'd wire it into.
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🚀 New Feature (!!): Screener AI Assistant (BETA) Over the years, TradersLab's screener has become incredibly powerful. More filters. More flexibility. More ways to build exactly the screen you want. But with that came more complexity. So instead of simplifying the screener... We taught AI how to use it. 🤖 Simply describe the screen you want to build in plain English. Examples: ✅ "Find stocks up 15% in the last 10 days that are now tightening." ✅ "Create a Liquid Leaders pullback screen." ✅ "Modify this screen to focus on higher ADR names." ✅ "Exclude biotech and tighten liquidity requirements." Whether you're creating a brand new screen or improving an existing one, the AI helps translate your ideas into screener filters—making it faster than ever to test new concepts. It's still BETA, and we're improving the model every day, but it's already becoming a huge productivity boost. AI shouldn't replace the trader. It should help the trader spend less time building screens and more time finding opportunities. 👀 P.S. We also quietly released another BETA dashboard this week... We aren't announcing it just yet, but if your process revolves around market leadership, market rotation, and generating high-quality trade ideas, you're going to like what's coming. Stay tuned. ✌️
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The Tlab Mobile experience just getting better with some upgrades we pushed today. If you have some ideas or suggestions for improvement please join our free Discord and share them in our product feedback channel! It's with your help that we can make Tlab great! 🔥🙏
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Macro Regime: tailwind holds. Risk appetite and policy carrying it. Where we stand - Regime score: 63, tailwind - History: 89th percentile — stronger than nearly nine of every ten days over the last five years - Lead engine: Policy - Drag engine: Inflation What's driving it - Policy strong at 81: the 2s10s curve steepened by 82 bps, a sign the rate path is cooperating with risk, and the short rate proxy is holding supportive at 3.67%. - Risk Appetite improving at 79: VIX at 16.15 and high-beta leadership intact, though QQQ/SPY and SMH/SPY both softened 2–5% over 21 days, hinting the leaders are tiring. - Growth improving at 74: copper firm and small caps outperforming (IWM/SPY +4.1%), industrials leading the tape (+7.7%) — cyclical breadth, not just mega-cap. - Liquidity soft at 44 and Inflation soft at 43: the 10Y at 4.49% is pressuring, and crude down 22% in three weeks keeps the disinflation read intact but fragile. Positioning read - Regime favors cyclical exposure and credit beta — industrials leading and the curve steepening argue for pro-cyclical tilt over defensives. - Argues against long duration and crowded growth: 10Y pressure plus fading QQQ/SPY leadership say don't chase the mega-cap trade here. - Growth/Value down 8.4% in 21 days: leadership is broadening, not narrowing. Watch next - 10Y Treasury at 4.49%. A push higher pressures the liquidity engine further and threatens the tailwind; a drift lower relieves it and confirms the setup.
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$GPC +12.92% on O'Reilly Automotive bid speculation: – Bloomberg: $ORLY submitted a $10B+ cash bid for GPC's auto parts/NAPA unit. – Management is weighing a sale vs. a spinoff of the auto parts business; the decision is targeted for the end of summer, with room for another bidder. – Mizuho flagged low odds on the O'Reilly deal, citing NAPA's lower margins. Gap reclaims the February breakdown level in one session.
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We've been working like crazy behind the scenes lately... and honestly, we can't wait to start sharing what we've been building. There are so many new dashboards, features, and improvements coming to TradersLab over the next few weeks. We truly believe they're going to make your market preparation faster, cleaner, and more effective. Our goal has always been simple: help you stay on the right side of the market by identifying the strongest market model, leading groups, themes, institutional leadership, and emerging opportunities before they become obvious. We're seriously excited about what's coming and can't wait to get it into your hands. 🇺🇸 As a little 4th of July reminder... If you've been thinking about joining TradersLab, new subscriptions receive 25% OFF your first 3 months with code FOURTH. Happy 4th of July everyone! 🎆
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🇺🇸 4th of July Special for New Members Thinking about joining TradersLab? Now's a great time. For a limited time, new subscriptions receive 25% OFF your first 3 months with code FOURTH. TradersLab helps you stay on the right side of the market by identifying: • The current market model & regime • The strongest leading groups and themes • The stocks showing institutional leadership • Relative strength before it becomes obvious • Powerful dashboards built for swing & position traders Spend less time searching. More time executing. Happy 4th of July! 🎆
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Leading themes this week: DevOps & CI/CD +7.49% Hospitals + Health Systems +7.37% Cybersecurity +7.26% Fintech +6.39% Mobile & Programmatic Ads +5.35% Payments Infrastructure +4.94% Health Services +4.92% Software, health, and fintech doing the work. $FROG $TWLO $THC $PANW $CRWD $OKTA $FTNT $TENB $HQY $LMND $APP $AFRM $XYZ $RELY $GPN $BTSG $MDLN
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Themes Lab Update !! 🚨 Small improvement, but one that I think adds a lot of value. Based on member feedback, we've added the multi-timeframe performance table directly into the main Themes Lab dashboard. You can now quickly see how each theme has been performing across multiple timeframes (1D, 1W, 1M, 3M, 6M and 1Y) without leaving the page. The goal with Themes Lab has always been simple: make it easier to identify institutional leadership through a top-down process. Every small improvement gets us one step closer. Thanks for all the feedback—keep it coming! Tlab team💪
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Small TradersLab Update 🚨 A couple of quality-of-life improvements went live today. Nothing major, just making the platform a little smoother to use every day. What's new: ✅ Improved screener table hover behavior – Mini charts now only appear when hovering directly over the ticker, making the table much cleaner and easier to navigate. ✅ Mini-chart scrolling fix – Fixed the zoom/scroll behavior in the mini-chart view, so you can now scroll through the entire page naturally without getting stuck. As always, we'll keep shipping small improvements alongside the bigger features. Thanks for all the feedback! Tlab team 👊
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Macro Regime - BETA Risk Appetite, Growth and Policy are doing the heavy lifting. Risk appetite and growth expectations are carrying this regime higher, with policy support providing a tailwind—this is a classic risk-on setup despite moderate liquidity and inflation headwinds. Position for cyclical outperformance (equities, credit, commodities) while staying selective on duration; the 80+ risk appetite score suggests appetite for beta, but the soft liquidity and inflation readings argue against overextending into the longest-duration or most crowded trades.
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Macro Regime - Risk Appetite, Growth and Policy are doing the heavy lifting. Our Macro Regime model continues to point toward a constructive backdrop for risk assets. Risk appetite and growth momentum are carrying this regime despite weak liquidity and elevated inflation readings. The policy tailwind (likely driven by expectations of a Fed pivot) is helping to sustain the bid. The takeaway? • Favor cyclical outperformance and quality growth. • Stay constructive on risk assets. • Respect that liquidity remains the main headwind, so manage exposure accordingly. We built the Macro Regime dashboard to turn dozens of cross-asset signals into a single actionable framework—helping to answer not just what the market is doing, but why.
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🚀 Free Live Webinar — Building a Top-Down Trading Process with Themes Lab Over the past few months, we've completely changed the way we build our Focus Lists. We used to spend hours jumping between charts, screeners and watchlists trying to connect the dots. Today, we don't. The recent addition of Themes Lab has completely transformed our workflow. Together with the TLMM dashboards, it's honestly become the only tool we use to find new opportunities. Why? Because we believe the best trade ideas don't come from randomly scanning thousands of stocks. They come from understanding where institutional money is flowing and focusing on established leadership. That's the philosophy behind Themes Lab. The entire dashboard is built around a simple top-down process: ➡️ Identify the strongest Themes ➡️ Narrow down to the strongest Groups ➡️ Find the strongest Leaders within those groups ➡️ Focus on the names that are actually setting up Instead of asking: "What stock should I buy?" We start by asking: "Where is institutional money flowing?" That one shift changes everything. Next Tuesday, June 30th at 11:00 AM ET, we'll be hosting a free live webinar where we'll walk through this entire process and show exactly how we use Themes Lab to consistently narrow thousands of stocks down to just a handful of high-quality ideas. We'll cover: ✅ Why a top-down process produces better trade ideas ✅ How we identify leading themes, groups and stocks using Relative Strength ✅ How Themes Lab helps us stay aligned with institutional leadership ✅ How we build our weekly Focus List ✅ How Themes Lab and TLMM work together to shape our exposure decisions If you've ever wanted a more structured, repeatable way to find opportunities, we think you'll really enjoy this session. 📅 Tuesday, June 30th — 11:00 AM ET 🔗 Register here: discord.gg/vQBfvuSA?event=15… Hope to see you there! 🐼📈 Alex
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📈 Small TradersLab update. You can now visualize 21EMA & 10WMA extensions directly on every TLMM dashboard chart. One more piece of context to help answer questions like: • Is the market getting extended? • Is this move becoming crowded? • Should I be adding, managing, or reducing exposure? Simple feature. Better decision-making. We're continuously building the platform we wish existed as active traders.
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Built Themes Lab dashboard🧪 to answer one question every morning: Which groups are leading — and who's leading inside them? (!!!) One screen. Beta is live.
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📊 TLMM Dashboard — Uptrend Tape is constructive: $QQQE trending cleanly above the 21dma-structure area with breadth internals turning back up after a healthy reset. 📈 Price Action ($QQQE) Trading 112.44, well above the 21dma-structure area Clean stair-step trend off the April lows — consecutive higher highs, no distribution character Mild -0.14% daily pullback, ADRP 0.96% (orderly) 🌡️ Breadth Internals (MCSI / MCO) MCSI z-score 0.50, above a rising 10dma (0.39) → constructive backdrop intact MCO z-score 0.21 — neutral, neither oversold nor overbought Translation: trend is on, no exhaustion signal, no dip signal yet — carry positions, no chase 👀 Breadth Snapshot $NDX 100 leading: 61.4% above 21EMA, 59.4% above 50SMA, GDB rank +19.4 New highs/lows: NDX 10/1, Russell 101/20 — broad participation under the surface Sector standouts: Technology (60% > 21EMA), Real Estate GDB +27.9 Laggards: Energy (-74 GDB), Utilities (-70), Industrials (-71) — defensives + cyclicals soft, classic risk-on rotation Takeaway Regime: Uptrend, risk-on. Lean long, respect the 21dma-structure area on $QQQE as the line. MCO neutral means next oversold dip is the buy — not chasing strength here. Watch: MCO push above +1σ = caution flag. Loss of 21dma-structure area + MCSI rolling under 10dma = regime change. By: @TradersLab_
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We just released a new Market Internals page on TradersLab. 👀🔥 It brings key cross-asset data, credit spreads, volatility, rotation, rates, commodities, and crypto into one clean view with mini-charts. You can fully customize it to track what matters to your process, and use it to quickly read the broader environment behind price. There’s also a small layer starting to build on top to help interpret these signals… more on that soon. Hope you'll enjoy that new addition... and stay tuned for more releases soon!! 🙂 Tlab team ✌️
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360° MARKET VIEW $QQQ TLMM Dashboard The NASDAQ is caught between short-term bounce mechanics and intermediate-term deterioration. Price structure is split: the 21-EMA is rising and price is above it, but the 50-SMA is flat-to-declining and price has broken below it. This is a classic setup for a rally that lacks structural confirmation. The McClellan Summation Index recovery is a positive signal for breadth stabilization, but it must be watched closely—if MCSI rolls over below its 10-day moving average again, it would confirm that the distribution phase is resuming. Participation at 44.5% above the 50-SMA is the key constraint; healthy rallies typically see this metric move toward 55%+. The dominance of new lows over new highs and the persistent negative Global Daily Breadth (-63.5) suggest that leadership is not expanding into the rally, which is a red flag for sustainability. Watch for: (1) whether participation can expand above 50% above the 50-SMA, (2) whether the 50-SMA can stabilize and begin rising, and (3) whether new highs can begin to expand relative to new lows. Until these confirmations occur, this remains a countertrend rally vulnerable to reversal.
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360° MARKET VIEW $QQQ TLMM Dashboard The rally is real but contextually fragile. Extreme breadth readings (GDB +97, MCO Z +1.08) typically mark inflection points rather than continuation signals, especially within a downtrend. The reclamation of the MCSI 10-day moving average is a positive technical development, but it must be sustained and followed by actual participation expansion (% above 50-SMA moving above 60%) to signal a structural shift. Watch for: (1) whether MCSI continues higher and breaks above zero, (2) whether participation quality improves materially in the next 5-10 days, and (3) whether the 50-day SMA begins to flatten or rise. The current setup favors a pause or pullback in the near term given the extreme short-term extension. Leadership expansion remains the key missing piece—new highs are not broadening, which limits the conviction of this rally.
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The correction is confirmed by broken price structure and deteriorating breadth. The 5-day breadth thrust (+86 GDB) is notable but must be contextualized: it represents a recovery from extreme weakness, not a trend reversal. For a meaningful uptrend to resume, NASDAQ would need to (1) reclaim the 50-SMA around 102.03, (2) see the McClellan Summation Index reclaim its 10-day moving average, and (3) expand participation back above 40% of stocks above the 50-SMA. Currently, only 27.7% qualify, which is well below healthy levels. Leadership expansion is stalled (cumulative net highs-lows at 2868 vs 50-day average of 2874.8), confirming that new highs are not driving the market. The 21-day deterioration in all major breadth metrics (participation down 23.8%, ad-net down 48, GDB down 79 points) establishes the corrective trend as the primary regime. Watch for stabilization at the 50-SMA as a potential inflection point, but confirmation would require breadth expansion, not just price bounce.
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Market Internals - MIXED The internals are sending mixed signals that demand your full attention right now. Crude Oil at 111.54 is absolutely ripping — up 11.41% in a single session and nearly 18% on the month — which is a classic stagflationary warning shot, and that kind of commodity surge historically pressures risk assets even when equities try to hold their ground. Meanwhile, VIX at 23.87 is cooling off on the week (-13.01%) but remains elevated on the month (+12.86%), meaning it's likely still holding above or testing a rising 10wma-structure — don't let the short-term VIX dip fool you into thinking fear has left the building. The one bright spot is the XLK/XLP ratio at 1.6606 pushing higher (+1.69% on the week, +3.51% on the month), suggesting money is rotating back toward Tech over Defensives in the near term, but with Credit Spreads (SHY/HYG at 1.0352) still elevated on the month (+0.58%) and Gold pulling back hard (-2.77% today despite a strong week), the reclaim or rejection of the 21dma-structure on both SPY and QQQ will be the defining moment — watch whether XLK/XLP can hold its weekly gains while VIX confirms a breakdown below its rising 10wma-structure. • Crude Oil UPTREND above rising structure • VIX testing declining 21dma-structure • Tech/Staples rotation signals cautious optimism
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360° MARKET VIEW $QQQ TLMM Dashboard The correction is confirmed by price structure failure and breadth deterioration. Key observations: (1) Participation has fallen sharply—only 24.8% above 50-SMA is well into weak territory; (2) The 21-day GDB swing (+113 to -52) suggests a reflexive bounce may have exhausted; (3) Advancers are still leading on a net basis (+21 A/D net today), but this is masking internal weakness—volume is upside-dominant but participation is collapsing, a divergence typical of late-stage rallies; (4) The MCO Z-score of +0.30 is not extreme, suggesting room for further deterioration before an oversold bounce becomes likely; (5) Leadership is not expanding (cumulative net highs-lows below 50-DMA), which is a red flag in a correction. Watch for MCO to reach -2.0 Z-score or lower for potential oversold inflection. Confirmation of a bottom would require MCSI reclaiming its 10-DMA and price stabilizing above the 21-EMA.
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Tech $XLK leading today. $XLP defensive lagging.
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$QQQE running into declining 21dma-structure, while MCSI is following through on yesterday's hook-up. Interesting picture as indices are running into potential overhead supply.
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The extreme Global Daily Breadth reading (+97) warrants scrutiny: it reflects concentrated upside in a narrow set of leaders rather than broad participation. With only 19.8% of stocks above the 50-SMA and leadership contracting, this breadth thrust is a distribution event masquerading as strength. The MCSI below its 10-day MA is the critical signal—it confirms that participation is not expanding despite the headline breadth number. Watch for MCSI reclaiming its 10-day MA (15.23) as a confirmation signal; failure to do so suggests the correction continues. Price must reclaim the 21-EMA (100.04) and ideally the 50-SMA (102.32) to signal structural recovery. The up/down volume ratio at 23:1 is extremely elevated and unsustainable, suggesting volume is concentrated in a few names. This is a tail-risk setup where the appearance of strength masks underlying weakness.
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Biggest movers in LLs today 👇 Liquid Leaders Scan sorted by 1-Day Return. $APLD, $MRVL, $BE, $RKLB, $ASTS, $NBIS, $ONDS, $FSLY, $ON, $STM, $ARM, $TSEM, $MKSI, $SNDK, $ENTG, $ROKU, $W, $COHR, $CCL, $CLS By @TradersLab_
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Impressive day for the liquid leaders, with +5.2% move, as the composite index tries to reclaim the 21dma-structure, and MCSI to hook up. The next few days should be interesting for this basket of stocks. $SNDK, $LITE, $SATS, $WDC, $ONDS, $FIVE, $CIEN, $PL, $TSEM, $STX, $FSLY, $BE, $VRT, $MTZ, $DOCN, $GEV, $TER, $NBIS, $MKSI, $ATI
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360° MARKET VIEW $QQQ TLMM Dashboard Correction is well-established with no price structure support. The 21-day deterioration in participation (-35.6 percentage points in % above 50-SMA) is severe and suggests broad-based selling rather than sector rotation. Leadership is not expanding (cumulative net highs-lows at 2877 vs 50-day MA of 2880.72). Key watch: whether MCSI can reclaim its 10-day MA (17.92) to signal early breadth stabilization, or whether it continues lower. Price needs to reclaim 102.32 (50-SMA) to challenge correction thesis. Current flags include volume downside dominance, weak participation, and tail risk to the downside. The one-day bounce in MCO and GDB may represent a short-term oversold condition, but without participation expansion and price structure recovery, it lacks conviction.
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Market Internal - RISK-OFF The internals are screaming risk-off right now — no ambiguity here. VIX at 31.05 is up 13.16% on the day and 66.67% over the past month, meaning fear has been structurally building, not just spiking — that's a VIX UPTREND ABOVE A RISING 10wma-structure, and until that changes, bulls have no business getting aggressive. Crude at 102.85 ripping +16.70% on the week and +37.76% on the month is a massive inflationary headwind layered on top of the fear trade, and the SHY/HYG credit spread ratio at 1.0466 — creeping higher week over week and month over month — confirms the bond market is quietly pricing in stress, which is the smart money's way of waving a red flag. The XLK/XLP ratio at 1.5887 down 2.71% today and 4.54% on the week is your clearest rotation signal — tech is losing ground to defensives, and that ratio breaking down further below its 21dma-structure would confirm institutional money is actively de-risking; watch that 1.58–1.59 zone on XLK/XLP as your line in the sand — reclaim or rejection there will define the short-term tape.
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Our proprietary TLMM Trend Model has signaled a correction since Feb. 9th. Since then, the price/breadth/momentum is clear that this market is under-distributed.
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Photonics of the last group standing right at their rising 21dma-structure. Can they hold and resist the market pressure? That scan is getting thin, and it's normal considering the market environment. Liquid Leaders 21dma-structure Pullback sorted by RS Rank. $LITE, $AAOI, $MTZ, $GLW By @TradersLab_
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Net New Highs cumulative on $QQQ just about to cross below the 50dma. Last time it happened was April 3rd 2025.
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Liquid Leaders broke their 21dma-structure & MCSI hooked down below the declining 10dma. Price & Breadth contraction as they came for the leaders as well in the last 2 days.
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