🚨 NFP just dropped. September 4, 2026.
160,000 jobs created. Consensus : 45,000.
More than 3x expectations.
CME FedWatch was at 50% rate hike for September. » this morning.
After this NFP, that probability just moved higher.
Strong jobs = no recession fear = Fed has no reason to pause.
Warsh was already hawkish at Jackson Hole. This NFP just handed him the justification he needed.
Rate hike September 17 = dollar stronger = risk assets under pressure especially Crypto.
This doesn’t mean sell everything.
It means understand the environment you’re trading in. The macro checklist isn’t checked yet.
We wait. We watch. We don’t chase.
Not financial advice. Educational purposes only.