NBA Analytics | Boston Sports Context is King. Building better player evaluation through data.
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π§΅Over the last few days Iβve been building out a scoring model using 654 qualifying player-seasons from 2014β2026.
Qualifications:
20+ PTS/75
25+ MPG
50+ games played
The goal was to measure more than just who scored the most or who was the most efficient. I wanted something that captured how much you scored, how efficiently you did it relative to your environment, how much actual scoring value you created, the pressure you put on defenses, how well you preserved possessions, and how that scoring translated to team offense.
Iβm going to start releasing the full rankings in groups of 50, along with breakdowns of some of the most interesting placements.
654 player-seasons. One scoring model. Rankings coming soon.
12
9
102
18,607
A lineup of Melo-Ant-Divo-JMac-Gobert petrifies me, so many ways they can make up for their lack of defensive rebounding.
1
15
628
Whatβs the most difficult thing to do as a superstar in the NBA?
β«οΈMaintain elite scoring efficiency without generating many free throws
β«οΈMaintain elite efficiency with a primarily mid-range shot diet
β«οΈBe a high-volume scorer without dominating the ball
β«οΈConsistently impact games when your shot isnβt falling
18
1
23
9,956
Who has the higher playmaking ceiling:
An elite processor whoβs a subpar advantage creator, or an elite advantage creator whoβs a subpar processor?
31
53
6,452
Rank these 4 strictly based on scoring (PEAK)
β«οΈDwyane Wade
β«οΈPaul Pierce
β«οΈNikola Jokic
β«οΈKyrie Irving
15
38
67,465
Jalen Duren overcorrection is kind of nuts, youβd think heβs a genuine bum. Heβs still a good player and only 22 years old. The Pistons being mindful with their spending β Duren is garbage or doesnβt deserve a good chunk of compensation.
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1
42
1,835
Amongst a few other things, this conversation makes me feel like thereβs a lot of under-classification with these NBA labels like two-way player, 3&D, three-level scorer, etc. Theyβre useful as quick descriptions, but way too broad for how different every player actually is.
There are different levels and versions of every label, and two players can technically fit the same one while having very different strengths, weaknesses and overall impact. We simplify players way too much when the sport is way more nuanced than that.
Honestly I kinda just assumed we were all on the same page that Klay was a 3 and d player; do yβall think thatβs an unfair classification for him?
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21
1,260
Just to preface wasnβt quoting Shifty to single him out, but the Klay label had me thinking about how broad these terms are and how theyβre lots of times not even used correctly. It can really undervalue what a player brings to the table, and at times it can even overvalue what a player brings to the table.
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Iβd agree, probably the only way Iβd factor in longevity is if the peak/prime was so similar.
I think I may be at the point where longevity probably only puts you above someone if i think your peak/prime is in the same tier. it doesnt feel right having someone who i think is demonstrably worse than someone above them because they played longer
5
30
1,955
Being a βplayoff riserβ doesnβt automatically make you a better playoff player than someone who is a βplayoff dropperβ. Hypothetically, If you go from a 7 to an 8 and another guy goes from a 10 to a 9, he still reached a higher playoff level.
Rising/dropping matters for evaluating translation, but there still has to be a baseline. You shouldnβt get extra credit just because your regular season standard was lower.
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14
153
10,817
Rank these 4 as playoff performers:
β«οΈTyrese Haliburton
β«οΈShai Gilgeous-Alexander
β«οΈJayson Tatum
β«οΈJalen Brunson
36
2
43
58,960
Rank these 3 by who youβd consider the better overall shooter if they were elite at only one:
β«οΈStationary shooting
β«οΈMovement shooting
β«οΈSelf-created shooting
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50
11,817