Third evidence the bubble will burst
🚨 THE WORLD'S BIGGEST BANKS ARE CRASHING, AND IT IS A MAJOR WARNING FOR STOCK MARKETS.
Banking stocks across the U.S., Europe, and Asia have fallen 15% to 30% from their recent highs, while major stock indexes are still trading near record levels.
In the U.S., the KBW Nasdaq Bank Index has fallen roughly 13% from its August peak.
It is also coming off its longest weekly losing streak since the 2008 financial crisis.
Look at the damage among America's largest banks:
• Bank of America: -24.5%
• Capital One: -25%
• Goldman Sachs: -24%
• Morgan Stanley: -19%
• Wells Fargo: -18.5%
• Citigroup: -15%
• JPMorgan: -11%
And the situation in Europe is even worse.
• Société Générale: -27%
• BNP Paribas: -24%
• Barclays: -23%
• Deutsche Bank: -21%
In Asia, the selling has been just as aggressive.
• Bank Central Asia: -29.6%
• Shinhan Financial: -20.7%
• KB Financial: -20.6%
• HDFC Bank: -19.1%
• Commonwealth Bank: -18.7%
Turkey's banking index is also down around 24.5% from its 52-week high.
This is happening while global bond yields are rising, borrowing costs remain elevated, and economic growth is weakening.
In the U.S. alone, banks are sitting on $326.7 BILLION in unrealized securities losses.
Higher bond yields could put even more pressure on the value of their bond holdings. Meanwhile, American households are carrying trillions in mortgages, credit card debt, auto loans, and other obligations.
If AI starts replacing workers on a large scale, millions of borrowers could struggle to make their payments. Even a 5% loss on an estimated $10 trillion in debt owed by Americans under 50 would mean $500 BILLION in potential losses.
That is equivalent to nearly 20% of the U.S. banking system's reported $2.6 trillion in capital. And history gives us another reason to be concerned.
Before the 2000, 2008, and 2020 stock market crashes, the KBW Bank Index peaked months before the S&P 500.
Banking stocks started weakening while the broader market was still holding up. Now a similar divergence is appearing, with major banks falling sharply while the S&P 500 remains near its highs.
If the banking selloff continues and credit conditions deteriorate, the pressure could spread to business lending, consumer spending, corporate earnings, and eventually the broader stock market.
The biggest warning right now is that banks across multiple major economies are already in correction territory, while the rest of the market is still behaving as if nothing is wrong.