Even in a Bitcoin bull market, the odds of an up or down day are roughly 50:50.
The difference is that a very small number of outsized positive days drive almost all of the cycle’s returns. Only ~3% of trading days account for 100% of the bull market gains.
In our latest piece, @_Checkmatey_ breaks down what the statistics tell us about how Bitcoin bull markets actually trade.
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Sep 24, 2026 · 4:41 AM UTC
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