Books: Strong Towns | Confessions of a Recovering Engineer | (Bestseller) Escaping the Housing Trap

Brainerd, MN
If you're wondering where I'm spending my time online these days, it's the Strong Towns Commons. Smart people. Challenging conversations. No outrage machine. Just people trying to better understand how to build stronger places. commons.strongtowns.org
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There are no banks that have, as their reserves, bundled securities of 30-year auto loans. Nobody buys a car thinking it will appreciate in value and be worth more in 30 years. It's an absurd talking point.
"Devaluing"? Do you think it is bad that used cars lose value? The difference between mid century filtering and filtering today is we should build new housing in cities where people want to live.
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Institutionalizing decline and devaluing large swaths of America so that housing becomes affordable is a strategy, it's just not my strategy.
Why do so many poor people in Philly today live in the rowhome mansions of the early 1900s Nouveau Riche? Filtering is how suburban sprawl occurred and cities became poor. Very obviously it is an affordability strategy.
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This might be the reality in a few core cities, but for nearly all Americans, there is a massive difference in price between the home they start in and the place they end. We shouldn't make policy nationally based on Silicon Valley economics.
Replying to @clmarohn
What you call "luxury condos" aren't expensive compared to starter homes. Why would stacking more people vertically be more expensive? It's not.
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One last thing on the disingenuousness of the housing discourse here..... This dude uses quotes as if I've said this. I haven't. I've literally written 2.5 million words available online -- just quote me. You don't have to make shit up.
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I've literally said that every neighborhood everywhere should be upzoned. I've been saying that since Strong Towns was formally founded in 2009. Why is saying filtering + building more entry level housing so threatening?
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Dude, keep sharing my stuff. You're demonstrating my point. Going from starter home to luxury condo is a choice for a select few. It's not the common path for nearly all Americans, but perhaps most Americans you know.
dude @StrongTowns I literally know five couples who have done exactly this
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I'm puzzled by this as a response @aarmlovi. I didn't argue that falling rents cause builders to stop building. I argued that as rents decline, production slows. Your chart seems to show exactly that. Metro permits have fallen from 50.9k to 24.4k and the line is still declining.
Austin permitting continues to print above pre-pandemic averages, even as real rents have fallen ~30% below 2019 levels Builders are not "withdrawing supply". They're still building! YIMBY reforms made pre-2019 permitting rates sustainable at substantially lower real rents
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Also that “pre-pandemic average” is the 2000–2019 average. That includes the housing crash and years of depressed permitting that followed. If we're comparing to pre-pandemic rate of housing production, wouldn't something like 2012–2019 be the more meaningful comparison?
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I think Austin is giving us a fascinating real-time experiment. Maybe the reforms really have lowered the price at which substantial housing production can be sustained. If so, that's important and I want to understand it. Let's keep watching the data.
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This is really brilliant work.
Download the report here. It's chalk full for practical strategies to create beautiful walkable places without turning drivers against the idea. mobyconacademy.com/files/how…
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Charles Marohn retweeted
Why can't we just build high-speed, high-proximity streets? This is the original sin of North American street design: too fast for compact growth, too slow for long-distance travel. These "stroads" work work well for nothing, as argued by @clmarohn @StrongTowns
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Charles Marohn retweeted
Which has better travel times for cars: Amsterdam or Atlanta? Remarkably, it's Amsterdam. There's a critical lesson here: it's possible to design great places for walking, biking, and transit that are also better for drivers. We just published a report on how.
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"Building more housing can’t just mean building wherever is easiest...."🎯
Building more housing is only half an idea. You also have to address what kind and where. smartgrowthamerica.org/knowl…
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Charles Marohn retweeted
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The next book in the Strong Towns collection, titled "Grow Strong", went to the publisher this week. It’s about job creation, economic development and the @StrongTowns approach to building a durable local economy. I’m excited to share this one with you next spring.
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Stay tuned: Monday we will have a big announcement and details on a positive resolution to my federal court case with Minnesota's engineering licensing board.
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