Corn Maxy retweeted
JOIN US LIVE to talk about the Bitcoin cycle bottom right now!
🚨Join us tomorrow at 11am ET for a space🚨
We'll be hosting @cornMaxy and @Andre_Dragosch from @Bitwise_Europe to discuss our most recent joint research piece: The Bitcoin Bottom Explained. Tune in to hear what indicators we're watching while Bitcoin is on the move.
nitter.net/i/spaces/1RKjpbepenRJw
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nitter.net/i/spaces/1RKjpbepenRJw…
Tune in! With @CFBenchmarks
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Corn Maxy retweeted
@MarkPilipczuk and I are excited to drop our latest joint research piece with our dear friends @Bitwise_Europe. It was an absolute pleasure getting to work with @Andre_Dragosch @cornMaxy and @UkuriaOC.
Now we collectively ask you to read/subscribe and knock on some wood…
Markets bottom quickly. Confirmation comes later.
Our first joint research with @Bitwise_Europe keeps them apart. Bitwise tests seller exhaustion and demand on-chain. Our 45-signal engine tests whether the market regime has changed.
bitwiseinvestments.eu/blog/c…
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Corn Maxy retweeted
🚨Join us tomorrow at 11am ET for a space🚨
We'll be hosting @cornMaxy and @Andre_Dragosch from @Bitwise_Europe to discuss our most recent joint research piece: The Bitcoin Bottom Explained. Tune in to hear what indicators we're watching while Bitcoin is on the move.
nitter.net/i/spaces/1RKjpbepenRJw
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Corn Maxy retweeted
Bund, Gilt and OAT yields at multi-decade highs confirm bitcoin's early warning. Why a negative BTC-stock correlation may set up a bullish decoupling next.
Find out more in our latest weekly report 👇
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$2.5k is a confluence of both the 200w MA and where investors hold 1.3 mn ETH.
We've tested this level 4 times in ~2 weeks.
Definitely the line in the sand for short-medium term momentum, with BTC testing the ETF cost basis of ~$82k earlier this week.
Resistance levels below sit between the $2.1k- 2.2k range that is the realised price, 50d MA, Short Term Holder cost basis and average ETP (incl. ETF) cost basis.
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Corn Maxy retweeted
Is Bitcoin about to reclaim the basis?
This is looking like the final resistance before a full-blown bull market.
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On ETH:
ETP investors remain above their aggregate cost basis of ~$2.1k.
This cohort has historically proved sticky, with cumulative ETH ETP holdings drawing down only ~17% at the 2026 cycle lows. Whilst prices declined -68% from its cycle peak.
That figure now stands at ~6%, suggesting ETP investors have been net accumulating.
Is Bitcoin about to reclaim the basis?
This is looking like the final resistance before a full-blown bull market.
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Over the past six months our Long Term composite has risen from 27% to 58%, with the trough in February at around 22%.
The re-rating was led by two signals:
1) the volatility-adjusted Mayer Multiple, which recovered from near the bottom of its range to the 82nd percentile,
2) aggregated SOPR, which rose from the 16th to the 59th percentile.
Momentum indicator slightly overheated, however the profitability of spent-output has room to run.
Broadly risk on. Holding above $2.5k (200w MA, rejected 4 times in 2 weeks) confirms it.
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