Blockchain x AI | All views my own

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Great overview of ethereum:0xc18360217d8f7ab5e7c516566761ea12ce7f9d72, worth giving it a read
ENS maps human-readable names to Ethereum addresses, content hashes, and metadata. ENS just filed a B2 Token Transparency Filing with zero gaps. $ENS live since October 2021.
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blockstack:native is going to $4.85 and there's nothing you can do about it. That's a 15x from here
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Anchorage Digital is enabling institutional Bitcoin staking with @Stacks. With the PoX-5 upgrade, institutions will be able to earn BTC rewards while their Bitcoin stays on Bitcoin L1 in secure custody. Learn more: anchorage.com/press-room/anc…
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I backed Zest Protocol because this team has been building on Bitcoin longer than almost anyone, and they know how to ship great products with amazing user experience. Seeing real Bitcoin collateral working on mainnet, with the coins never leaving Bitcoin, is something I’m incredibly excited about.
Bitcoin Collateral Vaults demo is now on mainnet. Deposit native BTC into a self-custodial vault on Bitcoin L1. Borrow Ethereum USDC against it. The capital layer for Bitcoin.
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This is amazing. NEAR AI is now on a Bittensor subnet -- @say_gm_ -- which is our version of OpenRouter (done as a subnet). Bittensor is very synergistic with many of the other decentralized AI efforts afoot, not competitive. We're rowing in the same direction.
NEAR AI Cloud's confidential inference is now live on @say_gm_'s confidential tier. SayGm reaches dozens of models through one API key, and runs its own routing inside an Intel TDX enclave rather than on ordinary servers.
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This is an important post from Tushar. It highlights upcoming challenges for Bitcoin: privacy, quantum, and scalability. (2) and (3) are related because when Bitcoin gets a quantum upgrade, the effective bandwidth will be reduced by 50-97%. In other words, once post-quantum signatures go live, Bitcoin must have a scalability solution/layer ready to handle the bulk of Bitcoin traffic. The quantum upgrade must happen at L1, but privacy likely wouldn’t. Shielded addresses on (trustless) L2s can provide practical privacy benefits and clean the previous chain history of your L1 BTC. Bitcoin needs a credible quantum upgrade path. Progress is early, and more work is needed. You can read this post as a “why Zcash” post, but you can also read it as a “what should be the Bitcoin roadmap” post. The project that delivers privacy and post-quantum scalability to Bitcoin will have a lot of impact. At Stacks, we’ve been focused on these fundamental problems for years. Stacks Satoshi Upgrades bring: ✅ Self-custodial BTC staking (already live) 🛠️ 100x capacity increase (Satoshi II) 🛠️ Privacy & post-quantum (Satoshi III) In my view, Bitcoin and Zcash can coexist and provide different benefits. The frontier of Bitcoin development (and higher returns potential) moves up a layer.
I found a version of zcash:native which: - broadcasts your entire transaction history to the whole world - is not quantum secure and has no credible path to be - has no real plans to scale the chain to support global usage Oh and it trades at ~60x the market cap of Zcash.
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Automated weekly yield from our bitcoin bonds went out today. No human in the loop.
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We've reset usage limits for all Grok Bot users. Enjoy!
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Bitcoin is the next Bitcoin. The next 1000x in bitcoin is in the execution layer. The execution layer that brings onchain capital markets, privacy, and post-quantum payments to bitcoin.
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Bitcoin priced in gold is reinforcing my view that the next Bitcoin cycle will be the strongest we have ever seen. The dollar thesis I wrote about below and the growing hunt for scarcity in an AI-driven world of abundance both point toward a powerful structural tailwind for scarce assets. The BTC/gold ratio adds another important signal: within that expanding scarcity trade, Bitcoin may be beginning to reassert its relative leadership and reclaim the title of fastest horse. The case starts with two structural forces driving more capital toward scarcity. The first is the dollar. As I wrote earlier this week in the post below, I believe the dollar is likely entering a secular leg lower, with the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) showing the long-term structure behind that view. Bitcoin has never experienced that macro environment before, and it would create a tailwind unlike anything in its history. The second is the growing hunt for scarcity in an AI-driven world of increasing abundance. With intelligence becoming cheaper and more abundant, many things investors historically valued because they were scarce, including knowledge, software capabilities and many traditional corporate moats, become easier to replicate. Capital will increasingly place a premium on forms of scarcity that cannot be manufactured away, and scarce assets like Bitcoin, gold and silver stand to benefit substantially from that shift. This is also a structural macro force Bitcoin has never had at its back before. Together, those forces will drive substantially more capital toward scarce monetary assets. Gold will benefit. Bitcoin will benefit. My strongly held long-term view remains that Bitcoin will be the fastest horse in the global debasement and scarcity trade, and the BTC/gold ratio is the way to see when that leadership is showing up in the market. If Bitcoin is outperforming gold while capital flowing into both assets is expanding, the opportunity becomes significantly more powerful than either tailwind on its own. Over the last two years, BTC/gold has also been a remarkably strong leading indicator of Bitcoin itself. Bitcoin topped against gold in December 2024, while Bitcoin didn't top against the dollar until October 2025, nearly a year later. Bitcoin kept making new highs in dollar terms, but had already stopped making new highs against gold. For an emerging monetary asset, that matters because bull markets are reinforced by incremental capital, liquidity and the reflexivity that comes from being the asset investors increasingly want to own. In hindsight, BTC/USD was signaling strength while BTC/gold was showing that the underlying bull market was becoming increasingly fragile. Eventually, that fragility showed up in the dollar price too. That helps explain why sentiment became so negative during this bear market despite the drawdown in dollar terms being relatively mild by Bitcoin's historical standards. The bull market that preceded it never delivered the kind of relative leadership Bitcoiners expect. Bitcoin reached new dollar highs while underperforming gold and then rolled into a bear market from that weaker underlying position. A mild nominal drawdown can still feel brutal when it follows a bull market that never delivered on the fastest horse thesis. The bottom has given us a similar signal in reverse. Bitcoin bottomed against gold in February 2026, while Bitcoin didn't bottom against the dollar until July, roughly five months later. That is a major reason I kept discussing BTC/gold during the first half of this year at the True North event during Strategy World, at Bitcoin Prague and at times on The Hurdle Rate. The ratio had called the deterioration well before BTC/USD and was beginning to look like it might be forming a bottom even while Bitcoin remained weak in dollar terms. It was one of the signals I was watching for evidence that the broader Bitcoin bear market might be closer to ending than the dollar chart suggested. There was another important difference from prior Bitcoin bear markets: capital markets remained largely open and broader equity markets remained strong, making new all-time highs. Historically, Bitcoin bear markets have often occurred alongside much weaker conditions across risk assets. This time, the weakness was far more concentrated in Bitcoin and the Bitcoin-related ecosystem, which made the improving BTC/gold signal even more interesting. What makes this week particularly interesting is that Bitcoin has now broken out against both the dollar and gold. The breakout has been explosive. A meaningful retracement from here would not surprise me, but it may not happen at all. If it does, my expectation is that any meaningful dip will be bought aggressively, and my conviction is very strong that the Bitcoin bear market is over. If BTC/gold was again the earlier signal, seeing both relationships now turn higher together gives me more confidence in the next 12 to 18 months and in the much larger opportunity that could unfold over the years ahead. A weaker dollar alongside continued monetary debasement, combined with the growing hunt for durable scarcity in an AI-driven world of abundance, will create an extraordinarily favorable backdrop for scarce assets. Relative performance within that trade will help determine where incremental capital and liquidity flow. When Bitcoin is the fastest horse, it will attract a disproportionate share of that capital. Stronger relative performance will deepen liquidity, greater liquidity creates more optionality, and that optionality will attract still more capital. If these structural forces expand the overall scarcity trade while Bitcoin simultaneously reasserts leadership against gold, Bitcoin will likely be capturing a growing share of a growing pool of capital. That setup has me more bullish on Bitcoin today than I have ever been. Gold has thousands of years of monetary history behind it, while Bitcoin combines absolute scarcity with global liquidity, portability and a monetary network capable of moving and settling value anywhere in the world, 24 hours a day. The combination of a secular dollar decline, an AI-driven hunt for durable scarcity and Bitcoin reasserting relative leadership would create a setup Bitcoin has simply never had before. This framework has heavily influenced how we built Strive. When we think about risk, we do not only think about surviving a severe Bitcoin drawdown. With an emerging asset that has the upside potential we believe Bitcoin has, we think the bigger risk is being too conservative: either not being bullish enough or being bullish but structuring the company in a way that prevents the common equity from maximally participating when the upside scenario arrives. That is why we have been staunchly opposed to the idea that acquiring, investing heavily in or primarily focusing on building cash-flowing businesses is the optimal way to maximize total returns relative to Bitcoin itself. If your underwriting says Bitcoin will appreciate substantially, waiting for future cash flows to buy Bitcoin means buying less Bitcoin at higher prices. A cash-flowing business likely looks safer, but if monetizing that economic value today and buying more Bitcoin produces a higher expected total return across the scenarios you believe are most likely, then the more conservative cash-flow strategy ends up underperforming from a total-return perspective. Across a probabilistic range of outcomes, we believe the expected total return of $ASST is maximized by driving Bitcoin amplification as high as we can responsibly support while maintaining strict capital discipline, including no debt, no margin requirements and no financing structure that creates a forced-liquidation mechanism. The structure looks optically simple, which was intentional, but the real work is underwriting both sides of the distribution: how much downside can the structure survive, and how much upside are you giving away if Bitcoin performs the way you believe it ultimately can? If the macro thesis plays out, the setup becomes unusually powerful. The scarcity trade itself is expanding, Bitcoin will likely be capturing a growing share of that growing pool of capital, and $ASST is designed to amplify Bitcoin exposure on top of that. You effectively have three reinforcing layers of upside working together: a larger opportunity set, Bitcoin taking more share of it, and our common equity amplifying the Bitcoin return. That is why we care so much about getting the structure right. The upside is not simply Bitcoin going higher. It is Bitcoin becoming the fastest horse inside an expanding scarcity trade while $ASST is structured to amplify that outcome as much as we can responsibly support. The bear market has allowed us to test that design in real time. Particularly as Bitcoin approached its weakest point, we continued buying aggressively, including nearly every week over the last few months before this breakout. We built the structure to remain durable through difficult Bitcoin environments while preserving high amplification and the ability to deploy capital when the opportunity becomes most attractive, and we now have a real track record of it doing exactly that. There is another part of the bear market I find particularly interesting in the context of BTC/gold. Bitcoin bottomed against gold in February, roughly five months before it bottomed against the dollar in July. ASST also bottomed in February, well before much of the broader Bitcoin-equity complex reached its lows around July. I don't think that timing was coincidental. In both cases, the market seems to have been showing the turn first in the places most levered to improving liquidity and risk appetite. BTC/gold was beginning to signal renewed strength in what I believe will be the fastest horse in the debasement trade, while ASST was beginning to strengthen as a highly amplified expression of that same thesis. As confidence in Bitcoin improves and capital moves further out on the risk spectrum, our structure, amplification and liquidity are designed to make $ASST a natural place for incremental capital to flow. The timing of those two turns is another reason I find the parallel so interesting. It is one thing to underwrite a structure on paper and another to see both the balance sheet and common equity perform through a real drawdown. I believe our ability to create and sustainably support high Bitcoin amplification, backed by the capital structure and liquidity needed to maintain it through different market environments, is what will ultimately support a leading valuation relative to our Bitcoin holdings. The bear market was for building this performance engine, and we now have substantial liquidity in both our common and preferred equity, a capital structure built without debt or margin, and a company positioned for the type of Bitcoin environment I believe is developing. Dollar weakness and monetary debasement, AI-driven abundance and the bitcoin:native/gold ratio are telling us different but complementary things. The first expands the broader monetary opportunity, the second increases the premium on forms of scarcity that cannot be replicated away, and bitcoin:native/gold helps tell us how much of that opportunity Bitcoin is positioned to capture relative to the other scarce monetary assets competing for the same capital. Any one of those developments would be constructive on its own. If they continue moving in the direction of the thesis together, Bitcoin will be entering the most favorable macro and relative-performance setup of its history, creating the potential for a level of upside over the next several years that we simply have not seen before. TLDR: YOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH^2
I have believed for more than a decade that the U.S. Dollar Index, DXY, is in a structural decline that is likely to continue. I also think we may now be approaching a much more significant leg lower, and that has major implications for Bitcoin. If that view is right, the next five to seven years could be a materially more bullish environment for Bitcoin than anything it has experienced in its history. This chart goes back to the late 1960s. What makes it so compelling to me is not just the technical picture of lower highs and lower lows that has developed over roughly 45 years, but that the technical picture is supported by the fundamentals behind it. I spent much of my career thinking about those fundamentals, including while managing the U.S. Treasury portfolio at CalPERS. That was before I became a Bitcoiner, but the work directly contributed to it. The trajectory of federal debt and deficits, the risks embedded in long-duration Treasuries, and the policy incentives created by an increasingly indebted sovereign all pointed me toward the same conclusion: the dollar was in structural decline. More than a decade later, that thesis has remained remarkably unchanged. The debt burden is dramatically larger today, fiscal deficits remain enormous, and policymakers continue to face the same basic tradeoffs. They can accept the pain through materially higher real rates and tighter financial conditions, or they can try to manage that pain through lower real rates, maintaining market liquidity, nominal growth, and some degree of currency depreciation. There is no painless path. The question is simply where the adjustment gets absorbed. That matters enormously for Bitcoin. Each of Bitcoin’s major bull runs has coincided with meaningful dollar weakness. DXY fell from roughly 103 to 88 during the 2017 run, declined from around 103 toward 89 during the 2020-2021 cycle, and then weakened from roughly 108 during the 2025 move that helped take Bitcoin to new all-time highs before the current 2026 bear market. Those were meaningful moves, but they were still relatively modest compared with the major dollar declines of the last 45 years. The breakdown beginning in the mid-1980s lasted for years, as did the decline from the early 2000s into the Global Financial Crisis. My base case is that we are approaching another multi-year move lower in the dollar, potentially over the next three to seven years, with a real possibility that DXY eventually challenges the 2008 lows around 70. If that happens, Bitcoin would be entering a macro environment it has never experienced before. Its previous bull markets have benefited from periods of dollar weakness, but never from a true secular breakdown in the dollar of the kind this chart suggests is possible. Today is an interesting day to post this chart because the Treasury announced that it is at least doubling liquidity-support buyback operations in 10-to-30-year Treasuries. That comes as long-term Treasury yields have been under significant pressure, and the dollar has moved sharply lower today. To me, this is simply another data point in a thesis that has been playing out largely as I expected for more than a decade. The fiscal constraints are greater, the debt load is larger, and the policy incentives are becoming more obvious. None of that weakens the original thesis. It strengthens my conviction in it. That is also why I think people are not bullish enough on Bitcoin over the next five to seven years. Most Bitcoin forecasts are based on what Bitcoin has already done, but Bitcoin has never had the tailwind of a genuine secular dollar breakdown. We are used to saying that past results are not indicative of future performance because the future may be worse than the past. In this case, I think the asymmetry may run the other way. It is also why I am so focused on amplifying Bitcoin exposure, and why I joked yesterday about feeling under-amplified. If this 45-year dollar structure finally breaks to the downside, the macro backdrop for Bitcoin could be materially more powerful than anything it has experienced before. TLDR: YOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH.
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Luke Gromen just exposed the ultimate financial magic trick. 🪞🔥 Treasury says we've "peaked the deficit." Here is how you zero-out a national deficit on paper without cutting a single dollar of spending: 1. The Debt Swap Swap long-term 5% Treasury bonds into short-term T-bills. 2. The Captive Stablecoin Bid Mandate that $1T+ of digital stablecoins must be backed 100% by these short-term T-bills-while paying 0% yield to the stablecoin holders. 3. The Rate Suppression Slash the T-bill rate to 0.60%. Since stablecoin users get 0%, the banks and issuers keep the tiny spread, and the Treasury’s multi-trillion-dollar interest expense vanishes overnight. The Catch? You didn't fix the debt-you monetized it into circulating digital cash. Deficits shrink on paper. Money supply explodes in reality. Real yields go deeply negative. Financial repression 101: The debt gets inflated away, cash savings get taxed invisibly, and hard assets reprice to infinity. Stack Gold. Stack Bitcoin. 🥇₿
This could prove 100% accurate if he swaps ALL the Federal debt for T-Bills, then uses those T-Bills to back 0% yielding stablecoins, then cuts the rate on those T-Bills to 0.60% (b/c the banks don't deserve 3.5% on stablecoins). You're gonna want to own more gold & BTC though.
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If you know you know.

ALT Happy Antonio Banderas GIF

💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 1,000,000,000 $USDT (1,000,100,000 USD) minted at Tether Treasury whale-alert.io/tx/tron/8330c…
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This could prove 100% accurate if he swaps ALL the Federal debt for T-Bills, then uses those T-Bills to back 0% yielding stablecoins, then cuts the rate on those T-Bills to 0.60% (b/c the banks don't deserve 3.5% on stablecoins). You're gonna want to own more gold & BTC though.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: There's a very good chance we have seen a peak in the fiscal deficit.
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there it is: *BESSENT: BUYBACKS COULD BE BIGGER THAN THE $4B WE ANNOUNCED
30-year UST yields rose 4bps to 5.23% after a 9bps drop yesterday Time to double (“at least”) the buyback again
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Is this true? Did the National Bank of Canada🇨🇦 doubled their stake in Bitcoin treasury company $MSTR? Up to 1.2 million shares, worth $116,000,000.
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Exited early, 30% gain
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