The Ultimate Prediction Arena. AI-powered aggregator & trading terminal for prediction markets.
- Tweets 255
- Following 19
- Followers 721
- Likes 205
Zero reasons to keep switching tabs and venues.
We can't confirm aliens exist 👽
But we can confirm you no longer need to jump between three platforms to trade that question.
Kalshi + Polymarket + Opinion. All merged on DOXA.
And this is just one of many merged markets you can trade.
3
87
If you're going for an 11x, do it with a cool head and a strategy.
@amomot86 just showed how it's done.
That's what prediction markets are all about 🎯
A trader made 11x - and still doesn’t recommend trying it
@amomot86 tested a combo bet just as an experiment: he bundled 4 low-probability events into one bet and turned $100 into roughly $1,100
The mechanics are pretty complex. But this is more for people chasing quick dopamine than actually trading - you’re basically just betting on a bunch of random events
6
175
Prediction market traders now have their own Elo rating on @arkham.
Arkham ranks traders by the quality of their predictions, not by bet size.
Getting a low-probability outcome right boosts your rating more than playing it safe on obvious markets.
Current #1: Roberto73
2,489 Elo
3,217 markets
49.5% win rate
Good reminder that in prediction markets, win rate alone tells you almost nothing.
5
63
We’re live! Insights you don’t want to miss...
THE PREDICTION GAME II (30 SEP 2026) x.com/i/broadcasts/1qKVmyagA…
1
6
140
Prediction markets are at their best when theory meets execution.
Tonight, @amomot86 goes live on The Prediction Game breaking down the market and seeing what survives contact with reality
Just a little time left until our first The Prediction Game stream with @amomot86 from @doxawin. See you live soon x.com/i/broadcasts/1yGBePAvw…
2
110
We’re taking prediction markets LIVE!
Enough armchair forecasting.
Time to put the odds, the calls, and the positions on screen.
DOXA × @predicttime_
Sep 30.
INTRODUCING THE PREDICTION GAME
A new recurring live format by Predict Time × @doxawin, with @amomot86 - founder of DOXA
SEP 30 - 6:00 PM UTC. LIVE ON X & YOUTUBE
We’ll trade prediction markets live, compare our calls with market odds, break down Alex’s open positions, and look at BTC, HYPE, the Fed decision, and oil
predictions are easy. Pricing them is the game
6
211
Fresh alpha from the prediction markets stage:
> Kalshi vs Polymarket.
> The liquidity moat.
> Hyperliquid.
> Solana’s open throne.
And what prediction markets look like beyond pure speculation.
A lot is moving under the hood.
Full TL;DR 👇
Absolute banger of a prediction markets panel with @Polysights, PredictTO & @Limitless 🔥 at Solana Summit by @SuperteamCAN yesterday
⚡⚡⚡On: Who's actually winning the Kalshi vs Polymarket war, can anyone break the duopoly, what's cooking on Solana, what people REALLY bet on, and why Canada is in no rush to open the doors to prediction markets.
Kalshi wash trading drama 👀 too
Missed it? Pain. We were there, had a blast, here's the TL;DR 🧵👇
1/
@Kalshi vs @Polymarket ⚔️
Poly still owns mindshare (Google Trends agrees), but Kalshi is eating the market share. @tre_poh: Poly got comfy, Kalshi went the regulated route and nailed it. Hence Poly's aggressive C-suite hiring spree.
Their ads were literally alternating during the NHL playoffs lol
2/
Can anyone break their duopoly? 🥤
Kalshi + Poly = ~95% of 2026 volume and ~97% of OI. Liquidity and distribution are the moats.
Kalshi vs Poly are like Coca-Cola vs Pepsi. Grow too fast and they'll just buy you. See: @getdomeapi, reportedly ~$20M.
3/
Most underrated player? @HyperliquidX 👀
Massive liquidity, permissionless markets, cross-margin to hedge PM positions against perps. If it gets regulated US access, the ceiling basically disappears.
4/
Solana's throne is empty 👑
@meleemarkets, @world_xyz and @jup_predict are all in the race.
Melee probably has the strongest team and momentum right now. The real risk: they fight each other instead of outsiders, and Solana just does not get its flagship PM yet.
5/
What people actually bet on 🏈
Sports = ~70% of volume. Politics is cyclical and will pump into the midterms.Open interest says more than volume, since it shows the money people actually keep in positions.
PMs will win when they get boring (insurance, institutional hedging). Austin: FDA/biopharma hedging is a huge green space.
6/
Honorable mention💀the WNBA dildo marketon PMs. Turns out it was full of insiders, reportedly tied to a Solana memecoin crew. Virality potential here is unmatched.
7/
Canada 🇨🇦
PMs are classified as binary options. Only Wealthsimple @predict + @IBKR are approved: 30+ day markets, economy/finance/climate only.
@SimiStern: RNG casino billboards all over Toronto, but PMs get stonewalled. Hypocritical
8/
And the Kalshi wash trading allegations 🍿
Unconfirmed, and the panel didn't judge.
The ask: Kalshi and Poly should stop burning cash on PR wars and fight the gaming lobby together.
Plus panelists gave Kalshi credit for pushing to show the industry is mature.
4
142
A new trading panel just landed on DOXA - Ladder.
See the market deeper than just YES or NO.
> Full order book.
> Live liquidity.
> Bid/Ask levels.
> Spreads.
> Multiple markets side by side.
Everything you need to understand where the liquidity actually sits - and find more edge before you trade.
More data. Better execution. More edge!
Trade prediction markets like markets.
4
10
245
Complete the tasks. Unlock your bonus. Then take the next step into real trading.
You’ll learn how the platform works, understand the core mechanics, make your first demo trades, and test your skills in a risk-free environment!
Introducing DEMO Trading 🦉
No need to risk your own funds just to test a strategy or idea!
Trade real markets, experiment with different approaches and practice - without risking your capital.
And there’s more...
Complete a few simple onboarding tasks and earn a Welcome Bonus while getting familiar with the platform.
Practice first.
Get comfortable.
Then move to real trading when you’re ready.
5
210
Test first. Risk later
Introducing DEMO Trading 🦉
No need to risk your own funds just to test a strategy or idea!
Trade real markets, experiment with different approaches and practice - without risking your capital.
And there’s more...
Complete a few simple onboarding tasks and earn a Welcome Bonus while getting familiar with the platform.
Practice first.
Get comfortable.
Then move to real trading when you’re ready.
21
1
23
333
The biggest crypto story of the week hasn’t even launched yet.
Hunter Biden is launching $LAPTOP on Sep 9.
$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1B+ 9%
$10M+ 95%
$25M+ 93%
$50M+ 87%
$100M+ 77%
$250M+ 50%
Political tokens have already shown how stupidly fast these launches can get:
$TRUMP -> ~$70B+ peak FDV
$LIBRA -> ~$4.5B market cap within hours
$MELANIA -> ~$2B market cap almost immediately
$LAPTOP - ???
The interesting part: LAPTOP is launching into a much colder memecoin market.
Tomorrow we find out whether the market is underpricing the meme - or finally learned something from 2025.
Or just buy the $1B outcome on demo and see how unhinged this gets 😭
7
455
🏎️ There are a few F1 markets worth keeping on the radar.
They’re better viewed as markets where you can form a thesis, watch how pricing reacts, and test whether your read actually holds up.
And if you don’t want to put real capital behind it yet, you can run the idea in Demo Mode first.
> Norris 3+ GP wins - YES 87%
He already has 2 wins, so he needs just one more across the remaining 11 races.
> Russell podium at Monza - YES ~61%
Mercedes has strong pace, and Russell comes into the weekend with a cleaner setup than Antonelli.
> Sainz to finish ahead of Alonso - YES ~38%
Sainz is already ahead in the standings, while the market still treats him as the underdog.
The obvious championship markets get most of the attention, but smaller props can be more interesting when pricing starts to look strange.
Pick a thesis, track it, and test it in DOXA Demo Mode first.
The F1 Drivers’ Championship market is starting to take shape.
Kimi Antonelli remains the clear favorite at ~75¢, but the market is already pricing in a lot of confidence.
But there are still 12 races left in the season, so the championship is far from mathematically settled. One bad weekend, a DNF, or a reliability issue can still move the market aggressively.
> Behind him, Hamilton at ~11¢ and Russell at ~7¢ remain the most relevant challengers. Both are close enough that a couple of strong weekends could materially compress the gap.
> The next checkpoint is Zandvoort, August 21-23.
Is the top spot slightly overpriced here? With half the season still ahead, there may be an edge in that gap.
9
303