dollar strengthened decently against most pairs.. since hikes are broadly already priced in, do global central banks have to out-hawk the Fed to protect against import inflation now that energy (and byproduct) prices are rising rapidly? if we spiral into a legitimate global hiking cycle and the war persists, I struggle to see how K-shape and affordability concerns dont materially worsen and dominate next year’s election cycle

Sep 16, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC

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Replying to @ericwallerstein
A lot of room for EUFN to fall if it metastasizes
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Replying to @ericwallerstein
Not good for European IG
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Replying to @ericwallerstein
I don’t think there’s a world where the K shape resolves… it will 100% be apart of the next election cycle. 2 years isn’t enough time
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Replying to @ericwallerstein
You'll get em next time champ
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