Airlines are flashing recession-style warning signs.
Since the Iran war began:
• Jet fuel prices have nearly doubled
• Airlines cut ~2 million seats globally
• 12,000+ flights canceled
• Lufthansa, Turkish Airlines, Air China all slashing capacity
Spirit collapsed. JetBlue & Frontier are warning of mounting pressure.
The bigger issue: airlines can’t fully pass costs to consumers because travelers are already price sensitive. So instead, we’re seeing fewer flights, more fees, and shrinking service.
Fuel shocks don’t just raise ticket prices — they force the entire industry to shrink.