My portfolio (+812%) vs. S&P 500 (+83%). In 4 1/2 years since my portfolio has been public, I've outperformed the S&P 500 by ~10x. I've been told consistently that it's nearly impossible to beat the S&P 500, yet I've been doing just that for ~25 years! Kind of wild. What am I buying now? My portfolio is public and 100% free (link in bio). But if you must know, this year, I've been going heavy into $MU (my AI semiconductor bet, trading at a ridiculous forward PE of just 7, or a 70% discount to FPE of the S&P500), $META (my overall "amazing business" that's growing faster than peers with huge AI upside, yet trading at a massive discount) and $RIVN (my "future is EVs + Autonomy" bet, but on a company that has a ridiculously low valuation of just $22 Billion rather than $1.4 Trillion!). I share my views and what I'm doing publicly, including alerts of when I make trades, but I don't give investment advice. Everything I share is for awareness and helping others learn from my transactions. If it's helped you in any way, comment and say hi!

So fascinating every time when analysts finally see it after it’s obvious. $META

I love that the $MU "cyclical" people will not let it go! 🤣 Except according to them, earnings had already peaked in the cycle 5 quarters ago when Micron revenues hit a record $9.3 Billion and it made a whopping $1.61 EPS. Last quarter, it did $41 Billion and pumped out $25.11 EPS (about 15x when it supposedly "peaked") and this quarter it's expected to do $51 Billion (+$10 Billion quarter-over-quarter, more than all of its revenue when it had "peaked" 5 quarters ago) and pump out another $31 of EPS. But even more importantly, memory companies like $MU, $SNDK and $SKHY, are all starting to do 5-year contracts with their customers to ensure they don't get left hanging to dry if this super-cycle happens to end suddenly. FIVE. YEAR. CONTRACTS! You know which other public companies have 5-year contracts? NOBODY! It's super-rare to find companies who have a significant portion of their revenues guaranteed for 5 years! And all the "yeah, but the buyers can cancel their contracts anytime" people don't understand another important factor: the buyers ($AAPL, $MSFT, $GOOGL, $META, $NVDA, etc.) are pre-paying BILLIONS of dollars on these 5-year contracts to make sure they get the products they need and there is no indication that any of these companies are going to walk away from their commitments. So let these guys keep saying "it's cyclical" until they are blue in the face. At some point, they'll all come around!

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Just 6 days left until the big $MU day where we find out if this level of profitability is sustainable and Micron's guide for the future...if they meet/beat these ridiculous expectations and continue saying what they have been saying (which is that supply constraints will last well into 2028+), what happens to the stock?

Steve Jobs introduced iMac, MacBook, iPod, iPhone, and iPad in his 40s and early 50s. Elon Musk introduced the Model S, X, 3, Y, the Falcon 9 and Starlink in his 40s and early 50s. Mark Zuckerberg of $META just turned 42 and he appears to have JUST STARTED cooking!. There's something about a mature, founder-run company, when the CEO hits their 40s that suddenly all the pieces of the puzzle fall into place. 🤔

“We knew Muse was coming for 6 months, but we told you $META is overvalued at $550 with a PE of 17…now that you know this, we recommend buying $AAPL at a PE of 37, $TSLA at a PE of 270 and $SPCX which doesn’t even have E! But it has a lot of P!” We should all listen to Gene more!

If you’re going to vandalize a car, at least do it AFTER you connect the hose the fastest way possible so you don’t waste precious time fighting a fire!

This is extreme wishful thinking!!! Unlike the companies on your list, $META had a forward PE of 20. What’s $AAPL’s? 37? What’s $TSLA’s? 200? What’s $SPCX? Negative!?

🤣🤣🤣

In the last year, $META has added roughly ~$50 Billion of revenue that has 80%+ margin. That's about 2x OpenAI's revenue and about 1x Anthropic's. In the next year, it's expected to add another ~$60 Billion in revenue, or about 2x $SPCX's revenue. Meta is a MONSTER! Just saying.

You gotta love @natfriedman and I wonder if a part of @steipete wishes he had accepted $META’s offer over OpenAI

If $RIVN is at ~12k vehicles in just 3 months on 1 shift, clearly they’re going to CRUSH the top line 25k deliveries guide as they move to 2 shifts by end of this month! If the 2nd shift adds 50% more vehicles in Q4, that would mean: 12k (already delivered) + 12k (first shift in Q4) + 6k (2nd shift in Q4) = 30k R2 vehicles delivered in 2026! Exciting times ahead for Rivian!

I am traveling this week, so no @BuyHoldRant episode on Wednesday this week, but we'll be back next week on THURSDAY October 1st (instead of Wed). In the meantime, you can check out past episodes on YouTube, Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

Tobi of @shopify has the customers' interest in mind, while $AMZN appears to be taking a protectionist path. The difference is Tobi is a hands-on founder who is literally coding things and using AI daily himself and I suspect Jassy @ajassy is a non-founder CEO who is probably in 8 hours of meetings every day.

When the market wakes up, things happen FAAASSST! $META is still severely undervalued when compared to its peers. It has a Forward PE of 21. This is what Meta's price would be if it matched: $GOOGL's FPE of 27, makes Meta $882 $MSFT's FPE of 25, makes Meta $817 $AMZN's FPE of 27, makes Meta $882 $AAPL's FPE of 36, makes Meta $1,177 EXCEPT, Meta is growing FASTER than all of the above! It's the only founder-lead company of the bunch; it has cat-like reflexes; and just jumped ahead of all of them with a leading Agentic AI assistant. In my opinion, Meta deserves to have a higher valuation than all of the above! Plus this week is Meta's Connect event with new hardware announcements expected! Should be super fun.