Full time engineer. Part time surfer, musician, martial artist.

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Replying to @cremieuxrecueil
It’s a trick question fellas, the bottom half is just made up words
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As predicted
The price of intelligence is falling faster than any other commodity in history.
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Silicon Valley built a machine that reconstructs human cognitive artifacts, and mistook the reconstruction for the birth of an alien mind. Here’s what AI actually is, where its intelligence comes from, and why it has a ceiling: joshhawthorne.substack.com/p…
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Replying to @InverseMarcus
Almost no one understands what we've actually built. It might take a full decade before the general public comes to grips with what this thing is
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Silicon Valley built one of the most powerful statistical machines ever, and mistook the reconstruction of human cognitive artifacts for the birth of a machine god
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Replying to @ericweinstein
Do you and Peter ever discuss "effectiveness" in the context of work that is perceived to be evil? That's a big list. I'm wondering out loud if the number of fronts you're attacking is weakening your overall position
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RSI/ASI/AGI are a pipe dream. Never gonna happen
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You guys are arguing at the wrong layer of abstraction. All these philosophical points must be enacted in the real world via engineering. Engineering is the bottleneck. Look at what that ACTUALLY enables, then worry about the philosophy after if it’s still applicable
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Replying to @algekalipso
Which is exactly why this debate needs to take place at the level of engineering, physics, statistics, and atoms. This isn’t a philosophical problem. It’s an engineering one
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Replying to @lukaspet
I wasn't aware that drawing floor plans from photos better than humans meant they understood 3D space better. Goodhart's law, people. Goodhart's law
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Replying to @GaryMarcus
Of course it is. You don’t think the Chinese government has adversarial AI attempting to penetrate our systems? This is why it’s so important we develop our own and stay ahead of the curve. We need AI based cyber defense
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Replying to @irl_danB
Let me rephrase: What software system is allowed to knowingly operate with and with zero effort to improve or track security holes? This is basic compliance stuff. You don’t send broken software into the world and hope for the best
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I think this is from 2024, but the point stands
ChatGPT has now a big problem. Researchers at Oxford and Cambridge exposed a massive threat to large language models.” They call it “model collapse." Internet ecosystem is rapidly changing, and generative AI will soon contribute much of the text found online. This forces us to consider what happens to future iterations like gpt-n when they are trained on data scraped from the web that was already generated by an llm. According to the research, indiscriminately using model-generated content in training causes "irreversible defects" in the resulting ai. the model loses the "tails of the original content distribution." in other words, it begins to forget the creative, fringe, and unique nuances of actual human writing, collapsing into a repetitive echo chamber. This isn't just a chatgpt issue.. the researchers built theoretical intuition showing this collapse is ubiquitous across learned generative models, occurring in large language models as well as in variational autoencoders and gaussian mixture models. Tech companies rely on scraping the internet for large-scale data to build smarter models. However, the paper warns that if we want to sustain the benefits of training on web data, model collapse must be taken seriously. Ultimate takeaway? data collected from genuine human interactions is going to become increasingly valuable in a web filled with ai content.
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“Hey Claude, start and run a profitable business”
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Time for my favorite emoji: 🤔
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Replying to @YashHustle_22
Your question is a bit like asking someone in 1860 to predict social media influencer as a job, but: - Engineering that used to take teams will be executed by an individual commanding a robot army - Lawyers will be supercharged by AI disovery agents - Intellectual drudgery in general is getting automated away - Humans remain in the loop to control, direct, and architect AI systems - And more!
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Replying to @AndrewYang
They will work with and direct fleets of AIs to accomplish things we could barely imagine 20 years ago. The amount of work to be done hasn't shrunk. It's expanding
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Replying to @emollick
Inject a little human cognition modeling into your robot and a whole world of possibilities opens up
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Replying to @DKThomp
Yeah I don't think that will happen. The leaders will asymptote. Open source will catch up. Valuations will plummet
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