Market analyst. I give my opinion on the following: macroeconomics, markets, tech impact, global news, Bitcoin. market psychology, trading and investing, NFA

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Here's my quick case study on $AMD AMD hits $1T as agentic AI lifts CPU demand Shares jumped nearly 10% Monday and pushed AMD’s market cap through $1 trillion for the first time. The stock is up about 185% this year. Q2 revenue reached a record $11.5 billion, up 50%, with data center sales more than doubling to $6.7 billion on EPYC server CPUs and Instinct accelerators. Guidance for Q3 is around $13 billion. Management expects data center revenue to more than double again in 2027, with AI GPUs growing well over 100%. Helios rack systems, 6th-gen Venice CPUs, and MI450 GPUs are moving into production, backed by large deals with Meta, Anthropic, Microsoft, and others. Meta’s Muse agent topping U.S. app charts added to the view that inference-heavy agents need more CPU work, not only GPUs. The multiple is high and a lot of that growth is already in the price. The case now rests on whether Helios ramps cleanly, supply stays tight, and AMD keeps taking share without stretching execution. Better positioned than it was, still a high-bar stock.
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$MS says compute demand is likely to outrun supply for years. The bank has also flagged a large U.S. data-center power gap into 2028. Chips and cash are moving faster than grids and permits. That mismatch can keep prices high for those who already have capacity. Demand forecasts are easy. Delivering the megawatts is the harder part.
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Hitbear retweeted
Want to know what separates people who keep growing from everyone else? They’re genuinely excited to get better. They don’t pretend to know everything. They stay curious, learn, experiment, and get comfortable saying, “I don’t know yet.” That mindset is a blessing..
One of the most underrated business skills I’ve discovered in my career. Being excited about getting better. Not pretending you already know everything.
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Hitbear retweeted
A new week, a fresh opportunity to make your startup idea a little more real. Another chance to build, experiment, find customers, make mistakes, and figure things out. You don’t need a perfect week. Just meaningful progress. Stay focused, keep moving forward, and make this week count..
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Hitbear retweeted
AI isn’t just creating new winners in the stock market, it’s rewriting the rules for entire industries. Companies will rethink how they operate, build, compete, and create value. The biggest opportunities may go to the people who prepare early, while everyone else is left reacting to changes they didn’t see coming. Will you be one of the people shaping this shift or one of the people trying to catch up?..
Guys, we’re going to make so much freaking money over the next 1-2 years as the AI revolution accelerates from here. BE INVESTED NOW. This is not the time when you sit on the sidelines because you think the market has topped because in actuality, there are many data points that show us that the market is only gaining momentum (think jobs, buildouts, oil production, trade, agentic AI, autonomy, robots etc). I’m screaming from the rooftops because I can see what’s inevitably coming and it’s extremely bullish. Investing in American based stocks is the best way to capture this opportunity. 🇺🇸
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Hitbear retweeted
Two people run the same business in the same market. One adopts AI to automate tasks, analyze customers, improve marketing, and move faster. The other sticks to traditional methods. Over time, the first business grows 7× while the other struggles to keep up. AI will not replace your business, but a competitor who adopts AI might..
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The 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.535%, its highest level in over 22 years. This takes long-term rates back to levels last seen in the early 2000s. Borrowing costs for mortgages, corporates, and the government keep rising. It shows markets are pricing in stickier inflation and less rate relief ahead. I think this move matters more now given how much debt is outstanding.
JUST IN 🚨: U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield jumps to highest level in more than 22 years 📈 📈
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$NVDA launched the Open Agent Safety Platform with over 100 partners. It brings together OpenShell for secure boundaries and Sentry for hardware monitoring of AI agents. Jensen Huang calls it the start of an open ecosystem to build trust in agent systems. Safety and capability need to move together for AI to reach its potential. I think focusing on responsibility this early could support steadier adoption.
Today, with over 100 industry partners, we introduced the NVIDIA Open Agent Safety Platform, bringing together OpenShell and Sentry. Artificial intelligence is extraordinary technology that will advance discovery, productivity, security, health, and prosperity for generations to come. But its full promise can only be realized when people have confidence that AI is being built to be safe and deployed with wisdom and responsibility. This is bigger than a single product. It's the beginning of an open ecosystem to build the trust layer for safe agent systems. Together, we are building the foundation of the AI economy. Trust and innovation are not in conflict. Safety is how trust is earned. We must build not only the most capable AI, but the most trusted AI, so that this extraordinary technology can realize its enormous promise for the world. nvda.ws/4hcoq7m
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$GOOG says hackers are stealing cloud access to run AI models for free. Some groups plant open-weight models on breached servers so they can use someone else’s compute and skip commercial monitoring. Stolen AI logins are also being sold cheap on dark-web markets. This is the crypto-mining playbook applied to GPUs. Cloud bills and access controls now matter as much as the models themselves.
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China agreed to cut tariffs on about $30 billion of U.S. goods, including farm products, coal and medical devices. 🇨🇳🇺🇸 The U.S. would ease tariffs on a similar amount of Chinese consumer items. Soybeans are not on the new farm list. The cuts still need legal steps before they take effect. This is a modest step after the Trump-Xi talks. Lists help. Follow-through is what counts.
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Japan's two-year bond yield hit 1.975%. That's the highest since 1995 as traders bet on more Bank of Japan rate hikes. Yields have climbed steadily on expectations the BOJ will keep tightening. This move tightens financial conditions and pressures carry trades. Higher rates in Japan could ripple through global markets. I’m watching how this affects risk appetite going forward.
🇯🇵 JUST IN: Japan's two-year bond yield climbs to 1.975%, its highest since 1995, as traders ramp up bets on more Bank of Japan rate hikes.
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Hitbear retweeted
$MSFT Technical Analysis 📊👀 Strong uptrend since the July low. Price is above both the rising 50 day SMA and the 200 day SMA and is pressing the rising resistance line near the highs. Bias stays bullish while it holds the 50 day. Key levels • Resistance: ~520 (trendline + recent high) • Support: 476 (50-day SMA) • Next support: 432 (200-day SMA) Watch for a decisive close above 520 to confirm continuation, or a rejection that sends price back toward 476. Until the 50 day breaks, pullbacks look like buy the dip setups rather than a trend change.
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$ORCL stock looks bearish on the charts right now. Price sits around $137, below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, with lower highs and lows since the June peak near $230. A descending resistance line continues to cap bounces. Volume has not confirmed any real accumulation on the mild recoveries. Bias stays lower until it reclaims the 50 SMA with conviction. A well analysed post 👇
$ORCL Technical Analysis 📊👀 Looking at this chart, the technical setup is clearly bearish. Bearish / downtrend. •Sharp rejection from ~230+ June high; sustained lower highs/lows since. •Price (~137) below both SMA 50 (~142) and SMA 200 (~165) → bearish structure. •Descending resistance line still capping rallies. •Recent price action: weak consolidation / mild bounce attempts failing under the 50 SMA. •Volume not showing strong accumulation on bounces. Bias remains lower until a clean reclaim of the 50 SMA with volume.
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An OpenAI-backed startup plans to start human trials of AI-designed antibody drugs next year, per the WSJ. The work is aimed at designing antibodies on a computer before they reach the clinic. Lab hit rates have improved. Human safety and efficacy are still unproven. Getting into trials is a step. Approval is a much longer one.
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Bank of America cut $NKE to Underperform and dropped its target to $30 from $47. The stock is already down more than 40% this year and sits near $36. BofA now sees sales declining through fiscal 2027, with a real rebound delayed to 2028. China and fading classic styles are the main drag. Cheap is not the same as turned around. Earnings on Oct. 1 will test that.
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Global M2 from the Fed, ECB, BoJ and PBOC hit about $103.66 trillion in August. Those four added roughly $1 trillion last month, the 10th straight rise. Most of that is bank deposits, not just printed cash. More liquidity often finds assets later. The number is large. What it buys still matters more.
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The Trump-Xi Washington summit ended with a short two-month trade truce. The two sides agreed to cut tariffs on $30 billion of non-sensitive goods each way and to start an AI dialogue. Analysts say the deliverables were limited and the truce stays fragile. Talks can buy time. They do not settle the harder issues.
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Trump expects Iran talks to restart this week. He rejected Tehran’s latest offer on reopening the Strait of Hormuz but still sees room for dialogue. The proposal included a short pause in fighting and sanctions relief. Geopolitics like this keep moving markets fast. I’m watching how oil reacts more than the headlines.
🚨 NEW: President Trump says he expects Iran talks to restart this week despite rejecting Tehran's latest plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, per Axios.
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Hitbear retweeted
$BB Quick Take - NFA Current Price $8.21 with 11.13 12-month target of $11.13 TIPRanks score is 9 (Outperform) 1-year price growth +64.20% (3-month -34.21%) Positives: Return to profitability, Raised Guideance Negatives: Customer retention pressure, uneven historical earnings. Inconsistent gov contracts. Standing out to me: Only 10% Institutional ownership and 63% Public ownership mean the price is more likely to influenced by retail investors. Me: No action, but curious. The score of 9 (Outperform) has me curious.
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Apple $AAPL 🐂 or 🐻 case. Which are you? 🐂 case: Apple's core strength is its ecosystem. Hundreds of millions of people are locked into iPhones, Macs, Watches, and AirPods, which makes switching costly and keeps upgrade cycles predictable. That installed base feeds a growing services business that carries much higher margins than hardware and smooths out the cyclical swings of device sales. Add a fiercely loyal customer base, unmatched brand pricing power, custom silicon that gives it a performance edge, and huge capital returns through buybacks, and you have a durable compounder. If Apple executes well on AI features that drive a fresh upgrade wave, and keeps expanding into areas like health, wearables, and spatial computing, the upside is a business that grows steadily while getting more profitable. 🐻 case: The risks center on maturity and dependence. iPhone still drives the bulk of the business, and the smartphone market is saturated, so growth relies on price increases and services rather than new users. Regulators worldwide are targeting the App Store's commission model and default search arrangements, which could erode the highest margin part of the story. Apple also leans heavily on China for both manufacturing and sales, leaving it exposed to geopolitical tension and local competition. Meanwhile, it has been seen as a follower rather than a leader in AI, and if a new device category or platform shifts attention away from the iPhone, its moat could narrow. With the stock typically priced as a premium, high quality company, even modest disappointments can hurt returns.
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Gold slipped about 1–1.6% in the latest session, near $4,212 an ounce. Silver fell harder, down around 4% near $62.20. The $500 billion figure is an implied market-value drop, not cash pulled from vaults. Metals can move that fast after a long run. Paper losses look huge. The metal is still there.
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