Hybrid Position/Swing Trader, Cancer Survivor, Father, Brother, Uncle, Wine lover and Windsurfer. All opinions are my own and not investment advice.

Palo Alto, CA
Market action summary – The leaders are holding up well, and as usual, is the only place to be. QQQ is breaking higher. Semiconductors, photonics, and security software are providing the best setups. Bitcoin is consolidating after a decent lift off the lows. Broader market action, however, remains poor. Rising interest rates and energy prices are the biggest risks, and they continue to hold back any improvement. The ideal scenario would be a sharp reversal higher in broader market internals, but that would likely require a significant exogenous event. Close attention to the geopolitical situation and the upcoming midterm elections should help gauge the prospects for any broader improvement.  As October progresses, I will stay cautiously optimistic: selling rips and adding on dips to key moving averages, while monitoring rates, energy, and news developments for any sign of a healthier market environment. Best of luck this coming week. 🙏😊❤️📈🇺🇸👍
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Jonathan Whitcraft retweeted
One thing you must understand is that setups don't work all the time. Breakouts are my bread and butter, and right now the market is not primed for my style (which requires breadth expansion in a bullish phase). Based on what we are seeing, I will start getting waves of breakouts long soon, but right now, if I were only be trading breakouts right now, I would either be: - waiting for the market to get back primed for my Breakout setup (which would be fine), or - what I am doing, which is to trade 2 more sleeves to complement the timing on breakouts. So right now with my Portfolio T, the Pullback and QLD Trend Following sleeve are doing all the work, and bringing my EC higher while I wait for my bread and butter... Pullbacks are great to trade, and I developed a nice setup trading only 19 core, liquid sector ETFs and Nasdaq 100 component stocks. In this way, while diversifying the trend structure, I can also have a lot of exposure and get the account moving without needing breadth expansion... The setup is: • Weekly chart only • wait for a pullback in a trend • the 8>20>50 EMA should hold • the closing price on the day of entry must be >50 EMA • the pullback must get oversold and show the Golden Dot (just measures an oversold pullback, you can use most oscillators and get a very similar reading, pullbacks are no secret) • entry at the Friday close • hold for 5 weeks • take a 25% partial at 1:1 • stop low of the week. I still trade this EOD (or end of week for the matter), takes me a few minutes to click, is completely mechanical, and as you can see in the Equity curve below it's not super profitable (adds 11% CAGR), BUT that's not the point here. It's built to COMPLEMENT the breakouts, and not only profits when breakouts don't show, but also LIFTS UP the drawdown breakouts give me, so it AMPLIFIES the profits overall. That's the power of uncorrelated setups running at the same time. If trading stocks, due to a certain setup/style being in favor at any given point in time, trading more than one setup is GOLD. I can feel it in my equity curve right now. Study how you can benefit from something like this and give it a go, you are never coming back 📈
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Jonathan Whitcraft retweeted
10/5/2026 Daily Recap: Breadth expanded! - 5 day ratio flips green in my own universe of stocks. 3/1 of stocks up 4% on the day versus down. - Genomics continue to lead! $ARKG - $ARKK pushing out to new 12 month highs. $TSLA on the verge of reclaiming the 200sma. - Every S&P 500 sector in the green today besides $XLRE - $QQQ on new closing highs. $NVDA same story into new all time highs. - $MAGS new closing highs. - $XLK new closing highs. - Crude closes down 2.3% $USO And crude futures on the cusp of losing the 50sma. - $BTC $ETH continue to consolidate before another possible leg higher. - Cyber names the leading software group. $CIBR $RBRK $OKTA $CRWD $PANW - $SMH acts just fine with $TSM out to a new ATH as well. - Yields don't seem to be slowing down much with your 30yr being the strongest along the curve. - $IWM closing up .66% and a nice bounce off the 200sma so far. - $XLE $OIH $XOP strength all day despite lower crude. - Lots of moving parts but overall the market doesn't give us much of a reason to be negative.
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Jonathan Whitcraft retweeted
For investors willing to look past near-term spending anxieties, the launch of Muse may well be remembered as the catalyst that sent Meta shares to $1,000. $META zacks.com/commentary/3000177… @ZacksResearch
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Jonathan Whitcraft retweeted
19 year old Japanese student built a trading bot with Claude Code in 2 days. Used his iPad as a second monitor. First night: $6,732 profit. Starting capital: $68. Total profit so far: $750,000. [ 𝐍𝐨𝐭𝐞: 𝐅𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐰 𝐌𝐞 @zakiraicoder 𝐅𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐮𝐭𝐨 𝐃𝐌] Here's how it works👇 The bot scans over 50 markets simultaneously. Syncs live BTC data from Binance every second. Spots price errors before humans even notice. The edge is pure speed + pattern recognition. While traders stare at charts trying to predict the next move, his bot is already executing on mispricing across dozens of markets. No guessing. No emotions. No hesitation. Just Claude Code logic finding gaps that close in seconds. He built the entire system in 48 hours: → Claude Code handles the trading logic → Binance API feeds real-time BTC data → iPad displays multi-market monitoring → Executes trades when arbitrage windows open The system runs 24/7. Every price dislocation = profit opportunity. Most people are still trading manually, refreshing charts, second-guessing entries. Meanwhile this 19 year old engineering student turned $68 into $750K by letting Claude Code do what humans can't: process 50 markets instantly and execute without fear. Why are people still trading manually? I'm giving away the exact Claude Code setup for free. 24 hours only. To get it 👇 1️⃣ Comment " Claude " 2️⃣ Like and Repost 3️⃣ Follow @zakiraicoder (so I can send it via DM)
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Week of October 5–9 is light. Earnings season is effectively over until the banks reopen it on Tuesday, October 13 before the open with $JPM and the majors. Monday, 10/5 •  10:00 ET: ISM Non-Manufacturing (September). Consensus about 55.5, prior 55.4. Services PMI final at 9:45. Tuesday, 10/6 •  8:30 ET: Trade Balance (August). •  After the close: $PENG (Penguin Solutions). Also on the tape: $STZ. Wednesday, 10/7 •  2:00 ET: FOMC minutes (September meeting). The main macro event of the week for rates. •  10:30 ET: EIA crude inventories. •  After the close: $APLD, $LEVI. Thursday, 10/8 •  8:30 ET: Initial claims and continuing claims. Consensus on initial claims is about 200K, prior 197K. •  10:00 ET: Wholesale inventories. Friday, 10/9 •  Before the open: $DAL. Also $HOVR. •  10:00 ET: University of Michigan consumer sentiment, preliminary October. Consensus about 48.3, prior 48.1. Looking ahead Earnings season restarts Tuesday, October 13 before the open with $JPM and the major banks. CPI follows Wednesday, October 14. Until then, the watch items are claims, the FOMC minutes, and rates and energy.
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Jennifer Hawks is exactly who we need in Sacramento as California State Treasurer!!! 😃❤️👍
Inside California’s state ledger. #politics #california #ai Ad generated or substantially altered using artificial intelligence.
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Jonathan Whitcraft retweeted
I tested CANSLIM on 4,048 big moves, 2010 to 2026. One criteria had consistent edge. ‼️Two made a big move less likely And of 908 big moves in $10B+ stocks, only 61 passed all seven.
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What institutions are buying today(9/28/26). #investors #oil #tariffs #money #ibd Of Interest. $IDT
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RT @TMLTrader: Weekend Review, 9/27: 80% to 100% Exposure Nasdaq and QQQ ended the week at new weekly closing highs. S&P 500 may be workin…
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Jonathan Whitcraft retweeted
You could spend your Sunday looking through hundreds of charts. I already did. Here are the names, levels, and setups that actually stood out for next week ☺️ The indices are holding up, but underneath the surface the market is getting increasingly selective. Semiconductors are starting to show strength again. Bitcoin is improving. Breadth remains poor, yields are pushing higher, and macro risk is still very much alive. ↘ $MSFT is showing relative strength. ↘ $MU looks like it may be starting a new uptrend. ↘ $META remains one of the strongest charts on the board. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: Still holding above the daily trendline after last week’s breakout and backtest. Price action itself remains constructive, and as long as that trendline holds I’m cautiously optimistic we can push toward 7775 and eventually the all-time high around 7816. The concern is everything underneath the surface: yields are rising, VIX is elevated, oil remains sensitive to the Middle East, and breadth is poor. The longer SPX stalls here, the more vulnerable it becomes to a move back toward 7500. ⋆ $QQQ: Tested fresh all-time highs last week before pulling back, but buyers stepped back in Thursday and Friday. The structure remains constructive. I’m watching 748 closely. A clean break there could start the next move into new highs. $IWM: Completely different picture from SPX and QQQ. Small caps remain in a clear downtrend and continue riding the 9-day moving average lower. 275 and the 200-day moving average are now must-hold support. Lose that and downside could accelerate. ⋆ Favorites this week: QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMD, BE, QCOM, COST, MU, PDD, HOOD, COIN, META and MRNA base:0xe4b20925d9e9a62f1e492e15a81dc0de62804dd4: Starting to look much better. After consolidating following the August move, Bitcoin has resumed higher and is showing relative strength. Holding 83K keeps the structure constructive, with 87K–88K next and potentially 100K beyond that. ⋆ $AAPL: Strong Friday close near the highs. As long as 340 holds, I’m looking for a push toward 345. A clean break above 345 could finally trigger the larger continuation move. ⋆ $MSFT: One of the strongest mega-cap charts on Friday. Quickly reclaimed 500 and showed significant relative strength throughout the session. I’m watching 518–520 early this week. Above that could open a move toward new highs, with 533 a logical target. $GOOGL: Attempted to push into new highs but ran directly into the daily trendline and pulled back. It is still holding the 200-day and putting in a higher low, but the price action has been difficult. Hands off until the chart gives us something cleaner. $AMZN: Still trapped in a clear downtrend. Nothing technically compelling here for me right now, so I’d rather focus elsewhere. $NFLX: The previous push toward 85 worked well, but momentum has faded and the stock has been giving that move back. No clean setup here for now. ⋆ $NVDA: Continues threatening a move into new all-time highs but hasn't been able to finish the job. I remain constructive. Above 230 early in the week opens 235, and a break through 235 could finally trigger the move into fresh highs. $TSLA: Friday’s rejection was ugly and once again showed how difficult this stock has been to hold for multiple days. Every burst of strength seems to attract sellers. The 200-day is sitting just below 400, making 400 the key level. Until Tesla reclaims it, I’m treating this mostly as an intraday trading vehicle. ⋆ $AMD: One of the stronger semiconductor charts. Reclaimed 600, backtested it and found buyers almost immediately. That relative strength keeps AMD high on the list if semiconductors continue higher. $SMH: Semiconductors are beginning to improve. SMH reclaimed the 50-day moving average and broke its daily downtrend, which could make the group an important source of leadership again. Worth watching closely this week. ⋆ $BE: Strong close near the highs after catching a bid over several sessions. Still trading inside the larger daily structure, but above 300 I think this could start squeezing and become a much cleaner momentum trade. $DELL: Continues to act extremely well. The next level I’m watching is 572. Above that could start a push toward the all-time-high area, with 600 becoming the obvious psychological target. $SMTC: Showing renewed strength alongside the semiconductor group. If SMH continues improving, this is one of the individual names that could benefit. The setup remains constructive for a potential move back toward the highs. $DDOG: Strong Friday move, but 278–280 remains significant resistance around the prior all-time-high area. A clean break through that zone could give us a quick continuation trade. ⋆ $QCOM: Another semiconductor showing improvement. Friday was strong and 205 becomes the upside trigger. I want to see 200 hold early in the week. Below that I’d step aside, but above 205 this could start moving. $HNGE: Continues trading very mechanically but remains in a constructive trend. Watching 97 for a breakout and potential push toward the psychological 100 level. ⋆ $COST: One of my playbook setups from Friday. Earnings initially gapped the stock lower, but buyers squeezed the shorts and closed it near the highs. I’m watching 925 for continuation, while a backtest into 910–912 could offer another long. Resistance sits around 935. $SKYH: Building a higher low on the daily and beginning to improve. Above 195 would make the setup considerably more interesting. ⋆ $MRNA: Had a strong week after breaking out of its daily structure and remains firmly in play. The key is reclaiming 200. Above that opens 203–205, and a clean break through that area could trigger a much larger continuation move. $SNDK: Still not offering much technically. The larger move I'm interested in doesn't really begin until it can reclaim 2000. Until then, hands off. $JPM: Remains in a strong downtrend and continues riding the 9-day moving average lower. A bounce toward 346 could actually offer a cleaner downside setup rather than a long. $GS: Similar picture to JPM. Broke the 200-day moving average and continues trending lower beneath the 9-day. Watching around 946 for a potential short if sellers continue controlling the tape. $ARM: Pulled back after testing 340. The more interesting area for me is around 300, which lines up with the top of its previous range. A clean backtest and hold there could create an attractive dip-buy setup. $MRVL: Starting to improve after breaking higher and consolidating. Watching the 267–270 area. A clean move through there could turn this into another semiconductor continuation setup. $BA: Continues looking weak after spending several sessions around 200. As long as it remains below 200–205, I’m looking at pops as potential shorts. 187–185 could become the next downside area. ⋆ $MU: One of my top watches this week. The chart looks like it is beginning a new uptrend after breaking its downtrend, successfully backtesting it and reclaiming all the important moving averages. The 9, 20 and 50-day are now stacked correctly. Above 1100 could spark a larger move toward 1250+. $IBM: Looking tired and setting up as a potential downside continuation trade. Below 225 could open 215–216, and if weakness persists, 200 eventually comes into play. ⋆ $PDD: Chinese stocks remain weak and PDD is the downside setup I like best within the group. Watching 77. A break below could open a move toward 72. ⋆ $HOOD: Still holding up relatively well, especially with Bitcoin improving. Watching 120 for a recovery. This is a close watch for me, and if crypto remains strong, it could become one of the better Bitcoin-adjacent setups. $PLTR: Strong week and still very much in play. I want to see the prior all-time-high area around 188–190 hold. If it does, another weekly continuation could create a squeeze toward 200 and eventually 207. $MSTR: Looking tired despite Bitcoin improving. There are cleaner crypto-related setups elsewhere for now. $RDDT: Potential downside setup developing. Around 144 could either become a bounce area or, if that trendline breaks, open a much larger move lower toward 115. ⋆ $COIN: Consolidating constructively after reclaiming the 200-day moving average. I'm watching for a move back above 200. If Bitcoin remains strong, I think this could become one of the cleaner crypto-related trades this week. $NBIS: Has struggled repeatedly with its downtrend line but is finally trading back above it. The backtest held, which is constructive. As long as it stays above that breakout area, I think another push higher remains possible. $NET: Continues to be one of the strongest software charts. It has been riding the 9-day moving average beautifully throughout the uptrend. A pullback toward 340, or even 330–335, could offer an attractive long if buyers continue defending the trend. $CRWD: Similar story to NET. Still one of the software leaders. A backtest of 250 that holds could create another clean continuation setup. ⋆ $META: One of my top watches this week. It printed an inside day while remaining one of the market’s strongest leaders. 745–746 is the first key level, but the bigger trigger is 770. Above 770 opens the recent highs, and above 780 could start a move toward 800+. $INTC: Another semiconductor worth watching as the group improves. 127–128 is the key breakout area. $OKTA: Pulling back into the 9-day moving average after a strong run. Watching 195 to see if buyers defend the trend. A hold could create another upside setup. $ZS: The previous uptrend has clearly weakened after losing the 9-day moving average. A recovery of 200–202 and the 9-day could spark a bounce back higher. Otherwise, the trend shift remains intact. Overall theme: The indices continue to hold up, but this remains a very selective market. SPX and QQQ are close enough to their highs that another breakout is absolutely possible, while IWM continues to deteriorate. Semiconductors are starting to improve again, Bitcoin is showing strength, and a handful of software and mega-cap names continue carrying the tape. At the same time, breadth remains poor, yields are pushing higher, VIX is elevated and geopolitical risk remains very real. I remain cautiously optimistic, but this is still a market where stock selection matters more than simply being long. ⋆ Favorites this week: QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMD, BE, QCOM, COST, MU, PDD, HOOD, COIN, META and MRNA Also, I’m restarting the Small Account Challenge with $10,000 this week. I’ll be trading options directly from my playbook, explaining the setups and posting the trades as we go.
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Market action summary – The U.S. stock market has held up well despite higher interest rates, lingering inflation concerns, and messy geopolitics. The leadership list remains narrow, but those names are not breaking down, in fact, many of them look poised to go higher. The Stock Trader’s Almanac’s four-year cycle message is clear: midterm-year weakness creates the setup, the autumn low marks the turn, and the next three quarters produce the cycle’s most constructive market environment.  Key events this week: Wednesday’s pre-market PCE inflation data and the third estimate of GDP, then Friday’s employment report. On the earnings front, Micron (MU) reports Wednesday after the close. From a weekly standpoint, my longs closed near the upper end of their ranges. That reads as accumulation.  Aside from a few small adds to existing holdings and two stop-outs, my views and positioning are unchanged. Best of luck next week! 🙏😊❤️📈🇺🇸👍
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Week of Sept 28 – Oct 2, 2026 Macro is the main event. Earnings season is in a lull until the banks reopen it on Oct 13. Economic calendar All times ET. Tuesday, Sept 29 •  10:00 AM — JOLTS job openings (August) •  10:00 AM — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (September) Wednesday, Sept 30 — 8:30 AM BTO •  PCE Price Index / Core PCE (August) — Fed’s preferred inflation gauge •  Personal income and spending (August) •  GDP third estimate (Q2) •  ADP private payrolls (September) at 8:15 AM Thursday, Oct 1 — 8:30 AM BTO •  Initial jobless claims •  Continuing claims •  10:00 AM — ISM Manufacturing (September) Friday, Oct 2 — 8:30 AM BTO •  U.S. Employment Report (September): nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, average hourly earnings Earnings Monday, Sept 28 — ATC •  $JEF Wednesday, Sept 30 •  BTO: $JBL •  ATC: $MU Thursday, Oct 1 •  BTO: $AYI •  ATC: $NKE Season note Earnings season is effectively over. It starts again Tue Oct 13 BTO with JPM (results ~7:00 AM ET, call 8:30 AM ET), followed by the other major banks.
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RT @dennisc230: Weekend routine came up with a small list. I think many names have moved out of consolidations and are a bit extended. But…
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