sports @SilverBulletin_. research @TheBGInstitute. opinions my own; I don't always pick my battles.

Joseph George retweeted
I don’t like the practice of just hurling “champagne socialist” or “luxury beliefs” at left-wing people with rich parents, instead of engaging with the arguments. There’s nothing intrinsically problematic in being left-wing and having such a background.
Vincent est allé interviewer des lycéens du IXe arrondissement de Paris. C’est un quartier privilégié il s’attendait à tomber sur des bourgeois ; au lieu de ça il tombe sur la réincarnation de Chirac, keffieh au cou, qui le déborde sur sa gauche avec du matérialisme dialectique.
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Joseph George retweeted
The Burning GIass Institute has a new website! Check it out. burningglassinstitute.org/ab…
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I went to a majority Asian-American high school. The school was known for its music programs. The top end (almost all of whom were Asian), in my opinion, definitely did not play like robots. I'm also going to take a guess that the committees that decided on things like All-State, Jazz Band, Marching Band etc. contained more "credible" musicians than your typical piano teacher, and agreed with me on that, as the school won major awards for its music programs. Turns out working hard and practicing is one of the best ways to get in touch with your instrument.
The idea that Asians are robots who never reach the very top levels of ability is such sad, desperate cope. Show me a cellist with as much ability, creativity, and passion as Yo-Yo Ma, a mathematician as deep and brilliant as Terence Tao, a science fiction writer as creative and thoughtful as Ted Chiang, an entrepreneur as canny as Jensen Huang. No, your race does not give you the spark of genius.
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It's so funny how much of this stereotype is born out of Amy Chua's memoir, but even in that book, both girls are considered prodigious talents
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Like look, if you think pushing your kids to work maybe excessively hard is a bad thing, or incompatible with American culture, that's fine. But to act like they won't mostly be way better than the other kids is insane. Even if you wanted to think about talent, there's no way to argue that the reason Indian Americans win spelling bees is only because they work hard but are otherwise average or something. The reason they win spelling bees is that they work hard and are really smart. You couldn't coach Billy from the midwest into winning the national spelling bee, he's just not smart enough
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Joseph George retweeted
Fun chart in today’s post on where the Democratic presidential hopefuls stand on AI! natesilver.net/p/the-democra…
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Joseph George retweeted
We rated leading 2028 Democrats on their AI stances. Pretty clear daylight between AOC and others who have taken a more hedged position.
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Very strange to build your political understanding off of pure cope, but okay!
“You don’t study for the spelling bee” is a deep and important aspect of American culture. I was at a baseball game discussing some young players with a buddy one time and he said to me offhandedly, “hard work is fine, but nothing beats talent.” Americans have this sort of sense that there’s something a little off about working really hard to get good at something that you’re not naturally good at. You’re never really going to be on the same level as the guy who has a natural talent. We have room in our hearts for scrappy little guys who work hard, but we are by default suspicious of grinders and strivers. If you were really meant to do it, then you’d be naturally good at it. You sign your kids up for little league, but you don’t take it too seriously unless they show remarkable early talent. Yes, this sounds sort of ridiculous if you take it too literally. No, nobody is saying that there’s any kind of practical test for this or that anybody should be excluded because we found out that they secretly studied too hard. But this is a part of American culture. And if you can’t understand it, then that just marks you out as foreign to that culture to an even greater degree.
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Joseph George retweeted
. @DanielDiMartino: "I'm tired of pretending that people can't afford" to have kids. "That's a lie!" "It's about choice, within even married couples, to just not have as many kids...it's usually because of the DINK lifestyle. Because of economic growth, actually we're bribing people not to have them. Because the truth is, now we have more choices of alternatives than we did 100 years ago. 100 years ago nobody could go on vacation to the Bahamas, nobody could go on vacation across the country, or had enough income to do anything. ...Today people have more alternative choices, and as a consequence, the opportunity cost of having children went up."
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RT @nic_carter: I find these takes really confusing. you have a 150 IQ+ tireless genius living in your computer. it can use your browser…
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Querying as a scouting strategy died when everyone’s Claude Code got upgraded
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“Computa build me a model”
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Why would I want to meet him? He sounds like a loser
Meet Thomas, a 35-year-old who got hooked to FanDuel and DraftKings in the pandemic, ended up $50,000 in the red. He filed for bankruptcy and signed up for a Pennsylvania registry that banned him from using betting apps. More recently, he saw an ad for Kalshi offering a cash bonus. He got the app and couldn’t put it down. He’s now living with his mom and grandmother and taking loans from them to afford food and car insurance payments. “I have a gambling addiction” he wrote to Kalshi, begging for them to ban him, which they eventually did. But not before he was more than $25,000 in the hole. Thomas represents dark side of the prediction market boom: Problem gamblers who relapse with Kalshi, which has blanketed TV, social media, sports stadiums, bus stations, trains, with ads trying to attract new traders, just as they insist they are not a gambling operator. That means they don’t honor “self-exclusion” registries maintained by states like Pennsylvania. Mental health clinicians say that creates a loophole for people like Thomas. What really got Thomas were Kalshi’s 15-minute crypto markets, where you can make a binary trade on whether Bitcoin will be above or below a certain number every 15 minutes. There were times he was betting 18 hours a day in these markets. He told me: “The odds flip so quickly. It’s such a rush. And when I’d lose, my brain just kept wanting to win it back. I never even traded Bitcoin or any crypto, but I just kept coming back to the rush of how unpredictable the markets were.” A clinician I spoke to called 15-minute crypto markets “a slot machine in your pocket” npr.org/2026/10/02/nx-s1-598…
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Tried this out, she pulled out a Geek Bar mid call and I heard Geometry Dash in the background. Would recommend
The whole point of building Tavus has been simple: talking to a machine should feel as natural as talking to a friend or coworker. It’s hard to describe all the tiny nuances that make a conversation feel human. The little expressions. Moving around in your chair. Knowing when to speak and when to listen. The dance of it all. Griffin is by far the closest anyone has come to a model that can capture those nuances. The first time I saw it being used, I had no idea I was watching our model rather than just a normal video call. I’m so incredibly proud of this team and what they’ve built.
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Joseph George retweeted
Yes, in general the best investment is an index fund. But there are other good reasons for the world to have many different speculative markets.
Justin Wolfers: crypto, prediction markets, stock picking — it's the same seductive lie that you can beat the market. 100% of leading economists surveyed by the University of Chicago say the best investment is a low cost, diversified index fund. Full stop.
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The free market is beautiful, punishing the terra chuds into epistemic humility
Meet Thomas, a 35-year-old who got hooked to FanDuel and DraftKings in the pandemic, ended up $50,000 in the red. He filed for bankruptcy and signed up for a Pennsylvania registry that banned him from using betting apps. More recently, he saw an ad for Kalshi offering a cash bonus. He got the app and couldn’t put it down. He’s now living with his mom and grandmother and taking loans from them to afford food and car insurance payments. “I have a gambling addiction” he wrote to Kalshi, begging for them to ban him, which they eventually did. But not before he was more than $25,000 in the hole. Thomas represents dark side of the prediction market boom: Problem gamblers who relapse with Kalshi, which has blanketed TV, social media, sports stadiums, bus stations, trains, with ads trying to attract new traders, just as they insist they are not a gambling operator. That means they don’t honor “self-exclusion” registries maintained by states like Pennsylvania. Mental health clinicians say that creates a loophole for people like Thomas. What really got Thomas were Kalshi’s 15-minute crypto markets, where you can make a binary trade on whether Bitcoin will be above or below a certain number every 15 minutes. There were times he was betting 18 hours a day in these markets. He told me: “The odds flip so quickly. It’s such a rush. And when I’d lose, my brain just kept wanting to win it back. I never even traded Bitcoin or any crypto, but I just kept coming back to the rush of how unpredictable the markets were.” A clinician I spoke to called 15-minute crypto markets “a slot machine in your pocket” npr.org/2026/10/02/nx-s1-598…
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Joseph George retweeted
FLIPR update. Race-by-race polls not as bad for Republicans this week. Gas prices down slightly, too. OTOH, oil futures were up a bunch today and Trump's approval rating again hit another new low. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver…
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Gabe grinds. Courtsketch is a really nice tool.
Made a few big changes to team dashboard. Gonna list them out below. 1. The page now links to adjacent team centric tools on the site (lineup explorer, graph selection, schedule, team factors etc) . I'm hopeful this will make navigating the sites various tools much easier.
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