icarus is icarus for a reason (views my own, nothing I say, write or xeet (tweet) is financial advice, dyor)

interesting
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10 month high in Hyperliquid Protocol Fees (~$67M) with 5 more days left in September.
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HYPE has literally pulled a liquid 50x since the airdrop LMFAO
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eloquent
the only people that expect a s3 airdrop are those who missed the airdrop, didnt have the capacity to reason horizontally to other platforms like lighter, and variational, and cling stubbornly to an honestly entitled belief that they should be rewarded for the platforms pmf its 40 years of staking emissions plain and simple
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it’s actually crazy for the value arguement because solana doesn’t monetise its stablecoin (float) and its low cost stablecoin transfers means that even with supremely high velocity, fees are constrained top tier UX, shitty value capture
Slowly, then quickly
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sorry if you lost money on one of these, but you’re retarded if you did
Spot the common theme
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HSI says that as of Sept 8, 2026 it had received about $1.1B gross proceeds, including from under the new financing line. Remaining potential capacity: about $1.4B gross proceeds after Sept 8, subject to market conditions, share price, caps, and registration limits. HSI has bought over $530M+ worth of HYPE this last month plus, and it looks like they won't slow down, for now Hyperliquid
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“their tech is 10x faster than anything on the market right now” traders will pour out absolute slop in the hope of sounding intelligent to other traders
ahead of the curve. that bottom deviation is very nice and any consolidation below $2 is probably decent. every large perp dex (hl and lighter) are turning into infra plays by onboarding separate books for clients like Robinhood, Kraken, etc. layerzero is doing the same with a headless approach but their tech is 10x faster than anything on the market so far. most people will stay sidelined because they think interop is the main focus - it's not; it's all about markets now. godspeed. $ZRO
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I wanted to make this a cynical little joke about how giga bulls always sound smarter than value / fundamentals investors when things get wild but then the LLM reminded me of the deeper reality. Be an optimist that survives.
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I think for many that are unable to underwrite $GRASS purely based on its current KPIs or state of the token, I resonate with you, but it is worth asking two things: 1. Have they managed to build a sticky, useful, profitable business? [image 1: comparison vs web2 competitive businesses] 2. What would the time cost as well as dollar cost look like to replicate and build a network like this? I think this sets a floor on what the min value of GRASS should be [image 2] #2 is interesting for networks (esp DePIN networks) that have suffered through token debt, and crypto cycles. All of this analysis would have no meaning if the token had no claim on future growth of the business and I do not think 95% + of DePIN tokens (HNT, HONEY etc.) fit into this framework because they are *only* CAC tools $GRASS is different
$GRASS is one of the most interesting tokens at the intersection of crypto and AI as it 1) plays a critical role across model training and usage, 2) has a triple digit annual growth rate, and 3) is trading at ~6x forward revenue with strong gross margins despite the above. In my opinion, as revenue growth accelerates in the second half of the year, new product releases (LCR) approach, and the team takes the market's feedback to heart and increases the cadence of financial and traction updates, we will likely see a re-rating to closer to my own estimate of fair value which is approximately $GRASS at $1.50. Grass Network is a direct beneficiary of continued growth in AI usage by both providing the major frontier labs the structured data needed for model pretraining and also as it expands its product set to provide real-time data to models during inference. One of the major pushbacks to Grass has been the lack of frequent updates of their financial progress which is a reason Grass is still trading at what is in my opinion such an attractive relative valuation. I think the team recognizes this dynamic and this report is them hearing the market's feedback and making the right adjustments. Great sign when an exceptional team recognizes the areas for improvement and levels up.
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this is HSI not some "mysterious whale"
Mysterious whale 0x6436 bought another 373,730 $HYPE ($36M) today. In just the past month, this whale has bought 4.7M $HYPE ($400M) — insane! arkm.com/explorer/address/0x…
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slowly but surely, higher
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if you're in equity, pivot to tokens with strong value
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yes, please stop using FDV like a bozo and get rich
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Half of your fund's thesis was flow monetization and you spent the better part of the last 2 years fudding Hyperliquid's sustainabilty, while it has printed > $1.3B and run 50x liquid How don't you take a position in the largest trading flow monetization engine in onchain finance, when that is half of your fund's thesis?
Our original thesis with Frictionless was that throughput would enable net new use cases that weren’t previously possible Admittedly, I think we got that about 50% correct The other half was monetization and revenue. That is now very obvious in owning the TradFi stack with order flow and execution If you believe we are still in the early innings of moving global capital markets onto internet rails, we are less than 1% along in that journey It’s only now that we have performant infra to support 1 bp spreads onchain. Next is onboarding all the assets, then volume We at @FrictionlessVC are very excited about global tokenization. If you’re building along this theme, we are actively deploying and would love to chat. DMs open!
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Logan has been asking the same questions, in different phrasing, pretty much since HYPE started outperforming SOL (which was HYPE TGE). Feels like he's looking for a "sure thing" - and looking for a "sure thing" in crypto leads to extreme underperformance, because your propensity to take (or think about risk), gets incredibly narrow
One question I have for Hyperliquid bulls Jeff has clearly stated that he wants Hyperliquid to house all of finance I think that’s directionally correct as the world increasingly tokenizes assets What I have a hard time understanding is why the US, or any other country, would be comfortable having its financial markets depend on roughly two dozen validators concentrated in Tokyo I’m open minded. Maybe some jurisdictions won’t care, or the setup changes over time, but the current model seems like a tough sell
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everyone should run this search
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