My thesis is simple, Bitcoin is being positioned as a new source of collateral in a world of decaying FIAT. That is my base case. If that plays out we easily arrive at $1M+ Bitcoin. I don't think that the FIAT world will crumble, or the markets will break, or that all other assets will go to zero. We will simply see a new asset financialized, much like real estate and other asset classes were financialized in the past. The FIAT system needs constant growth, to self preserve. And new collateral sources enable new currency units to be created. That's the incentives and when you see the way TradFi has turned there tune and the launch of BTC backed mortgages and other BTC backed loans, you can see the signals starting to stack. That's why I'm all in on BTC. Yes it's a concentrated bet, yes it's volatile, no it hasn't been easy. But tracking all the things that have developed since the approval of the ETF, tells me this is a very likely outcome. The doom narrative of the FIAT world dying and Hyperbitcoinization is not a non zero chance of happening either. I just think the incentives align more towards it being a store of value/new source of collateral. But IF Hyperbitcoinization does happen, well....

STRIVE CEO MATT COLE ON $BTC: "PROBABLY NO BITCOIN PRICE IS TOO HIGH" UNTIL THE US DEBT CRISIS BREAKS "WE THINK BITCOIN CAN EFFECTIVELY GO TO INFINITY VERSUS THE DOLLAR"

$MSTY is the biggest “loser” in my portfolio. I’m currently down $9,166.37 (78%), but I refuse to sell it. Why? I like staring at it. I look at my portfolio every single day, multiple times a day. I like looking at my winners of course, but I find myself staring at $MSTY the most. It’s a daily reminder of the lessons I learned through this investment. First I learned that market timing matters. I top blasted into $MSTY between April- May 2025, as I was feeling Euphoric from BTCs run up to $100k+. I was on top of the world and thought we were going to hit at least $200k by the end of the year. So $MSTY was going to print dividends all the way up. It didn’t. Buying at those levels when $MSTR was so over extended was not wise. Buying this year during the bear market would have been genius. Market timing matters. Now I understand that nobody can really time the market, and while that’s true, there are signs you can look for to determine if something is over bought or over sold. Yes, it requires some study and some learning, but it’s possible to learn and in the long run this can make you a better investor. The second thing I learned through holding $MSTY is the power behind options. As I held $MSTY I started researching the fund to understand how they were able to generate the yield. What I learned blew my mind and is too much to fit into this post. But in short, there is a whole world beyond simply holding stocks and options allow you to monetize your holdings in ways I wasn’t previously aware off. So while $MSTY is my biggest paper loss, it’s also been one of my most expensive, yet valuable teachers. Crazy thing is that even though I’m down ~$9k I’ve also collected $7k in dividends so far and it continues to pay me every week.

I don't consider myself a BTC Maxi from a philosophical perspective. I simply believe that BTCs moat is real and harder to overcome then the other blockchains out there. Amazon was once simply an online bookstore. And now? Technology can evolve and adapt. Network effects are powerful and usually protocols have one winner. Time will tell.

AI sentiment is souring, while BTC and Crypto markets are starting the next bull run. What do you think happens next? Capital rotation.

It was Brutal to watch Gold and AI names rip while BTC stagnated and eventually collapse into a bear market. All that pain is making this rally feel glorious. We're still in early innings but each day I wake up in a zen like state. The future is bright for those of us that held with conviction.

$0 $0.1 $1 $10 $100 $1,000 $10,000 Bitcoin is here $100,000 $1,000,000 $10,000,000

Days like today is why we HODL through all this volatility. I wouldn't be surprised to see $90K Bitcoin this week.

This is exactly how I wanted to start my week. Gm legends

Higher

Going to be rebuilding my emergency cash position in $STRC

We had the Clarity Act fail and the Fed hike for the first time in years. I fully expected Bitcoin to dump. But once again I am reminded that I know nothing.

In a different timeline we got Clarity Act passed and the BTC strategic reserve in the same week and we teleported to $200k.

The stacking will continue until morale improves.

This is a disappointing outcome because I was ready for a move higher. In fact I've been ready for a move higher ever since we started dumping last October. I remember thinking to myself that this was a final shake out before Clarity finally passed. Alas I was wrong and I am once again reminded that the markets don't care what I think or what I feel.

Two TradFi employees, charged for fraud for allegedly insider trading on a Crypto token.

The Clarity Act is an attempt to capture the Crypto industry including BTC, through regulation. If it passes, then that's bullish for number go up, since institutional money will be given the greenlight to allocate in size. That would of course be great for our stacks. If it doesn't pass, it might be temporarily bearish as a lot of capital that was positioned for approval will exit. Despite that I think this outcome will be even more bullish. This would be a failure of regulatory capture and actually exemplifies how dysfunctional our government trully is. It also doesn't change any of the fundamental facts which are now in full view. We are being debased, our government debt is out of control and they can't even agree to capture a technology that if not co opted could be a major threat to them. So regardless of what happens today, don't forget that THEY need Clarity far more then US.

"Statistics were just as much a fantasy in their original version as in their rectified version."

Friendly reminder that there is nothing more ethical, more open, more community-minded than Bitcoin Bitcoin is the ULTIMATE clarity and no politician will convince me otherwise

The clearest incentives i see when I analyze BTCs potential, is the store of value use case. It basically super powers the USD, which creates a major incentive for the encumbent powers to accept and promote. This is not what BTC was designed for, but it's what I see playing out.

I've been stacking BTC since January of 2024 and my average cost is $96k. Crazy.