Cross-Asset PM, predominantly L/S equities, commodities and FX. Sometimes rates, sometimes memes.

London, England
Pinned Tweet
I genuinely can’t remember the last time I saw positioning this bearish. Fresh trade on. lordfed.co.uk/p/positioned-l…
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TRUMP: RUSSIA SAYS IT'S UNDER CONTROL Well that’s reassuring
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Covered costs @ 6
Rules are rules Paid 3 on some 7800c 0dte
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For those getting excited about Andy and I arguing, we are friends having a little banter. I know he’s a bit old and dry with questionable facial hair but his market knowledge is off the wall, almost like an encyclopaedia
The pain trade is long calls and/or long puts
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Rules are rules Paid 3 on some 7800c 0dte
The pain trade is long calls and/or long puts
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Good lord he really does just say the same thing for years
tastylive
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(never let politics affect your decision making when it comes to markets)
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well; anything business related tbf
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there are people among us who are buying rty futures
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RT @Tim10337907: 1.) you have no idea what u talking about 2.) you have no idea what u talking about 3.) you have no idea what u talking ab…
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Is this Burry turning bullish?
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always impressive how quickly the explanations arrive after the move
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for those who were wrong that is
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finally, someone understands the brand
the only super annoying arsehole bull you should actually enjoy following and has anything half decent to say / read his quip and understand what i said about b2b saas tweet and understand that they can engineer anything they want collusion isnt even adequate word
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although, they do call me a super annoying arsehole bear on the way down too
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but... I will take that as a testimonial, thank you @uncempt - liked and followed
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There is another way to look at this... If capex growth were to slow, the reason will need to be determined. If hyperscalers stop spending because the demand and returns aren't there, I would agree. And that would be a problem well beyond the companies supplying the buildout... I’ve written recently about another possibility which is this - monetisation keeps improving while capex growth slows. So the same spending that shows up as revenue for a supplier is cash leaving the hyperscaler. Those businesses don't necessarily need the same outcome from here. Slower capex growth alone won't necessarily fix FCF especially if the absolute bill were to keep rising. But... if customers keep spending and the infrastructure already built starts earning a better return, the companies paying those bills could become a lot more attractive.
When the hyperscalers stop, in terms of spending cash flow on the AI buildout things will be complicated. But as long as the music is playing, you've got to get up and dance.
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