Sam Altman just admitted he got the timeline wrong.
He thought GPT-4 would flip software businesses fast - and it didn't, because "the economy just has so much inertia."
People keep buying from the same companies and using the same tools.
That inertia is the real bottleneck, not the model.
So the question isn't how smart the next model is.
It's who changes a workflow, a budget line, a contract -and who pays for it.
Sam Altman admits he was wrong on AI's timeline and says society and the economy will adapt more slowly
"I thought when we got to GPT-4, which was back in 2023, that very quickly after that there was going to be much more disruption, software businesses up for grabs right away, than it turned out to be."
"I think I was wrong about a few things, but one in terms of the speed: the economy just has so much inertia."
"People keep doing the same things, buying from the same company, wanting to use their tools the same way. I think this is actually a positive in many ways, and it's going to make this big transition go smoother and slower. I'm grateful for it."
"But it means we've all been too ambitious on timelines. Even with this incredible technology, society and the economy will adapt more slowly."