Conflict Analyst. Senior Advisor @Eurpeace, SGH @YemenPathways, prev IRC Director @USEmbassyYemen, @UNDPYemen, Coral Group. Views personal. E: omeisy@gmail.com

Washington, DC
أبي، وسندي، وعزوتي، وتاج رأسي… في ذمة الله. لا أعرف كيف أكتب نعيك يا أبي، ولا كيف يمكن للكلمات أن تختصر عمرًا كاملًا من الحب والأمان والسند. كنت أظن أن وجودك شيء ثابت في هذه الحياة، وأنني مهما كبرت سأظل أعود إليك فأجد الأب والحضن والطمأنينة. اليوم رحلت، وتركت في القلب فراغًا لا يملؤه أحد. كنت لي أكثر من أب؛ كنت سندي حين أتعب، وقوتي حين أضعف، وأماني حين تضيق بي الدنيا. وما يؤلمني أنني سأكمل الطريق دون أن أسمع صوتك أو أرى وجهك، لكن عزائي أنك تركت في داخلي من حبك وتربيتك وذكراك ما سيبقى معي ما حييت. سامحني يا أبي إن قصّرت يومًا، وارضَ عني. وأشهد الله أنني سأظل أدعو لك ما بقي لي من العمر. اللهم ارحم أبي بقدر ما أحببناه، بل برحمتك التي وسعت كل شيء. اللهم اغفر له، ونوّر قبره، وآنس وحشته، وأكرم نزله، واجعل ما أصابه تكفيرًا ورفعةً له، وافتح له بابًا من الجنة لا يُغلق. رحمك الله يا أبي، يا أول سندٍ لي في هذه الدنيا وأعظم من أحببت. لن أقول وداعًا، بل إلى لقاءٍ بإذن الله في دارٍ أجمل، لا مرض فيها ولا ألم ولا فراق. إنا لله وإنا إليه راجعون والفاتحه الى روح أبي الطاهره.
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جزيل الشكر والامتنان لكل من واساني في مصابي، وشاركني حزني بكلمة طيبة، أو دعاء صادق، أو رسالة خففت عني شيئًا من ألم الفقد. وأسأل الله أن يجزيكم عني خير الجزاء، وأن يحفظ لكم أحبابكم، وألا يريكم مكروهًا أو حزنًا في عزيز، وأن يديم عليكم وعلى من تحبون الصحة والعافية وطول العمر. سيتم الصلاة على فقيدنا ووالدنا الغالي خالد صالح سعد العميسي غدا بعد صلاة الجمعة الموافق 18/09/2026 في مسجد الحصري - بأكتوبر، في القاهره، مصر. maps.app.goo.gl/B37xMYDVgsMq… وسيتم الدفن في مقابر طريق الواحات - السادس من اكتوبر، في القاهره، مصر. maps.app.goo.gl/wmLZKKVT8zZ4… عزاء الرجال: القاهرة، مصر سيتم استقبال عزاء الرجال يوم الجمعة الموافق 18/09/2026 من صلاة المغرب إلى الساعة ٩:٣٠ مساء في مسجد الحمد في التجمع الخامس. goo.gl/maps/FkQyyVJ4BXEZKe7t… صنعاء، اليمن سيتم استقبال عزاء الرجال يوم الجمعة الموافق 18/09/2026 في قاعة مسايا - حدة المدينة - شارع ايران. اللهم ارحم فقيدنا ووالدنا الغالي رحمةً واسعةً تسع السماوات والأرض، واغفر له وتجاوز عنه، وأكرم نزله ووسّع مدخله، وأنر قبره وآنس وحشته، واجعل قبره روضةً من رياض الجنة. وإنا لله وإنا إليه راجعون.
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My father, my strength, my shelter, my pride… has returned to his Creator. I do not know how to mourn you in words, Dad. How can a few lines hold a lifetime of love? How can they capture the safety I found in your presence, the comfort of your voice, or the quiet certainty of knowing that, no matter how old I grew, I could always come home to you? I somehow believed you would always be there. And now you are gone, leaving behind a space in my heart that no one will ever fill. You were so much more than a father to me. You were the hand that steadied me when I stumbled, the strength I leaned on when mine failed, and the refuge I sought when life became too heavy. The thought of walking through the rest of this life without hearing your voice or seeing your face breaks my heart. But you have left so much of yourself behind—in the love you gave me, in the person you raised me to be, and in countless memories I will carry with me until my own final day. Forgive me, Dad, for every moment I fell short. Be pleased with me. I promise that as long as there is breath in me, there will be a prayer for you in my heart. May God embrace you in a mercy greater than all the love we could ever have given you. May He forgive you, fill your grave with light, surround you with peace, and reward every hardship you endured. May the gates of Paradise open wide for you and never close. May God have mercy on you, Dad—my first protector, my greatest source of strength, and one of the deepest loves my heart will ever know. I cannot bring myself to say goodbye. So instead, I will say: until we meet again, God willing, in a gentler and more beautiful place—where there is no illness, no pain, no sorrow, and never again a goodbye. Indeed, we belong to God, and to Him we return. Offline for a while. May his soul rest in peace.
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Hisham Al-Omeisy هشام العميسي retweeted
This much-needed and honest analysis from Yemen expert @omeisy, who is specifically warning the U.S. government (without naming them) that making a deal with the Houthi terrorists is nothing but a short-term solution, given their history of violating agreements. I would also like to add that Iran now has control over the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandeb Strait through the Houthis. In the near future, we could see the Houthis gaining control over the western Indian Ocean as well, with support from Al-Shabaab, which they have already provided with medium-range missiles and drone boats.
The Houthis didn’t suddenly become strong. They prepared while their opponents remained divided. That was one of my key points on @CNN’s @Amanpour yesterday. The Houthis spent the relative lull of the past few years recruiting, mobilizing and rearming, while fragmentation, competing agendas and poor coordination continued to plague the anti-Houthi camp. They saw the cracks—and exploited them. Now, with the fighting reaching the Red Sea coast and the strategic Bab al-Mandab, the consequences extend far beyond Yemen. A group with a proven record of attacking international shipping is gaining greater leverage over one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints. But we shouldn’t let maps, oil prices and shipping lanes obscure the real story: Yemenis are once again being killed, displaced and deprived of basic services and humanitarian assistance. Many also remain behind Houthi prison walls—including former U.S. Embassy and UN colleagues arbitrarily detained for years. For me, that part is personal. They are not statistics, bargaining chips or footnotes to the conflict. They are colleagues and human beings whose freedom must not be forgotten amid the headlines. Territory may change hands. Yemenis keep paying the price.
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Hisham Al-Omeisy هشام العميسي retweeted
الباحث هشام العميسي: استغل الحوثيون فترة الهدوء النسبي التي شهدتها السنوات القليلة الماضية في التجنيد والتعبئة وإعادة التسلح، بينما استمر التشرذم وتضارب الأجندات وضعف التنسيق في المعسكر المناهض للحوثيين. لقد رأوا الثغرات واستغلوها. .
The Houthis didn’t suddenly become strong. They prepared while their opponents remained divided. That was one of my key points on @CNN’s @Amanpour yesterday. The Houthis spent the relative lull of the past few years recruiting, mobilizing and rearming, while fragmentation, competing agendas and poor coordination continued to plague the anti-Houthi camp. They saw the cracks—and exploited them. Now, with the fighting reaching the Red Sea coast and the strategic Bab al-Mandab, the consequences extend far beyond Yemen. A group with a proven record of attacking international shipping is gaining greater leverage over one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints. But we shouldn’t let maps, oil prices and shipping lanes obscure the real story: Yemenis are once again being killed, displaced and deprived of basic services and humanitarian assistance. Many also remain behind Houthi prison walls—including former U.S. Embassy and UN colleagues arbitrarily detained for years. For me, that part is personal. They are not statistics, bargaining chips or footnotes to the conflict. They are colleagues and human beings whose freedom must not be forgotten amid the headlines. Territory may change hands. Yemenis keep paying the price.
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The Houthis didn’t suddenly become strong. They prepared while their opponents remained divided. That was one of my key points on @CNN’s @Amanpour yesterday. The Houthis spent the relative lull of the past few years recruiting, mobilizing and rearming, while fragmentation, competing agendas and poor coordination continued to plague the anti-Houthi camp. They saw the cracks—and exploited them. Now, with the fighting reaching the Red Sea coast and the strategic Bab al-Mandab, the consequences extend far beyond Yemen. A group with a proven record of attacking international shipping is gaining greater leverage over one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints. But we shouldn’t let maps, oil prices and shipping lanes obscure the real story: Yemenis are once again being killed, displaced and deprived of basic services and humanitarian assistance. Many also remain behind Houthi prison walls—including former U.S. Embassy and UN colleagues arbitrarily detained for years. For me, that part is personal. They are not statistics, bargaining chips or footnotes to the conflict. They are colleagues and human beings whose freedom must not be forgotten amid the headlines. Territory may change hands. Yemenis keep paying the price.
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One final interview with @AJEnglish today — and perhaps the most somber of them all. Amid all the coverage of territorial gains and losses, shifting frontlines, strategic chokepoints and oil prices, something far more important risks becoming a footnote: the human cost. The latest escalation in Yemen has been devastating. People have been killed and injured, families forced from their homes, and civilians exposed once again to grave human rights violations. Maps can show who gained a few kilometers of territory. Markets can calculate what instability means for a barrel of oil. Neither captures what it means for a family to lose a loved one, a home, or any sense of safety. Behind every arrow drawn on a battlefield map are real people. Territory can be retaken. Markets can recover. Lives cannot. Yemenis cannot and should not become collateral to the story being told about Yemen.
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In another @AJEnglish interview today, I stressed that the Houthi offensive should not have come as a surprise. It could be seen coming from miles away. For nearly two years, the Houthis have carried out a massive recruitment drive, mobilized forces, and openly signaled their military objectives. The warning signs were there; the question was when, not whether, they would attempt another major push. I also discussed the likelihood of more direct U.S. involvement in Yemen. Previous U.S. military engagement ultimately ended in a ceasefire, so Washington may have little appetite for being drawn into another round—particularly while its attention and resources are focused on the escalating pressure around the Strait of Hormuz. But that calculation could change if Houthi advances increasingly threaten Red Sea shipping, the Bab al-Mandab, or broader U.S. interests. The question now is: what threshold would bring Washington back in?
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I’m doing back-to-back interviews on @AJEnglish today examining the conflict in Yemen. In one interview, I argued that recent battlefield losses are not simply a story of Houthi strength. They also expose structural weaknesses within the anti-Houthi camp. Fragmented command structures and weak coordination and communication between government forces create gaps the Houthis can exploit—allowing them to concentrate forces, seize the initiative, and make gains against a divided front. For now, neither the Houthis nor the Yemeni government appears willing to back down in the struggle for territorial control. That raises the risk of a prolonged—and potentially much bloodier—phase of fighting, with casualties and forced displacement already on the rise.
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Hisham Al-Omeisy هشام العميسي retweeted
#اليمن الباحث هشام العميسي : يرى البعض أن السماح للحوثيين بالاحتفاظ بالسيطرة على أراض مطلة على البحر الأحمر حل وسط مقبول لاحتواء الصراع أو إنهائه. لكن ذلك سيكون خطأً استراتيجياً فادحاً. إن التسوية السياسية التي تتجاهل سجل الحوثيين قد تنهي فصلاً واحداً من الصراع في اليمن لتخلق مشكلة أمنية إقليمية ودولية أكثر خطورة بكثير. .
“Those who ignore the warning signs should not be surprised by the storm.” The Houthis have already provided plenty of warning signs. Since November 2023, they have carried out more than 100 attacks on commercial vessels affecting more than 60 nations, targeting shipping across the Red Sea, Bab al-Mandab and Gulf of Aden, while projecting threats farther into the Arabian Sea and beyond. This record matters as Yemen’s future is debated. Some may consider allowing the Houthis to retain control of territory overlooking the Red Sea an acceptable compromise to contain or end the conflict. That would be a grave strategic mistake. Past behavior does not guarantee future action, but it tells us how the Houthis have used strategic geography when given the opportunity. Greater control of Yemen’s western coastline and positions around Bab al-Mandab would give a group with a demonstrated willingness to attack international shipping even greater leverage over one of the world’s most critical maritime arteries. The risk is not hypothetical. We have already seen what the Houthis do with the access and capabilities they possess. The real question is what they will be capable of doing with more. A political settlement that ignores this record may end one chapter of Yemen’s conflict only to create a far more dangerous regional and international security problem. My 2 cents to @NOS
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“Those who ignore the warning signs should not be surprised by the storm.” The Houthis have already provided plenty of warning signs. Since November 2023, they have carried out more than 100 attacks on commercial vessels affecting more than 60 nations, targeting shipping across the Red Sea, Bab al-Mandab and Gulf of Aden, while projecting threats farther into the Arabian Sea and beyond. This record matters as Yemen’s future is debated. Some may consider allowing the Houthis to retain control of territory overlooking the Red Sea an acceptable compromise to contain or end the conflict. That would be a grave strategic mistake. Past behavior does not guarantee future action, but it tells us how the Houthis have used strategic geography when given the opportunity. Greater control of Yemen’s western coastline and positions around Bab al-Mandab would give a group with a demonstrated willingness to attack international shipping even greater leverage over one of the world’s most critical maritime arteries. The risk is not hypothetical. We have already seen what the Houthis do with the access and capabilities they possess. The real question is what they will be capable of doing with more. A political settlement that ignores this record may end one chapter of Yemen’s conflict only to create a far more dangerous regional and international security problem. My 2 cents to @NOS
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The real danger is not whether the Houthis literally “close” Bab al-Mandab. The more uncomfortable question is how they were allowed to accumulate this much strategic leverage in the first place. As I told @Newsweek in excellent report by @ShaolinTom here, they don’t need to physically blockade the strait. The credible ability to threaten shipping with missiles and drones is enough to change the equation. Markets react to risk. Insurers react to risk. Shipping companies react to risk. For years, the international approach focused largely on containing Yemen’s conflict rather than changing the underlying balance of power. Meanwhile, the Houthis expanded their military capabilities and increasingly turned Yemen’s geography into leverage. Now that leverage extends far beyond Yemen. With Hormuz also under pressure, Iran and the Houthis can potentially threaten two of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints from opposite ends of the Arabian Peninsula. That should force a serious rethink of how Yemen is viewed. This is no longer a peripheral conflict to be managed. What happens on Yemen’s coastline can directly affect energy markets, supply chains and consumers thousands of miles away. newsweek.com/map-irans-ally-…
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Hisham Al-Omeisy هشام العميسي retweeted
Yes to this. Iranian support has been essential to the rise of the Houthis as the dominant actor in Yemen and as a regional power, but it is only one half of the explanation. The other half has been the weakness and fragmentation of anti-Houthis forces in Yemen.
The Houthi takeover of Mayyun and advance along the Red Sea coast is not simply a story of Houthi military strength. It is also the consequence of years of fragmentation, competing agendas and lack of coordination within the anti-Houthi camp. The Houthis have consistently shown an ability to exploit these divisions. While their opponents debate command structures, responsibilities and political differences, the Houthis move quickly, seize territory and create new facts on the ground. The consequences are now much bigger than Yemen. Control of Mayyun and positions overlooking Bab al-Mandab gives the Houthis unprecedented leverage over a strategic global shipping route—at precisely the moment Iran is exerting pressure over the Strait of Hormuz. The lesson is difficult to ignore: unless Yemen’s government and anti-Houthi forces unify their political and military decision-making, receive serious and desperately needed support, the Houthis will continue turning their opponents’ divisions into strategic gains. My 2 cents for the @nytimes nytimes.com/2026/09/11/world…
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Hisham Al-Omeisy هشام العميسي retweeted
يرى الباحث هشام العميسي، أن سيطرة #الحوثيين على جزيرة ميون وساحل البحر الأحمر تنبع في المقام الأول من التشرذم وضعف التنسيق بين القوات الحكومية، وليس من التفوق العسكري للحوثيين. "تجاوزت العواقب الآن حدود #اليمن بكثير. فالسيطرة على ميون والمواقع المطلة على باب المندب تمنح الحوثيين نفوذاً غير مسبوق على ممر ملاحي عالمي استراتيجي، في الوقت الذي تمارس فيه إيران ضغوطاً على مضيق هرمز. الدرس المستفاد واضح لا لبس فيه: ما لم توحد الحكومة اليمنية والقوات المناهضة للحوثيين جهودهم السياسية والعسكرية، وتحصل على دعم جاد وضروري، سيواصل الحوثيون استغلال انقسامات خصومهم لتحقيق مكاسب استراتيجية." .
The Houthi takeover of Mayyun and advance along the Red Sea coast is not simply a story of Houthi military strength. It is also the consequence of years of fragmentation, competing agendas and lack of coordination within the anti-Houthi camp. The Houthis have consistently shown an ability to exploit these divisions. While their opponents debate command structures, responsibilities and political differences, the Houthis move quickly, seize territory and create new facts on the ground. The consequences are now much bigger than Yemen. Control of Mayyun and positions overlooking Bab al-Mandab gives the Houthis unprecedented leverage over a strategic global shipping route—at precisely the moment Iran is exerting pressure over the Strait of Hormuz. The lesson is difficult to ignore: unless Yemen’s government and anti-Houthi forces unify their political and military decision-making, receive serious and desperately needed support, the Houthis will continue turning their opponents’ divisions into strategic gains. My 2 cents for the @nytimes nytimes.com/2026/09/11/world…
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The Houthi takeover of Mayyun and advance along the Red Sea coast is not simply a story of Houthi military strength. It is also the consequence of years of fragmentation, competing agendas and lack of coordination within the anti-Houthi camp. The Houthis have consistently shown an ability to exploit these divisions. While their opponents debate command structures, responsibilities and political differences, the Houthis move quickly, seize territory and create new facts on the ground. The consequences are now much bigger than Yemen. Control of Mayyun and positions overlooking Bab al-Mandab gives the Houthis unprecedented leverage over a strategic global shipping route—at precisely the moment Iran is exerting pressure over the Strait of Hormuz. The lesson is difficult to ignore: unless Yemen’s government and anti-Houthi forces unify their political and military decision-making, receive serious and desperately needed support, the Houthis will continue turning their opponents’ divisions into strategic gains. My 2 cents for the @nytimes nytimes.com/2026/09/11/world…
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Hisham Al-Omeisy هشام العميسي retweeted
هشام العميسي لشبكة فوكس_نيوز: وبعيدا عن الخسائر والموانئ الاستراتيجية التي سقطت، لا أستطيع أن أكون الوحيد الذي يقلق إزاء الاستخبارات والمعدات والذخائر الضخمة التي استولى عليها الحوثيون في المعسكرات والمناطق التي سيطروا عليها ...
Beyond strategic losses and ports that fell, I can't be the only one worried about the trove of intel, military equipment, and vast munitions Houthis seized in camps and areas they took control of and will in turn use against their foes locally and regionally in push to seize additional territories. My comments here in article brilliantly fleshing out the many concerns and costs of the current conflict by @EfratLachter foxnews.com/world/iran-backe…
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The Houthis have now upped the ante with simultaneously and aggressively hitting Saudi Arabia and seizing land and islands in the Red Sea while, almost comically, trying to reassure the international community that they mean well and will not harm global interests or threaten maritime routes. The Houthis, and Iran behind them, have been planning this for long and will hold world hostage by controlling Yemen and Bab El-Mandab. They've tested that strategy and got a taste of the leverage before, and are adamant on controlling the most important chokepoints on both sides of the Arabian Peninsula. My 2 cents to @BBCNews on that and what needs to be done.
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Beyond strategic losses and ports that fell, I can't be the only one worried about the trove of intel, military equipment, and vast munitions Houthis seized in camps and areas they took control of and will in turn use against their foes locally and regionally in push to seize additional territories. My comments here in article brilliantly fleshing out the many concerns and costs of the current conflict by @EfratLachter foxnews.com/world/iran-backe…
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Hisham Al-Omeisy هشام العميسي retweeted
Iran-backed #Houthis seized #Mocha and are pushing toward Bab el-Mandeb - the second global shipping chokepoint after Hormuz. @omeisy told me on @FNCGlobalNews: “Now you have Iran on one side of the Arabian Peninsula controlling Hormuz, and the Houthis controlling Bab el-Mandeb on the other. That’s going to drive oil prices, goods, everything up exponentially.” They also captured equipment, munitions, vehicles and drones left behind. He warned they entrench fast and are hard to dislodge once they take ground. Oil already jumped past $100. Full story in the first link
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Hisham Al-Omeisy هشام العميسي retweeted
Breaking Houthi forces have reportedly begun arriving on the strategic Red Sea islands of Jabal Zuqar and Greater and Lesser Hanish. The move follows weeks of Houthi operations aimed at cutting supply lines to the islands, including reported strikes on piers and attacks on supply vessels. The islands are strategically important because of their position near the southern Red Sea shipping corridor and Bab al-Mandab. Their capture would mark another significant shift in control following the Houthi advances along Yemen’s West Coast. maps.app.goo.gl/EpypKaT6soZW…
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