PIX11 Meteorologist // AMS CBM #871 // Pilot // Former NYS EMT // Occasional Storm Chaser ☈

New York, NY
No one: Absolutely no one: Not a single soul: Deer in Ronkonkoma:
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Pat Cavlin retweeted
You can actually see how fast the water is coming in as we get closer to high tide.
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The nor’easter sunset did not disappoint… gonna look a lot different tomorrow
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This will NOT be another Hurricane Sandy… that said, coastal impacts will be significant @PIX11News
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Pat Cavlin retweeted
Current look at Jones Beach field 6.
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Here's the latest high tide flood forecast from the NWS: @PIX11News
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Gonna be a wet weekend... @PIX11News
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it's aliiiiiiiiiiiiiiive
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Seas are building as our #noreaster develops offshore 10-15' waves just off the Jersey Shore and Long Island with 30' seas near the center of the storm Intensity should peak by tomorrow @PIX11News
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Pat Cavlin retweeted
🌊 COASTAL STORM TO CRANK UP BY FRIDAY — MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING & BIG WINDS... We’re entering Day 2 of a strong, persistent push of Atlantic water toward the NJ coastline. Water is already piling up, and with each tide cycle unable to fully drain, Friday morning’s high tide becomes increasingly concerning for pockets of MAJOR coastal flooding. 💨 THE WIND FIELD WILL BE IMPRESSIVE. As the storm expands, the wind field will strengthen and spread inland, bringing gusty winds well away from the immediate coast and potentially into the Hudson Valley. The forecast remains largely LOCKED IN, with only minor changes. The global models are finally shifting a little farther west, moving closer to the ensemble guidance that has favored a western solution from the start. 👇 Below is one of the best illustrations of the wind potential, with peak gusts approaching 60 MPH across Long Island, especially along south-facing shorelines. I’ll break down the latest timing and impacts from 7–10 AM on @PIX11News.
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Confidence Increasing 📈 Both the European and GRAF models have very similar solutions for the weekends storm. This alignment of two different models leads to an increase in forecast confidence for the impacts we may see across the area this weekend @PIX11News
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If the GRAF model verifies... we're going to have quite the storm to contend with in NY and NJ this weekend. Worth watching a scenario like this
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Pat Cavlin retweeted
Window washers on the upper floors of the north tower. They would ride on powered-carriages that were built into the buildings themselves. Most of the buildings were cleaned by a custom automated window-washing system, but there was still a lot of manual work involved, such as the upper floors which had wider windows, corners, and more difficult sections.
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🚩 The IBM GRAF model is now coming into range and keeps the possibility of a more direct impact alive for NY and NJ this weekend At the moment the highest impacts will be along the immediate coast, but that may spread inland depending on exact track and strength @PIX11News
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Regardless of the track that this weekend's nor'easter takes.... coastal flooding, dangerous surf, and beach erosion will be a huge concern from New England down the Jersey Shore Winds will peak for coastal areas as well, Friday through Sunday @PIX11News
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I'm coming to learn that there are few color palettes that effectively work for wind speed
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Pat Cavlin retweeted
Somebody Amazon’d a sunshade onto a heated A320 window. Guess what happened. May 2026 Airbus Safety First. Crew bought a sunshade online and put it on the right sliding window. The shade trapped heat. The window heat sensor was already failed, so the system kept heating on bad data. Window got hot and started distorting. Crew got the alerts, pulled the window CB, and diverted. On final the right window cracked. Inner ply is stretched acrylic. It shrank and showed the interlayer. Outer ply held. They landed. Same article warns about suction-cup tablet holders. Same heat trap, and they can fall off in turbulence. Use the sun visors that already sit in the cockpit. If you need a tablet, mount it on the frame, not on the window.
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If Aura was a building also in New York
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Apple TVs might have the most poorly designed, overly sensitive remotes ever made.
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Pat Cavlin retweeted
MODEL MADNESS THIS MORNING ON THE WEEKEND COASTAL STORM TRACK… 🌊💨 The overnight models continue to show a sizable gap between the GFS and EURO on the exact track of this weekend’s coastal storm. But the details may be hiding in the ensembles as multiple runs of the same model designed to show the range of possible outcomes has come west. The EURO, EURO Ensemble and AI guidance all show a bend back to the west with a strong phasing happening by Friday night, which keeps meaningful rain in play for NYC. Confidence remains higher on the coastal impacts: 🌬️ Wednesday Night - Thursday: Gusty winds develop as the pressure gradient tightens, with gusts potentially topping 40 mph along the coast. 🌧️ Friday Night: Bands of heavier rain could begin rotating into Long Island and the Jersey Shore, with how far west that rain gets still the BIG question. 🌊 Coast: Long-duration onshore flow continues to raise concerns for coastal flooding, rough surf and beach erosion. On TV NOW with my latest thoughts @PIX11News
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Pat Cavlin retweeted
The concept of these two bickering rail agencies shutting down all of New York area air traffic
The latest. @Amtrak says they were not to blame — and point to @NJTRANSIT reuters.com/world/us/faa-hal…
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