Prediction Bubbles 🫧@predictionbubbl

Polymarket and Kalshi on one board. Size is volume, color is probability. No account, nothing to install.

predictionbubbles.net/
Joined August 2026
10 Photos and videos
The biggest circle on our board is the least likely thing on it. $65M on Jesus returning before 2027: 1.9% $1.8M on Becerra winning California: 92.3% Size is the money. Color is the chance. Not the same thing. predictionbubbles.net #PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
Chart of 5 prediction markets: “The biggest circle is the least likely one” Jesus returns by 2027: 1.9%, $65.0M traded. Bitcoin dips to $45k: 22.5%, $4.1M traded. Democrats take both houses: 49.5%, $2.5M traded. Antonelli wins the F1 title: 74.5%, $4.0M traded. Becerra wins California: 92.3%, $1.8M traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 12 August 2026, 12:42 UTC.

ALT Chart of 5 prediction markets: “The biggest circle is the least likely one” Jesus returns by 2027: 1.9%, $65.0M traded. Bitcoin dips to $45k: 22.5%, $4.1M traded. Democrats take both houses: 49.5%, $2.5M traded. Antonelli wins the F1 title: 74.5%, $4.0M traded. Becerra wins California: 92.3%, $1.8M traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 12 August 2026, 12:42 UTC.

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The bubbles on CryptoSlate Predictions run on our engine. Size is volume, ring colour is the 24 hour change. 48 markets on the page today, $4.56B of volume behind them.
CryptoSlate
@CryptoSlate
Sep 8
Introducing CryptoSlate Predictions: live @Polymarket odds, interactive bubbles powered by @predictionbubbl, and our analysis of what could move markets. Explore the odds behind the headlines 👇 cryptoslate.com/updates/cryp…
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Claude is down 12.9 this week. ChatGPT is up 18. Claude (@AnthropicAI) 58.0% ChatGPT (@OpenAI) 31.7% Gemini (@Google) 5.5% Grok (@xai) 4.7% Kimi, Qwen and Ernie under 1.5% $10.3M on @Kalshi, on who has the best AI at the end of 2026. predictionbubbles.net
Chart of 8 prediction markets: “Who has the best AI at the end of 2026?” Claude: 58.0%, $2.2M traded. ChatGPT: 31.7%, $2.1M traded. Gemini: 5.5%, $1.5M traded. Grok: 4.7%, $1.5M traded. Muse Spark: 1.4%, $1.1M traded. Kimi: 1.0%, $635K traded. Qwen: 0.3%, $721K traded. Ernie: 0.2%, $593K traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 5 September 2026, 08:43 UTC.

ALT Chart of 8 prediction markets: “Who has the best AI at the end of 2026?” Claude: 58.0%, $2.2M traded. ChatGPT: 31.7%, $2.1M traded. Gemini: 5.5%, $1.5M traded. Grok: 4.7%, $1.5M traded. Muse Spark: 1.4%, $1.1M traded. Kimi: 1.0%, $635K traded. Qwen: 0.3%, $721K traded. Ernie: 0.2%, $593K traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 5 September 2026, 08:43 UTC.
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Our board is mostly uncertainty. This is the other end. More tech layoffs than in 2025: 94.8% Xi visits the US before 2027: 94.8% Spider-Man tops the 2026 box office: 93.5% $32.9M says these are settled. Which would you fade? predictionbubbles.net #SpiderManBrandNewDay
Chart of 3 prediction markets: “What the market is nearly sure about” More tech layoffs in 2026 than 2025: 94.8%, $31.5M traded. Xi visits the US before 2027: 94.8%, $825K traded. Spider-Man tops the 2026 box office: 93.5%, $638K traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 5 September 2026, 07:58 UTC.

ALT Chart of 3 prediction markets: “What the market is nearly sure about” More tech layoffs in 2026 than 2025: 94.8%, $31.5M traded. Xi visits the US before 2027: 94.8%, $825K traded. Spider-Man tops the 2026 box office: 93.5%, $638K traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 5 September 2026, 07:58 UTC.
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PredictionBubbles: Polymarket vs Kalshi Odds Bubble Board 🆕 Prediction Bubbles added to polymartapp @predictionbubbl PredictionBubbles is a free bubble chart tool that puts Polymarket and Kalshi odds on one board, sizing markets by volume and coloring them by probability so traders can spot price gaps without opening two tabs. polymart.app/prediction-bubb… #PredictionBubbles #Polymarket #Analytics

PredictionBubbles: Polymarket vs Kalshi Odds Bubble Board | PolyMart

PredictionBubbles is a free bubble chart tool that puts Polymarket and Kalshi odds on one board, sizing markets by volume and coloring them by probability so traders can spot pric…

polymart.app
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The September Fed decision is a coin flip on our board, 11 days out. Hike 25 bps: 50.5% No change: 48.5% Cut 25 bps: 0.4% @Polymarket and @Kalshi word it differently and land within two points. The cut has taken $29.3M over the market's life. predictionbubbles.net #FOMC
Two prediction markets on Polymarket, shown head to head: "The September Fed decision". Hike 25 bps: 50.5%, $18.4M traded. No change: 48.5%, $22.9M traded. The two are two points apart. A cut is priced at 0.4%, on a market with $29.3M traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 5 September 2026, 07:58 UTC.

ALT Two prediction markets on Polymarket, shown head to head: "The September Fed decision". Hike 25 bps: 50.5%, $18.4M traded. No change: 48.5%, $22.9M traded. The two are two points apart. A cut is priced at 0.4%, on a market with $29.3M traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 5 September 2026, 07:58 UTC.
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Bitcoin moved today and the whole ladder repriced with it. Every rung up. $85,000 by year end: 80%, up 18.5 $90,000: 59.5%, up 16 $95,000: 43.5%, up 15.5 $100,000: 30.5%, up 9 Three weeks ago $100k was at 8.5%. predictionbubbles.net #Bitcoin $BTC
Chart of 4 prediction markets: "Bitcoin repriced across the whole ladder". $85,000 by year end: 80.0%, up 18.5 points in 24 hours. $90,000: 59.5%, up 16.0 points. $95,000: 43.5%, up 15.5 points. $100,000: 30.5%, up 9.0 points. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 3 September 2026, 21:26 UTC.

ALT Chart of 4 prediction markets: "Bitcoin repriced across the whole ladder". $85,000 by year end: 80.0%, up 18.5 points in 24 hours. $90,000: 59.5%, up 16.0 points. $95,000: 43.5%, up 15.5 points. $100,000: 30.5%, up 9.0 points. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 3 September 2026, 21:26 UTC.
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Prediction Bubbles 🫧 retweeted
PM Wisdom (formerly PM.WIKI)
@PredMarketWiki
Aug 18
🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki Prediction Bubbles @predictionbubbl maps active Polymarket and Kalshi markets into a live bubble chart 🫧📊 Quickly spot which markets are busiest, moving fastest, or priced differently across venues.
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$65M is riding on whether Jesus Christ returns before 2027. The market says 1.9%. That is more money than any Senate race on our board. predictionbubbles.net #PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
Chart of 4 prediction markets: “Big money, tiny odds” Jesus Christ return before 2027: 1.9%, $65.0M traded. LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election: 0.1%, $54.5M traded. Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…: 0.4%, $54.2M traded. Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin…: 0.5%, $52.6M traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 12 August 2026, 12:42 UTC.

ALT Chart of 4 prediction markets: “Big money, tiny odds” Jesus Christ return before 2027: 1.9%, $65.0M traded. LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election: 0.1%, $54.5M traded. Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…: 0.4%, $54.2M traded. Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin…: 0.5%, $52.6M traded. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 12 August 2026, 12:42 UTC.

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Yesterday these two were almost level in the same Senate primary. Darline Graham went from 41% to 73%. Ralph Norman fell from 35% to 28%. $4.7M is on the pair of them. predictionbubbles.net/?q=car… #PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #SouthCarolina
Chart of 2 prediction markets: “They started the day together” Darline Graham: 73.0%, up 32.0 points in 24 hours. Ralph Norman: 28.0%, down 7.0 points in 24 hours. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 12 August 2026, 12:27 UTC.

ALT Chart of 2 prediction markets: “They started the day together” Darline Graham: 73.0%, up 32.0 points in 24 hours. Ralph Norman: 28.0%, down 7.0 points in 24 hours. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 12 August 2026, 12:27 UTC.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump said the US is "only semi-negotiating" with Iran. The market didn't stop believing. It moved the date. Near dates collapsed. December barely moved. predictionbubbles.net/?q=blo… #PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
Bar chart showing one question priced at 7 deadlines: "When does the US announce the end of the Iranian blockade?" Aug 10: 1%, down 4.2 points in 24 hours. Aug 11: 2%, down 6.6 points in 24 hours. Aug 15: 12%, down 17.0 points in 24 hours. Aug 31: 40%, down 8.0 points in 24 hours. Sep 30: 64%, down 7.0 points in 24 hours. Oct 31: 72%, down 6.5 points in 24 hours. Dec 31: 83%, down 2.9 points in 24 hours. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 10 August 2026, 13:32 UTC.

ALT Bar chart showing one question priced at 7 deadlines: "When does the US announce the end of the Iranian blockade?" Aug 10: 1%, down 4.2 points in 24 hours. Aug 11: 2%, down 6.6 points in 24 hours. Aug 15: 12%, down 17.0 points in 24 hours. Aug 31: 40%, down 8.0 points in 24 hours. Sep 30: 64%, down 7.0 points in 24 hours. Oct 31: 72%, down 6.5 points in 24 hours. Dec 31: 83%, down 2.9 points in 24 hours. Source: Prediction Bubbles, as of 10 August 2026, 13:32 UTC.
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Polymarket and Kalshi on one board. Size is volume, color is probability. No sign-up, nothing to install. Open it and see what the market is doing in about three seconds. predictionbubbles.net
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The same daily moves go out on Telegram, if you'd rather have them pushed to you than scroll for them. t.me/predictionbubbles
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