Do you remember when @magiceden said this after shutting down their EVM listings? The internet remembers. 🪄👀

蒙古国总统，100公斤，卧推20下，这简直太牛逼了！

I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.

ain't much, but it's an honest work @Stake

after months of chop… finally a month where @Polymarket actually felt fun again 🤝 $250k+ in 30 days. back to work.

Best thing @Polymarket can do is fire @williamlegate One L after another, nothing good to recall, only bad takes and decisions Reputational damage is steadily building up 👍

6 days ago we publicly asked @Winna for the records behind player Heyri’s 62 disputed bets. Winna did not respond. So we investigated using Winna’s own public systems. What we found: -The player was not served Winna’s public Slide. He was served a private, account-gated VIP version that was visually identical on screen. -The 62 disputed bets cannot be independently verified today. Winna’s public API serves no result, no target and no seeds for any of them. $10.5M of wagers resolve to nothing. -We found no independently verifiable pre-bet commitment for the VIP build: a fresh server seed every bet, nonce fixed at 0, a client seed tied to a Bitcoin block mined in 2023, and no published commitment chain. Our conclusion: On the evidence available to us, the VIP Slide was not provably fair and the disputed bets are not independently verifiable. We make no claim that any outcome was manipulated. Our finding is that the implementation did not provide the guarantees provably fair exists to provide. Full investigation linked below

Exactly the same thing happened to me, at least the first line. Deposited, wagered some, got jumped by a host in Live chat with invitation. Fast forward 2 weeks and $6M wagered (I'm mostly a sportsbetting guy): @Winna permanently blocked my account and confiscated ~$20k in BTC, accusing me of “reward abuse” over 1.01x dice bets which I used to finish a level maybe and roll their bonus chests (which hit nothing). I was net negative on the platform, lost money on their dice ("abused" by losing money? 😆), and they admitted my sports bets were legitimate, yet still seized the balance. No warning. No evidence. No appeal. “Decision is final.” @WinnaCasino, explain how losing money equals bonus abuse.

🗣️ José Mourinho blasts the referee and VAR after Belgium’s controversial late penalty. 🗣️ “That’s never a penalty. Never. I watched the replay five, six, seven times, and I’m still asking myself what the referee saw. Tielemans doesn’t win the ball, there’s minimal contact, and somehow it’s enough to decide one of the biggest games of the tournament. Football is becoming impossible for defenders. Every slight touch is treated like a crime. If that’s the standard, then we should tell defenders not to challenge anymore because any attacker who goes to ground will expect a penalty. The most disappointing part isn’t even the referee, it’s VAR. That’s exactly why VAR exists: to correct clear mistakes, not to protect them. You cannot let 120 minutes of sacrifice, tactics and hard work be overshadowed by such a soft decision. At this level, that’s simply unacceptable.” #FIFAWorldCup #BELSEN

Gave it a try today, interesting ongoing experience, wonder where it ends up 😋 @Polymarket LPing is cool (Using 5 figs to farm), the only downside is having to spend entire day starring at the monitor like a hawk!

Thank you @natusvincere - one have to always believe 😎 And @polymarket for the best odds and a recent streak.

This was the highest volume day on $IBIT, ever, by a factor of nearly 2x, trading $10.7B today. Additionally, roughly $900M in options premiums were traded today, also the highest ever for IBIT. Given these facts and the way $BTC and $SOL traded down in lockstep today (normally SOL trades with beta) + the relatively lower liquidations on CeFi exchanges, this leads me to believe that the nexus of the problem lies with a large IBIT holder. IBIT has become the #1 venue for BTC options trading, so my guess is that a hedge fund trading IBIT options is the culprit. If you look at the 13F filings for IBIT (I like whalewisdom dot com), you'll find a number of interesting names that have the majority of their fund in IBIT. In fact, there are a few in there (not naming names) that have 100% of their fund in IBIT, which likely means no cross margin. In fact, the biggest reason to set up a fund to hold a single asset would be to isolate margin, so that if the trade blew up, the brokers wouldn't have claim to any other assets. Interestingly, most of these giant, single asset funds are based in HK. We know that Asian traders, particularly in China, have been deeply involved in the Silver and Gold trade. Silver was down 20% today, which was the 2nd largest 1 day move in a very long time (largest on Jan 30). We also know that the JPY carry trade has been unwinding at an increasingly rapid pace. This leads me to think that the culprit for the IBIT blowup today was 1 or more HK-based non-crypto hedge funds. As @FranklinBi pointed out, the fund(s) being non-crypto would explain why no one sniffed them out. They would likely have few/no crypto counterparties, meaning complete isolation from CT. The last small piece of evidence I have is that I personally know a number of HK-based hedge funds that are holders of $DFDV, which had the worst single down day ever, with a meaningful mNAV decline. The mNAV had been holding steady surprisingly well throughout this pull back until today. One of these fund(s) could have been connected to the IBIT culprit, as I highly doubt a fund taking that large of a position in IBIT and using a single entity structure would only have the one fund. Now, I could easily see how the fund(s) could have been running a levered options trade on IBIT (think way OTM calls = ultra high gamma) with borrowed capital in JPY. Oct 10th could very well have blown a hole in their balance sheet, that they tried to win back by adding leverage waiting for the "obvious" rebound. As that led to increased losses, coupled with increased funding costs in JPY, I could see how the fund(s) would have gotten more desperate and hopped on the Silver trade. When that blew up, things got dire and this last push in BTC finished them off. I have no hard evidence here, just some hunches and bread crumbs, but it does seem very plausible. Let's see if some more concrete evidence floats to the surface here soon. The smoking gun will be a large fund fitting this profile filing a 13F showing a giant IBIT holding going to zero. Unfortunately, if a fund had their IBIT position liquidated today, they wouldn't have to disclose the position change until 45 days after the quarter end, so we'd be looking at mid May for the smoking gun from 13F filings most likely. Hopefully some of you out there with too much time on your hands this weekend can snoop around more. My guess is that word will start to get out, because something of this size is just too hard to hide. Additionally, if the broker was not able to liquidate the fund in time, the broker may have a hole in their balance sheet, which would be even more difficult to hide.

Sharing as promised after issues were resolved, somewhat, with hiccups.. but whatever, payment has been completed. Metawatch(.)com

Updating. First of all, Happy Upcoming 2026 to everyone and especially - fellow domainers 🥳 May the New Year eclipse the 2025 or give a huge boost for people starting their domain names journey! I was hoping that this quote would contain a domain name and thanks, but.. Nothing has been done. @afternic support is absolutely non-existent or at best - trash. Domain was transferred 2 weeks ago (Dec 18th, 10 hours after payment). All I asked for ~$50,000 FEE is a prompt payout split in two halves, that's it (due to local taxation specifics, now I'm gonna get taxed another $20k due to @afternic's fck up). Anyway, nothing has been sent, not a half, not a full payment. Of course, I'm not weighing any legal options - I know it's not a scam, was paid many times swiftly before. It's just for a fee of that size one would expect SOME sort of urgency, especially if the clients asks for that. And so we are here - almost 2 weeks post transfer empty-handed. Funny thing - Nameservers were still pointing to DAN, and many of my names are still pointing to Afternic after Dan's acquisition. So people should really stop feeding the beast and explore growing competitors with superior options and much better support. Or even use own landing pages and Escrow. So yeah, as it always happens - the bigger the company gets - the worse its support is. Be it Ebay, Paypal, Afternic and so on - monopoly sucks. Dan was GREAT. I will be leaving @afternic for good. Thanks, but no thanks. This is not the type of support you would expect. P.S. To shed a bit of light on the name - it was previously sold on Sedo in 2011 for under $1k, then dropped and I got it off the expired auctions in 2022 for under $10k.

Officially joined @Polymarket Partner Program. Yesterday, I got accepted by the Polymarket team into their affiliate program (on @dubdotco). It took me under 24 hours before receiving my own referral link. How you can get yours : 1. Make sure you're registered on Polymarket (you can use my link → polymarket.com/?via=panda) 2. Open the "Account Settings" section to set up your profile and connect your X. 3. Create content about your Polymarket experience (trading, strategies, analysis, and more) 4. Submit your application form to participate in the program → partners.dub.co/polymarket 5. Wait some time for approval - from 24 hours and up to couple of weeks (lots of applications), keep contributing and staying active in the meantime.

getting ready for @monad TGE 😆 no salty on missing out the CB raise at all, can do just as good if not better thanks to @Polymarket

Would you rather be known as 839.eth or Steven.eth / Musk.eth, or even, heck Panda.eth ? There are endless digits but only one solid First/Last Name. Secure your #ens on @ensvision what really stands out and represents your unique identity.